Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $23.5700 (-1.75%) ($23.3000 - $23.7800) on Mon. May. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.62% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $23.5700(-1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.31% (StdDev 2.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.86(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.53(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.86(3.11%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   46.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 2.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2009	20.24	22.86	23.53	23.86			23.57(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-2	74	6.55	70%	0.1	79	2.62%	0	0.8	71	0
2	May_8_2009	20.22	22.78	23.43	23.93			23.99(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	5	90	8.18	65%	0.15	85.4	2.65%	0	1.4	79	0
3	May_7_2009	20.19	22.67	23.31	23.77			23.64(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	2	84	11.09	65%	0.1	88.5	2.66%	0	1.2	61	0
4	May_6_2009	20.17	22.54	23.18	23.7			24.17(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	8	84	7.76	65%	0.1	89.5	2.67%	0	1.9	70	0
5	May_5_2009	20.15	22.36	22.98	23.44			23.92(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	9	79	9.42	65%	0.15	84.2	2.68%	0	1.8	74	0

6	May_4_2009	20.12	22.22	22.79	23.16			23.93(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	9	70	7.17	65%	0.15	88.3	2.69%	0	2.1	74	0
7	May_1_2009	20.09	22.08	22.56	22.87			23.18(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	51	5.9	64%	0.1	97	2.66%	0	1.5	62	0
8	Apr_30_2009	20.07	21.98	22.49	22.79			23.29(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	7	54	9.85	64%	0.1	102.5	2.68%	0	1.9	64	0
9	Apr_29_2009	20.05	21.82	22.37	22.58			22.9(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	4	53	10.16	60%	0.05	89.8	2.7%	0	1.4	69	0
10	Apr_28_2009	20.04	21.66	22.24	22.45			22.49(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-10000	3	55	9.05	62%	0.05	76.8	2.75%	0	1	71	0

11	Apr_27_2009	20.03	21.51	22.13	22.36			22.49(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	6	55	12.21	62%	0.05	65.5	2.79%	0	1.1	62	0
12	Apr_24_2009	20.02	21.4	22.07	22.19			22.79(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	2	50	5.78	62%	0.15	68.1	2.77%	0	1.5	61	0
13	Apr_23_2009	19.99	21.28	21.98	22.19			22.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	0	55	9.91	62%	0.1	79.7	2.77%	0	1.1	60	0
14	Apr_22_2009	19.97	21.16	21.87	22.14			22.24(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	68	6.87	62%	0.15	80.5	2.78%	0	1.2	68	0
15	Apr_21_2009	19.94	21.03	21.7	21.99			22.02(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	4	69	8.67	62%	0.15	80.8	2.78%	0	1.1	69	0

16	Apr_20_2009	19.91	20.92	21.61	21.87			21.66(-3.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-2	76	5.79	58%	0.05	88.5	2.8%	0	0.8	69	0
17	Apr_17_2009	19.9	20.77	21.58	21.92			22.52(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	4	94	8.62	61%	0.15	83.2	2.86%	0	1.7	68	0
18	Apr_16_2009	19.87	20.6	21.43	21.8			22.25(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	8	95	7.93	61%	0.1	87.3	2.88%	0	1.6	61	0
19	Apr_15_2009	19.85	20.44	21.21	21.56			21.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	7	87	6.33	59%	0.15	94.5	2.85%	0	1.1	64	0
20	Apr_14_2009	19.82	20.3	21.04	21.36			21.43(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	75	4.44	59%	0.15	93.2	2.86%	0	1.1	64	0

21	Apr_13_2009	19.79	20.13	20.85	21.29			21.92(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	4	71	3.48	59%	0.41	92.3	2.89%	0	1.6	65	0
22	Apr_9_2009	19.71	19.94	20.67	21.18			21.91(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	5	82	8.85	59%	0.25	96.3	2.89%	0	1.7	72	0
23	Apr_8_2009	19.66	19.75	20.52	21.02			21.05(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	7	92	3.35	57%	0.1	99.8	2.87%	0	1.1	64	0
24	Apr_7_2009	19.64	19.57	20.39	20.81			20.47(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	5	86	4.32	57%	0.1	90.9	2.85%	0	0.7	60	0
25	Apr_6_2009	19.62	19.4	20.31	20.65			21.09(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	11	89	4.64	59%		78.9	2.87%	0	1.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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