Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $18.5500 (-2.52%) ($18.2900 - $19.0700) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $18.5500(-2.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(85%)    IWM(82%)    PEJ(79%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(3%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.65(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.06(2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.64(5.16%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 4.82% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2009	19.7	17.64	18.06	18.65			18.55(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	2	134	6.57	54%	-0.2	18.3	2.69%	0	1.1	64	0
2	Mar_19_2009	19.74	17.6	17.85	18.59			19.03(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	8	120	9.83	54%	-0.15	8.7	2.69%	0	1.7	60	0
3	Mar_18_2009	19.77	17.53	17.57	18.38			19.24(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	-10000	15	95	8.04	54%	-0.05	-5.6	2.7%	0	2.2	60	0
4	Mar_17_2009	19.78	17.47	17.34	18.01			18.65(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	13	57	6.94	51%	-0.05	-27.2	2.68%	0	1.7	53	0
5	Mar_16_2009	19.79	17.44	17.14	17.7			17.79(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	15	19	4.72	52%	-0.1	-53.1	2.6%	0	0.5	45	0

6	Mar_13_2009	19.81	17.49	17.04	17.36			18.22(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	-10000	17	-12	4.38	52%	-0.1	-66.4	2.66%	0	1	56	0
7	Mar_12_2009	19.83	17.53	16.95	16.98			18.01(3.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	15	-44	7.02	52%	-0.15	-74	2.68%	0	0.6	50	0
8	Mar_11_2009	19.86	17.58	16.9	16.64			17.37(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	2	-80	6.07	48%	-0.25	-77.6	2.63%	0	-0.2	44	0
9	Mar_10_2009	19.91	17.66	16.95	16.59			17.1(6.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	3	-84	7.97	48%	-0.25	-77.9	2.67%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	Mar_9_2009	19.96	17.8	17.04	16.52			16.11(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-7	-100	5.13	41%	-0.35	-68	2.55%	0	-1.6	27	0

11	Mar_6_2009	20.03	18	17.19	16.67			16.32(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-11	-107	11.07	41%	-0.25	-60.3	2.59%	0	-1.5	23	0
12	Mar_5_2009	20.08	18.16	17.34	16.91			16.31(-4.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-36	-10000	-12	-107	10.85	41%	-0.25	-57.5	2.62%	0	-1.7	22	0
13	Mar_4_2009	20.13	18.31	17.51	17.18			17.11(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-8	-104	8.63	46%	-0.3	-61.7	2.59%	0	-1.2	26	0
14	Mar_3_2009	20.19	18.44	17.62	17.36			16.74(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-10000	-13	-107	10.52	46%	-0.3	-58.7	2.57%	0	-1.7	23	0
15	Mar_2_2009	20.25	18.57	17.78	17.66			16.87(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-30	-10000	-5	-103	10.15	52%	-0.3	-59.4	2.62%	0	-1.9	19	0

16	Feb_27_2009	20.31	18.69	17.99	17.77			17.53(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-26	-10000	-2	-99	6.99	46%	-0.2	-64.2	2.84%	0	-1.4	21	0
17	Feb_26_2009	20.35	18.81	18.16	17.83			17.65(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-2	-98	6.6	52%	-0.29	-64.3	2.86%	0	-1.4	31	0
18	Feb_25_2009	20.41	18.95	18.31	17.89			18.03(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	-1	-92	12.04	52%	-0.29	-57	2.95%	0	-1.1	39	0
19	Feb_24_2009	20.47	19.04	18.42	17.92			18.2(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-0	-96	9.55	58%	-0.34	-56.4	2.95%	0	-1	37	0
20	Feb_23_2009	20.54	19.12	18.59	17.93			17.44(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-11	-89	6.82	55%	-0.44	-61.3	3.07%	0	-2	36	0

21	Feb_20_2009	20.63	19.24	18.86	18.24			17.84(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-10	-63	13.45	55%	-0.43	-63.1	3.17%	0	-1.9	37	0
22	Feb_19_2009	20.72	19.34	19.04	18.53			17.96(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-9	-49	9.1	50%	-0.53	-59.5	3.26%	0	-2.1	34	0
23	Feb_18_2009	20.83	19.45	19.18	18.8			18.15(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-6	-45	9.85	50%	-0.48	-60.7	3.36%	0	-2.2	30	0
24	Feb_17_2009	20.93	19.52	19.34	18.99			18.27(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-11	-38	4.78	50%	-0.85	-75.7	3.36%	0	-2.6	40	0
25	Feb_13_2009	21.11	19.64	19.44	19.35			18.99(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-7	-25	7.27	54%		-69.9	3.38%	0	-1.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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