Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $19.7400 (-1.25%) ($19.3600 - $20.1600) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $19.7400(-1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(85%)    IWM(82%)    PEJ(79%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $10.65(-46.05%)
Resistance Level   $21
5 Day Moving Average   $20.02(-1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.48(-3.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21(-6%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2009	22.84	21	20.48	20.02			19.74(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-1	-81	8.73	50%	-0.52	-37.3	3.97%	0	-1.2	40	0
2	Jan_21_2009	22.96	21.05	20.71	20.05			19.99(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-75	11.44	50%	-0.48	-39.4	4.06%	0	-1.1	44	0
3	Jan_20_2009	23.07	21.12	20.99	20.19			19.4(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-7	-58	11.22	50%	-0.47	-35.6	4.04%	0	-1.8	47	0
4	Jan_16_2009	23.18	21.23	21.31	20.5			20.61(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-4	-36	9.02	55%	-0.47	-28.5	3.95%	0	-0.7	51	0
5	Jan_15_2009	23.29	21.31	21.51	20.67			20.37(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-8	-19	12.5	50%	-0.43	-22.6	4.04%	0	-1.1	51	0

6	Jan_14_2009	23.39	21.39	21.64	21.03			19.88(-3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-10000	-9	1	6.97	50%	-0.47	-8.2	4.28%	0	-1.8	50	0
7	Jan_13_2009	23.5	21.45	21.64	21.46			20.69(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-10	20	7.98	52%	-0.38	0.6	4.25%	0	-1	53	0
8	Jan_12_2009	23.59	21.47	21.8	21.91			20.96(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-7	34	5.07	52%	-0.42	16.1	4.28%	0	-0.7	50	0
9	Jan_9_2009	23.69	21.48	21.81	22.22			21.47(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-5	43	4.11	49%	-0.38	31.4	4.28%	0	-0	51	0
10	Jan_8_2009	23.78	21.5	21.73	22.46			22.15(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	2	47	5.39	49%	-0.34	50	4.33%	0	0.8	49	0

11	Jan_7_2009	23.86	21.46	21.57	22.34			22.02(-3.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	3	34	4.84	47%	-0.33	58.2	4.34%	0	0.7	50	0
12	Jan_6_2009	23.94	21.44	21.44	22.18			22.93(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	11	31	7.14	46%	-0.33	74.2	4.39%	0	2	65	0
13	Jan_5_2009	24.02	21.35	21.25	21.68			22.55(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	7	13	6.45	46%	-0.37	66	4.39%	0	1.8	63	0
14	Jan_2_2009	24.11	21.24	21.12	21.33			22.65(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	8	-10000	9	4	8.79	44%	-0.62	59.2	4.41%	0	2.4	62	0
15	Dec_31_2008	24.26	21.12	21.04	20.92			21.57(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	5	-12	4.19	43%	-0.37	53.2	4.39%	0	0.8	46	0

16	Dec_30_2008	24.35	21.02	21.06	20.69			21.19(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	2	-18	2.51	43%	-0.45	42.1	4.38%	0	0.3	48	0
17	Dec_29_2008	24.46	20.91	21.03	20.59			20.42(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-30	1.82	41%	-0.41	37.2	4.36%	0	-0.6	38	0
18	Dec_26_2008	24.56	20.92	21.09	20.75			20.82(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-3	-25	1.15	41%	-0.53	67.4	4.43%	0	-0.1	49	0
19	Dec_24_2008	24.69	20.89	21.12	20.88			20.59(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-20	1.05	41%	-0.36	87.7	4.4%	0	-0.4	53	0
20	Dec_23_2008	24.78	20.83	21.25	21.18			20.44(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-7	0	3.93	41%	-0.32	93.6	4.4%	0	-0.4	55	0

21	Dec_22_2008	24.86	20.76	21.36	21.49			20.66(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-1	25	5.46	40%	-0.32	95.5	4.4%	0	-0.1	62	0
22	Dec_19_2008	24.94	20.61	21.36	21.53			21.23(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	1	47	11.58	40%	-0.28	73.5	4.41%	0	0.5	71	0
23	Dec_18_2008	25.01	20.39	21.48	21.47			21.48(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	2	50	11.8	41%	-0.32	46.7	4.42%	0	0.7	56	0
24	Dec_17_2008	25.09	20.19	21.39	21.38			22.1(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	49	7.89	40%	-0.24	38.5	4.42%	0	1.2	61	0
25	Dec_16_2008	25.15	20.01	21.21	21.35			21.98(5.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	2	57	12.33	40%		35.2	4.44%	0	1.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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