Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 7, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $22.0200 (-3.97%) ($21.9400 - $22.5400) on Wed. Jan. 7, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.34% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $22.0200(-3.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(85%)    IWM(82%)    PEJ(79%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -2.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.17% (StdDev 4.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.34(-1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.57(2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.46(2.61%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   34.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.54% (three month std-dev: 4.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2009	23.86	21.46	21.57	22.34			22.02(-3.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	3	34	4.84	47%	-0.33	58.2	4.34%	0	0.7	50	0
2	Jan_6_2009	23.94	21.44	21.44	22.18			22.93(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	11	31	7.14	46%	-0.33	74.2	4.39%	0	2	65	0
3	Jan_5_2009	24.02	21.35	21.25	21.68			22.55(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	7	13	6.45	46%	-0.37	66	4.39%	0	1.8	63	0
4	Jan_2_2009	24.11	21.24	21.12	21.33			22.65(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	8	-10000	9	4	8.79	44%	-0.62	59.2	4.41%	0	2.4	62	0
5	Dec_31_2008	24.26	21.12	21.04	20.92			21.57(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	5	-12	4.19	43%	-0.37	53.2	4.39%	0	0.8	46	0

6	Dec_30_2008	24.35	21.02	21.06	20.69			21.19(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	2	-18	2.51	43%	-0.45	42.1	4.38%	0	0.3	48	0
7	Dec_29_2008	24.46	20.91	21.03	20.59			20.42(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-30	1.82	41%	-0.41	37.2	4.36%	0	-0.6	38	0
8	Dec_26_2008	24.56	20.92	21.09	20.75			20.82(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-3	-25	1.15	41%	-0.53	67.4	4.43%	0	-0.1	49	0
9	Dec_24_2008	24.69	20.89	21.12	20.88			20.59(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-20	1.05	41%	-0.36	87.7	4.4%	0	-0.4	53	0
10	Dec_23_2008	24.78	20.83	21.25	21.18			20.44(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-7	0	3.93	41%	-0.32	93.6	4.4%	0	-0.4	55	0

11	Dec_22_2008	24.86	20.76	21.36	21.49			20.66(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-1	25	5.46	40%	-0.32	95.5	4.4%	0	-0.1	62	0
12	Dec_19_2008	24.94	20.61	21.36	21.53			21.23(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	1	47	11.58	40%	-0.28	73.5	4.41%	0	0.5	71	0
13	Dec_18_2008	25.01	20.39	21.48	21.47			21.48(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	2	50	11.8	41%	-0.32	46.7	4.42%	0	0.7	56	0
14	Dec_17_2008	25.09	20.19	21.39	21.38			22.1(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	49	7.89	40%	-0.24	38.5	4.42%	0	1.2	61	0
15	Dec_16_2008	25.15	20.01	21.21	21.35			21.98(5.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	2	57	12.33	40%	-0.24	35.2	4.44%	0	1.2	66	0

16	Dec_15_2008	25.21	19.84	20.97	21.24			20.87(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-4	58	6.28	37%	-0.32	28.7	4.38%	0	0.7	64	0
17	Dec_12_2008	25.29	19.75	20.78	21.44			20.94(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-1	77	7.67	37%	-0.32	27.1	4.4%	0	0.8	71	0
18	Dec_11_2008	25.37	19.7	20.73	21.47			21.01(-4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	2	110	8.6	37%	-0.35	26.5	4.4%	0	0.9	75	0
19	Dec_10_2008	25.46	19.58	20.65	21.37			21.94(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	7	131	7.41	37%	-0.27	15.1	4.38%	0	1.6	71	0
20	Dec_9_2008	25.53	19.46	20.36	21.03			21.44(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	8	125	10.67	37%	-0.23	-1.3	4.37%	0	1.4	62	0

21	Dec_8_2008	25.59	19.4	20.1	20.66			21.88(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	15	117	12.45	39%	-0.27	-14.9	4.37%	0	1.9	63	0
22	Dec_5_2008	25.66	19.34	19.66	20.02			21.09(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	3	77	10.93	39%	-0.27	-35.6	4.38%	0	1.4	58	0
23	Dec_4_2008	25.73	19.31	19.2	19.9			20.49(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	1	48	11.9	38%	-0.27	-43.7	4.36%	0	0.9	51	0
24	Dec_3_2008	25.8	19.36	18.89	19.84			20.27(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	6	39	10.4	38%	-0.27	-40.6	4.37%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Dec_2_2008	25.87	19.48	18.7	19.6			19.57(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	4	20	7.69	38%		-33.3	4.34%	0	0.1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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