Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $20.9400 (-0.33%) ($20.2400 - $21.1900) on Fri. Dec. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $20.9400(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(85%)    IWM(82%)    PEJ(79%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.44(-2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.78(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.75(6.03%)
To recent high   -32.9%
To recent low   28.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 7.75% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2008	25.29	19.75	20.78	21.44			20.94(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-1	77	7.67	37%	-0.32	27.1	4.4%	0	0.8	71	0
2	Dec_11_2008	25.37	19.7	20.73	21.47			21.01(-4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	2	110	8.6	37%	-0.35	26.5	4.4%	0	0.9	75	0
3	Dec_10_2008	25.46	19.58	20.65	21.37			21.94(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	7	131	7.41	37%	-0.27	15.1	4.38%	0	1.6	71	0
4	Dec_9_2008	25.53	19.46	20.36	21.03			21.44(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	8	125	10.67	37%	-0.23	-1.3	4.37%	0	1.4	62	0
5	Dec_8_2008	25.59	19.4	20.1	20.66			21.88(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	15	117	12.45	39%	-0.27	-14.9	4.37%	0	1.9	63	0

6	Dec_5_2008	25.66	19.34	19.66	20.02			21.09(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	3	77	10.93	39%	-0.27	-35.6	4.38%	0	1.4	58	0
7	Dec_4_2008	25.73	19.31	19.2	19.9			20.49(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	1	48	11.9	38%	-0.27	-43.7	4.36%	0	0.9	51	0
8	Dec_3_2008	25.8	19.36	18.89	19.84			20.27(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	6	39	10.4	38%	-0.27	-40.6	4.37%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Dec_2_2008	25.87	19.48	18.7	19.6			19.57(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	4	20	7.69	38%	-0.27	-33.3	4.34%	0	0.1	49	0
10	Dec_1_2008	25.94	19.6	18.6	19.45			18.7(-8.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-10000	6	1	6.96	36%	-0.31	-25.9	4.3%	0	-0.5	44	0

11	Nov_28_2008	26.02	19.8	18.64	19.2			20.49(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	-10000	22	-17	1.49	39%	-0.34	-19.5	4.18%	0	0.4	47	0
12	Nov_26_2008	26.11	19.87	18.57	18.37			20.18(5.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	15	-58	7.08	39%	-0.31	-27.9	4.16%	0	0.2	47	0
13	Nov_25_2008	26.19	19.92	18.4	17.8			19.06(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	3	-109	10.42	36%	-0.34	-34.1	4.08%	0	-0.5	38	0
14	Nov_24_2008	26.28	20.02	18.46	17.7			18.82(7.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-33	-10000	1	-136	13.79	36%	-0.27	-38.3	4.08%	0	-0.6	34	0
15	Nov_21_2008	26.35	20.05	18.62	17.66			17.45(6.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-10	-157	20.13	34%	-0.42	-46.8	3.96%	0	-1.4	32	0

16	Nov_20_2008	26.46	20.17	18.97	18.01			16.33(-5.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-57	-10000	-21	-165	16.47	31%	-0.45	-51.2	3.85%	0	-2.2	23	0
17	Nov_19_2008	26.58	20.4	19.43	18.77			17.35(-6.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-7	-140	7.77	33%	-0.41	-50.3	3.8%	0	-2	32	0
18	Nov_18_2008	26.69	20.58	19.89	19.04			18.54(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-8	-130	8.28	34%	-0.37	-50.1	3.74%	0	-1.5	39	0
19	Nov_17_2008	26.79	20.76	20.34	19.32			18.63(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-11	-107	8.91	34%	-0.37	-50	3.74%	0	-1.6	42	0
20	Nov_14_2008	26.89	20.95	20.71	19.72			19.18(-4.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-10	-71	10.41	34%	-0.37	-47.1	3.74%	0	-1.4	54	0

21	Nov_13_2008	26.99	21.11	21.09	20.1			20.16(7.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-3	-30	13.24	35%	-0.33	-41.3	3.71%	0	-0.8	56	0
22	Nov_12_2008	27.08	21.19	21.29	20.22			18.7(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-17	-21	6.27	31%	-0.4	-38.9	3.56%	0	-2.1	45	0
23	Nov_11_2008	27.19	21.3	21.59	20.87			19.91(-3.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-10000	-18	13	9.27	34%	-0.37	-36.8	3.5%	0	-1.2	49	0
24	Nov_10_2008	27.29	21.46	21.73	21.53			20.63(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-9	39	4.79	34%	-0.37	-23.4	3.51%	0	-0.7	45	0
25	Nov_7_2008	27.39	21.58	21.62	21.86			21.12(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-10	31	4.6	36%		-24.2	3.56%	0	-0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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