Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $21.9200 (-5.52%) ($21.8300 - $23.5800) on Wed. Nov. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.5% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $21.9200(-5.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    QQQ(86%)    XLK(86%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(6%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.75% (StdDev 3.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.5(-2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.47(2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.68(1.11%)
To recent high   -30.7%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 5.3% (three month std-dev: 3.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2008	27.58	21.68	21.47	22.5			21.92(-5.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	3	38	5.96	40%	-0.36	-43.6	3.5%	0	0.2	51	0
2	Nov_4_2008	27.68	21.68	21.34	22.4			23.2(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	11	38	6.64	42%	-0.29	-60.7	3.49%	0	1.2	63	0
3	Nov_3_2008	27.76	21.73	21.2	21.96			22.32(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	17	13	3.33	40%	-0.36	-74.4	3.46%	0	0.4	47	0
4	Oct_31_2008	27.86	21.85	21.18	21.32			22.98(4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	-10000	20	-19	5.96	40%	-0.29	-79.1	3.44%	0	0.7	50	0
5	Oct_30_2008	27.94	21.98	21.08	20.61			22.08(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	8	-56	6.32	38%	-0.32	-83.6	3.4%	0	0.1	51	0

6	Oct_29_2008	28.03	22.19	21.03	20.32			21.43(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	5	-72	11.38	40%	-0.36	-78.5	3.37%	0	-0.3	51	0
7	Oct_28_2008	28.13	22.49	20.93	20.15			21(9.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-6	-103	7.39	39%	-0.35	-73.8	3.4%	0	-0.6	43	0
8	Oct_27_2008	28.23	22.82	21.13	20.37			19.13(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-20	-110	6.46	34%	-0.42	-70	3.16%	0	-1.4	32	0
9	Oct_24_2008	28.35	23.22	21.52	21.02			19.42(-5.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-16	-96	7.87	33%	-0.49	-64	3.16%	0	-1.4	28	0
10	Oct_23_2008	28.49	23.71	21.81	21.58			20.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-30	-10000	-7	-97	9.86	36%	-0.38	-60.1	3.1%	0	-1.1	29	0

11	Oct_22_2008	28.6	24.12	21.93	21.82			20.6(-6.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-30	-10000	1	-122	7.07	37%	-0.42	-59.4	3.11%	0	-1.2	27	0
12	Oct_21_2008	28.72	24.51	22.19	21.79			22.11(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-10000	-6	-163	5.37	39%	-0.35	-61.6	3.03%	0	-0.8	28	0
13	Oct_20_2008	28.82	24.83	22.33	22			22.36(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-10000	-4	-184	7.03	39%	-0.35	-61.6	3.04%	0	-0.8	28	0
14	Oct_17_2008	28.92	25.15	22.59	22.13			22.24(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-47	-10000	1	-191	9.71	41%	-0.34	-60.5	3.06%	0	-1	31	0
15	Oct_16_2008	29.02	25.54	22.93	22.1			21.8(6.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-53	-10000	1	-214	12.91	43%	-0.38	-61.9	3.05%	0	-1.2	25	0

16	Oct_15_2008	29.13	25.95	23.42	22.08			20.45(-11.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-72	-10000	-16	-240	8.17	39%	-0.38	-65.9	2.98%	0	-1.8	19	0
17	Oct_14_2008	29.24	26.4	24.15	22.62			23.14(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-64	-10000	-3	-246	11.24	44%	-0.24	-68.5	2.62%	0	-1.2	27	0
18	Oct_13_2008	29.31	26.76	24.61	22.71			23(3.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-74	-10000	-15	-252	6.57	44%	-0.27	-70.2	2.62%	0	-1.4	26	0
19	Oct_10_2008	29.39	27.12	25.03	23.15			22.13(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-82	-10000	-25	-253	17.01	40%	-0.37	-69.9	2.58%	0	-1.8	18	0
20	Oct_9_2008	29.5	27.59	25.74	23.92			21.67(-6.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-82	-10000	-32	-230	8.97	39%	-0.34	-66.6	2.57%	0	-2.3	13	0

21	Oct_8_2008	29.6	28.08	26.49	24.96			23.14(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-72	-10000	-30	-199	8.99	43%	-0.34	-64.2	2.47%	0	-2.2	17	0
22	Oct_7_2008	29.7	28.47	27.05	25.91			23.6(-6.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-60	-10000	-26	-160	9.43	43%	-0.34	-62	2.48%	0	-2.4	25	0
23	Oct_6_2008	29.8	28.86	27.57	26.77			25.22(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-10000	-13	-136	14.04	46%	-0.3	-59.8	2.36%	0	-2.1	26	0
24	Oct_3_2008	29.89	29.19	27.96	27.19			25.95(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-10000	-20	-130	7.87	48%	-0.27	-58.3	2.36%	0	-2.1	29	0
25	Oct_2_2008	29.97	29.42	28.39	27.85			26.89(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-13	-106	7.38	50%		-56.6	2.32%	0	-1.9	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.