Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 24, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $28.4500 (-0.35%) ($28.1900 - $29.1900) on Wed. Sep. 24, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $28.4500(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(85%)    IWM(84%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.84(-16.2%)
Resistance Level   $30.26
5 Day Moving Average   $29.21(-2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.76(-4.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.26(-5.98%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2008	30.25	30.26	29.76	29.21			28.45(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-5	-78	4.65	54%	-0.17	-28.9	2.13%	0	-2	41	0
2	Sep_23_2008	30.3	30.35	29.99	29.35			28.55(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-11	-78	6.66	53%	-0.13	-28.1	2.13%	0	-2.3	36	0
3	Sep_22_2008	30.34	30.43	30.25	29.71			28.96(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-8	-61	8.11	53%	-0.13	-24.2	2.13%	0	-2.2	39	0
4	Sep_19_2008	30.38	30.43	30.52	29.95			30.2(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-10000	-6	-40	9.55	53%	-0.13	-20.7	2.11%	0	-0.5	49	0
5	Sep_18_2008	30.42	30.43	30.54	30.15			29.9(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-8	-36	17.21	52%	-0.03	-17.8	2.11%	0	-1	45	0

6	Sep_17_2008	30.43	30.52	30.58	30.41			29.15(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-13	-10000	-10	-23	9.59	50%	-0.13	-10.5	2.1%	0	-2.2	47	0
7	Sep_16_2008	30.47	30.57	30.8	30.73			30.35(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-4	5	10.37	53%	-0.07	-2.3	2.05%	0	-0.4	54	0
8	Sep_15_2008	30.49	30.59	30.88	30.87			30.15(-3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	-10000	-9	22	11.23	53%	-0.07	0	2.05%	0	-0.8	55	0
9	Sep_12_2008	30.51	30.64	30.93	31.17			31.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	6	44	8.69	57%	-0.03	22.2	2.03%	0	1	54	0
10	Sep_11_2008	30.52	30.62	30.89	30.98			31.2(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	6	42	10.97	55%	0	28.9	2.03%	0	1.1	59	0

11	Sep_10_2008	30.52	30.58	30.79	30.79			30.73(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-3	32	7.93	55%	-0.03	26.9	2.04%	0	0.3	58	0
12	Sep_9_2008	30.53	30.58	30.73	30.89			31.05(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	-0	39	10.07	55%	-0.03	42.9	2.04%	0	0.9	57	0
13	Sep_8_2008	30.54	30.59	30.61	30.9			31.65(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	7	37	11.72	55%	-0.03	67.6	2.02%	0	2	55	0
14	Sep_5_2008	30.55	30.52	30.5	30.67			30.28(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-4	16	9.14	50%	-0.03	83.8	2.01%	0	-0.5	43	0
15	Sep_4_2008	30.56	30.47	30.48	30.79			30.22(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	5	-10000	1	16	7.53	50%	-0.03	77.9	2.02%	0	-0.4	46	0

16	Sep_3_2008	30.57	30.44	30.44	30.77			31.26(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	8	13	7.14	52%	0.03	81	1.98%	0	1.3	56	0
17	Sep_2_2008	30.56	30.37	30.32	30.53			31.1(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	8	-7	9.15	52%	0	80.9	1.98%	0	1.2	50	0
18	Aug_29_2008	30.56	30.24	30.27	30.28			30.5(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-31	2.97	53%	-0.03	55.1	1.95%	0	0.3	43	0
19	Aug_28_2008	30.57	30.14	30.33	30.32			30.85(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	6	-19	3.6	53%	0	52.3	1.96%	0	0.8	53	0
20	Aug_27_2008	30.57	30.02	30.32	30.14			30.15(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	3	-14	3.23	52%	-0.07	43.6	1.94%	0	0.1	60	0

21	Aug_26_2008	30.59	29.96	30.34	30.06			30.06(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4	-10000	-1	-13	4.06	52%	-0.07	36.2	1.94%	0	0.1	55	0
22	Aug_25_2008	30.61	29.9	30.43	30.08			29.83(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-6	-4	9	52%	-0.07	32.6	1.95%	0	-0.1	52	0
23	Aug_22_2008	30.63	29.81	30.57	30.25			30.69(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-3	34	3.62	54%	-0.07	34.3	1.93%	0	0.8	65	0
24	Aug_21_2008	30.65	29.69	30.54	30.35			29.99(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-6	61	5.33	51%	-0.07	36.7	1.91%	0	0.3	64	0
25	Aug_20_2008	30.67	29.64	30.47	30.53			29.75(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-4	78	5.45	51%		46.6	1.92%	0	0.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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