Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.7300 (-1.03%) ($30.4500 - $31.1000) on Wed. Sep. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.04% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $30.7300(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(85%)    IWM(84%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.02% (StdDev 2.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.79(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.79(-0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.58(0.49%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 2.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20081010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2008	30.52	30.58	30.79	30.79			30.73(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-3	32	7.93	55%	-0.03	26.9	2.04%	0	0.3	58	0
2	Sep_9_2008	30.53	30.58	30.73	30.89			31.05(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	-0	39	10.07	55%	-0.03	42.9	2.04%	0	0.9	57	0
3	Sep_8_2008	30.54	30.59	30.61	30.9			31.65(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	7	37	11.72	55%	-0.03	67.6	2.02%	0	2	55	0
4	Sep_5_2008	30.55	30.52	30.5	30.67			30.28(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-4	16	9.14	50%	-0.03	83.8	2.01%	0	-0.5	43	0
5	Sep_4_2008	30.56	30.47	30.48	30.79			30.22(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	5	-10000	1	16	7.53	50%	-0.03	77.9	2.02%	0	-0.4	46	0

6	Sep_3_2008	30.57	30.44	30.44	30.77			31.26(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	8	13	7.14	52%	0.03	81	1.98%	0	1.3	56	0
7	Sep_2_2008	30.56	30.37	30.32	30.53			31.1(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	8	-7	9.15	52%	0	80.9	1.98%	0	1.2	50	0
8	Aug_29_2008	30.56	30.24	30.27	30.28			30.5(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-31	2.97	53%	-0.03	55.1	1.95%	0	0.3	43	0
9	Aug_28_2008	30.57	30.14	30.33	30.32			30.85(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	6	-19	3.6	53%	0	52.3	1.96%	0	0.8	53	0
10	Aug_27_2008	30.57	30.02	30.32	30.14			30.15(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	3	-14	3.23	52%	-0.07	43.6	1.94%	0	0.1	60	0

11	Aug_26_2008	30.59	29.96	30.34	30.06			30.06(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4	-10000	-1	-13	4.06	52%	-0.07	36.2	1.94%	0	0.1	55	0
12	Aug_25_2008	30.61	29.9	30.43	30.08			29.83(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-6	-4	9	52%	-0.07	32.6	1.95%	0	-0.1	52	0
13	Aug_22_2008	30.63	29.81	30.57	30.25			30.69(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-3	34	3.62	54%	-0.07	34.3	1.93%	0	0.8	65	0
14	Aug_21_2008	30.65	29.69	30.54	30.35			29.99(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-6	61	5.33	51%	-0.07	36.7	1.91%	0	0.3	64	0
15	Aug_20_2008	30.67	29.64	30.54	30.53			29.75(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-4	78	5.45	51%	-0.07	46.6	1.92%	0	0.1	60	0

16	Aug_19_2008	30.69	29.63	30.47	30.66			30.12(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-5	96	7.65	51%	-0.03	58.5	1.92%	0	0.5	61	0
17	Aug_18_2008	30.7	29.57	30.44	30.81			30.69(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10000	-4	119	7.87	51%	0	71.8	1.91%	0	1	64	0
18	Aug_15_2008	30.7	29.44	30.23	30.94			31.22(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	6	142	6.86	51%	0	84.2	1.9%	0	1.7	73	0
19	Aug_14_2008	30.7	29.31	29.94	30.77			30.86(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	13	137	6.5	51%	0	92.5	1.9%	0	1.5	65	0
20	Aug_13_2008	30.7	29.16	29.71	30.4			30.4(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	6	111	9.73	51%	-0.07	87.6	1.89%	0	1.3	59	0

21	Aug_12_2008	30.72	29.03	29.54	30.23			30.9(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	8	96	7.8	52%	-0.03	77	1.89%	0	1.7	57	0
22	Aug_11_2008	30.73	28.81	29.32	30			31.31(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	20	86	10.75	52%	0	63.6	1.9%	0	2.3	62	0
23	Aug_8_2008	30.73	28.58	28.95	29.43			30.38(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	16	47	14.21	50%	-0.03	49.1	1.86%	0	1.9	63	0
24	Aug_7_2008	30.74	28.4	28.74	29			29(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	4	14	8.09	45%	-0.03	33.5	1.76%	0	0.7	52	0
25	Aug_6_2008	30.75	28.32	28.73	28.91			29.58(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	7	21	5.04	46%		28.6	1.75%	0	1.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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