Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 16, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $27.7200 (4.02%) ($26.5300 - $27.9400) on Wed. Jul. 16, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $27.7200(4.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    QQQ(85%)    XLK(85%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.19(-30.77%)
Resistance Level   $28.42
5 Day Moving Average   $27.03(2.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.48(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.42(-2.46%)
To recent high   -17.7%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 4.36% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2008	31.08	28.42	27.48	27.03			27.72(4.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-29	-10000	-1	-111	7.22	43%	-0.16	-81.7	1.7%	0	-0.6	32	0
2	Jul_15_2008	31.13	28.59	27.51	27.06			26.65(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-47	-10000	-16	-138	6.72	38%	-0.19	-75	1.64%	0	-1.4	23	0
3	Jul_14_2008	31.19	28.83	27.7	27.42			26.65(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-10	-123	4.43	38%	-0.19	-64.3	1.64%	0	-1.5	25	0
4	Jul_11_2008	31.25	29.08	27.9	27.64			26.79(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-40	-10000	-11	-125	7.85	37%	-0.16	-58.9	1.64%	0	-1.6	23	0
5	Jul_10_2008	31.3	29.29	28.13	27.89			27.36(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-35	-10000	-4	-128	4.95	38%	-0.16	-62.5	1.64%	0	-1.4	20	0

6	Jul_9_2008	31.35	29.47	28.37	27.98			27.85(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-2	-133	6.4	38%	-0.13	-68.6	1.63%	0	-1.2	27	0
7	Jul_8_2008	31.39	29.64	28.54	28.03			28.45(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-0	-149	4.82	39%	-0.1	-70.8	1.63%	0	-0.9	26	0
8	Jul_7_2008	31.42	29.78	28.63	28.04			27.73(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-51	-10000	-8	-180	5.68	36%	-0.16	-73.3	1.6%	0	-1.5	17	0
9	Jul_3_2008	31.47	29.96	28.85	28.21			28.05(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-10000	-9	-192	3.37	36%	-0.16	-72.4	1.58%	0	-1.4	17	0
10	Jul_2_2008	31.52	30.19	29.14	28.42			27.81(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-10000	-18	-184	15.3	36%	-0.13	-69.8	1.58%	0	-1.8	26	0

11	Jul_1_2008	31.56	30.41	29.42	28.82			28.12(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-13	-159	8.13	42%	-0.13	-66.4	1.57%	0	-1.8	31	0
12	Jun_30_2008	31.6	30.62	29.74	29.11			28.48(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-10000	-8	-133	4.84	42%	-0.09	-65.4	1.66%	0	-1.8	29	0
13	Jun_27_2008	31.63	30.8	30.05	29.31			28.61(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-11	-118	9.62	40%	-0.09	-64.4	1.67%	0	-2	31	0
14	Jun_26_2008	31.66	30.99	30.36	29.58			29.1(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-15	-99	4.58	40%	-0.06	-62	1.67%	0	-1.9	33	0
15	Jun_25_2008	31.68	31.16	30.56	29.96			29.8(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-7	-91	6.66	42%	-0.06	-56.4	1.66%	0	-1.5	28	0

16	Jun_24_2008	31.7	31.28	30.66	30.13			29.58(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-13	-100	4.22	46%	-0.09	-60.1	1.66%	0	-1.9	31	0
17	Jun_23_2008	31.73	31.4	30.84	30.47			29.46(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-10000	-16	-86	4.62	46%	-0.09	-62.4	1.71%	0	-2.4	32	0
18	Jun_20_2008	31.76	31.52	31.03	30.9			29.98(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-13	-67	7.44	50%	-0.09	-70	1.71%	0	-2.3	35	0
19	Jun_19_2008	31.79	31.63	31.17	31.25			31(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	0	-52	3.95	53%	0	-77.6	1.7%	0	-1.1	38	0
20	Jun_18_2008	31.79	31.7	31.32	31.24			30.61(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-1	-53	6.43	56%	-0.03	-88.9	1.7%	0	-1.9	33	0

21	Jun_17_2008	31.8	31.81	31.48	31.26			31.3(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-0	-49	6.05	59%	0	-89.4	1.74%	0	-0.9	45	0
22	Jun_16_2008	31.8	31.91	31.56	31.27			31.62(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	3	-46	4.28	59%	0.03	-74.5	1.75%	0	-0.4	47	0
23	Jun_13_2008	31.79	32	31.59	31.19			31.72(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	3	-49	2.83	59%	0	-63.6	1.76%	0	-0.4	51	0
24	Jun_12_2008	31.79	32.09	31.64	31.1			30.95(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-12	-60	6.94	57%	0	-54.2	1.73%	0	-1.4	40	0
25	Jun_11_2008	31.79	32.21	31.8	31.44			30.7(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-11	-37	6.34	59%		-38	1.73%	0	-1.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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