Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $29.9800 (-3.29%) ($29.8800 - $30.6000) on Fri. Jun. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $29.9800(-3.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    QQQ(85%)    XLK(85%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.91(-10.24%)
Resistance Level   $31.52
5 Day Moving Average   $30.9(-2.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.03(-3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.52(-4.89%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2008	31.76	31.52	31.03	30.9			29.98(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-13	-67	7.44	50%	-0.09	-70	1.71%	0	-2.3	35	0
2	Jun_19_2008	31.79	31.63	31.17	31.25			31(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	0	-52	3.95	53%	0	-77.6	1.7%	0	-1.1	38	0
3	Jun_18_2008	31.79	31.7	31.32	31.24			30.61(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-1	-53	6.43	56%	-0.03	-88.9	1.7%	0	-1.9	33	0
4	Jun_17_2008	31.8	31.81	31.48	31.26			31.3(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-0	-49	6.05	59%	0	-89.4	1.74%	0	-0.9	45	0
5	Jun_16_2008	31.8	31.91	31.56	31.27			31.62(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	3	-46	4.28	59%	0.03	-74.5	1.75%	0	-0.4	47	0

6	Jun_13_2008	31.79	32	31.59	31.19			31.72(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	3	-49	2.83	59%	0	-63.6	1.76%	0	-0.4	51	0
7	Jun_12_2008	31.79	32.09	31.64	31.1			30.95(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-12	-60	6.94	57%	0	-54.2	1.73%	0	-1.4	40	0
8	Jun_11_2008	31.79	32.21	31.8	31.44			30.7(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-11	-37	6.34	59%	0	-38	1.73%	0	-1.9	35	0
9	Jun_10_2008	31.79	32.33	31.94	31.74			31.36(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-5	-26	4.97	61%	0	-30.5	1.74%	0	-1.3	34	0
10	Jun_9_2008	31.79	32.41	32	31.88			31.24(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-5	-33	5.51	61%	0.03	-26.3	1.75%	0	-1.7	29	0

11	Jun_6_2008	31.78	32.46	32.06	32.03			31.26(-4.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-7	-43	5.66	59%	0.06	-29.4	1.75%	0	-1.9	29	0
12	Jun_5_2008	31.76	32.53	32.15	32.24			32.64(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-44	3.75	64%	0.09	-29.7	1.69%	0	0.2	35	0
13	Jun_4_2008	31.73	32.51	32.1	32.22			32.22(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	2	-57	6.59	64%	0.06	-23.6	1.69%	0	-0.5	35	0
14	Jun_3_2008	31.71	32.55	32.17	32.17			32.03(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	1	-62	4.28	64%	0.06	-23.6	1.69%	0	-0.9	39	0
15	Jun_2_2008	31.69	32.59	32.3	32.15			31.99(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	2	-58	4.21	64%	0.03	-21.1	1.69%	0	-1.1	41	0

16	May_30_2008	31.68	32.65	32.43	32.09			32.31(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	1	-51	2.9	64%	0.06	-18	1.7%	0	-0.6	53	0
17	May_29_2008	31.66	32.7	32.56	32.05			32.56(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	3	-41	3.74	61%	0.06	-10.3	1.71%	0	-0.2	53	0
18	May_28_2008	31.64	32.65	32.63	31.98			31.94(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	-7	-40	3.31	56%	0.03	-13.5	1.72%	0	-1.1	47	0
19	May_27_2008	31.63	32.69	32.74	32.18			31.94(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-11	-30	5.16	56%	0.06	2.1	1.74%	0	-1.2	40	0
20	May_23_2008	31.61	32.71	32.84	32.48			31.7(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-12	-13	3.67	56%	0	18.6	1.73%	0	-1.7	40	0

21	May_22_2008	31.61	32.75	32.91	32.83			32.09(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-11	-2	3.13	58%	0	39.8	1.73%	0	-1.2	39	0
22	May_21_2008	31.61	32.76	32.96	33.14			32.23(-2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-10000	-8	10	5.56	56%	0.03	56.8	1.75%	0	-0.9	39	0
23	May_20_2008	31.6	32.74	32.98	33.37			32.93(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	9	-10000	-0	35	5.39	58%	0	66.7	1.76%	0	0.3	66	0
24	May_19_2008	31.6	32.67	32.99	33.38			33.45(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	41	3.69	58%	0	74	1.76%	0	1.2	57	0
25	May_16_2008	31.6	32.6	32.92	33.26			33.44(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	9	42	3.57	58%		82.1	1.76%	0	1.4	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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