Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.3600 (0.38%) ($30.9300 - $31.6400) on Tue. Jun. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $31.3600(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    QQQ(85%)    XLK(85%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.81(-11.32%)
Resistance Level   $32.33
5 Day Moving Average   $31.74(-1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.94(-1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.33(-3%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2008	31.79	32.33	31.94	31.74			31.36(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-5	-26	4.97	61%	0	-30.5	1.74%	0	-1.3	34	0
2	Jun_9_2008	31.79	32.41	32	31.88			31.24(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-5	-33	5.51	61%	0.03	-26.3	1.75%	0	-1.7	29	0
3	Jun_6_2008	31.78	32.46	32.06	32.03			31.26(-4.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-7	-43	5.66	59%	0.06	-29.4	1.75%	0	-1.9	29	0
4	Jun_5_2008	31.76	32.53	32.15	32.24			32.64(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-44	3.75	64%	0.09	-29.7	1.69%	0	0.2	35	0
5	Jun_4_2008	31.73	32.51	32.1	32.22			32.22(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	2	-57	6.59	64%	0.06	-23.6	1.69%	0	-0.5	35	0

6	Jun_3_2008	31.71	32.55	32.17	32.17			32.03(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	1	-62	4.28	64%	0.06	-23.6	1.69%	0	-0.9	39	0
7	Jun_2_2008	31.69	32.59	32.3	32.15			31.99(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	2	-58	4.21	64%	0.03	-21.1	1.69%	0	-1.1	41	0
8	May_30_2008	31.68	32.65	32.43	32.09			32.31(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	1	-51	2.9	64%	0.06	-18	1.7%	0	-0.6	53	0
9	May_29_2008	31.66	32.7	32.56	32.05			32.56(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	3	-41	3.74	61%	0.06	-10.3	1.71%	0	-0.2	53	0
10	May_28_2008	31.64	32.65	32.63	31.98			31.94(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	-7	-40	3.31	56%	0.03	-13.5	1.72%	0	-1.1	47	0

11	May_27_2008	31.63	32.69	32.74	32.18			31.94(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-11	-30	5.16	56%	0.06	2.1	1.74%	0	-1.2	40	0
12	May_23_2008	31.61	32.71	32.84	32.48			31.7(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-12	-13	3.67	56%	0	18.6	1.73%	0	-1.7	40	0
13	May_22_2008	31.61	32.75	32.91	32.83			32.09(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-11	-2	3.13	58%	0	39.8	1.73%	0	-1.2	39	0
14	May_21_2008	31.61	32.76	32.96	33.14			32.23(-2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-10000	-8	10	5.56	56%	0.03	56.8	1.75%	0	-0.9	39	0
15	May_20_2008	31.6	32.74	32.98	33.37			32.93(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	9	-10000	-0	35	5.39	58%	0	66.7	1.76%	0	0.3	66	0

16	May_19_2008	31.6	32.67	32.99	33.38			33.45(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	41	3.69	58%	0	74	1.76%	0	1.2	57	0
17	May_16_2008	31.6	32.6	32.92	33.26			33.44(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	9	42	3.57	58%	0.03	82.1	1.76%	0	1.4	59	0
18	May_15_2008	31.59	32.53	32.89	33.01			33.67(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	9	36	5.42	58%	0	78.4	1.77%	0	1.8	60	0
19	May_14_2008	31.59	32.42	32.83	32.76			33.35(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	7	33	3.69	58%	0.06	70.2	1.77%	0	1.5	61	0
20	May_13_2008	31.57	32.32	32.65	32.76			32.98(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	0	17	2.49	58%	-0.03	57	1.77%	0	1	62	0

21	May_12_2008	31.58	32.21	32.61	32.55			32.86(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	0	27	1.88	58%	0	45.5	1.78%	0	0.9	62	0
22	May_9_2008	31.58	32.1	32.55	32.54			32.2(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-7	27	3.41	56%	-0.03	37.2	1.75%	0	0.1	53	0
23	May_8_2008	31.59	32.05	32.57	32.74			32.39(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-6	43	3.71	56%	0	37.6	1.76%	0	0.5	54	0
24	May_7_2008	31.59	32	32.55	32.91			32.34(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	21	-10000	6	64	4.55	58%	-0.03	39.5	1.76%	0	0.4	59	0
25	May_6_2008	31.6	31.94	32.48	32.74			32.96(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	3	56	3.86	60%		27.7	1.76%	0	1.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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