Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 1, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.2600 (5.76%) ($32.1200 - $33.5500) on Thu. May. 1, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.81% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $33.2600(5.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(85%)    XLK(85%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.905% (StdDev 1.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.39(2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.15(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.77(4.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2008	31.61	31.77	32.15	32.39			33.26(5.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	-10000	8	75	6.86	57%	-0.03	37.9	1.81%	0	2.4	70	0
2	Apr_30_2008	31.62	31.7	32.15	32.15			31.45(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	15	-10000	-1	61	6.21	56%	-0.06	40.7	1.73%	0	-0.5	51	0
3	Apr_29_2008	31.64	31.73	31.97	32.18			32.58(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	7	72	3.09	59%	-0.09	48.5	1.67%	0	1.6	66	0
4	Apr_28_2008	31.67	31.7	31.78	31.99			32.32(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	2	46	3.78	61%	-0.06	38.8	1.67%	0	1.1	53	0
5	Apr_25_2008	31.69	31.62	31.62	31.94			32.36(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	2	31	5.68	58%	-0.09	22.2	1.68%	0	1.3	53	0

6	Apr_24_2008	31.72	31.53	31.47	31.88			32.04(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	4	17	5.21	58%	-0.06	14.4	1.7%	0	0.9	48	0
7	Apr_23_2008	31.74	31.49	31.41	31.76			31.6(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	2	2	2.59	61%	-0.09	14.6	1.69%	0	0.2	42	0
8	Apr_22_2008	31.77	31.48	31.36	31.71			31.61(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	-10000	7	-9	4.15	62%	-0.09	16.6	1.75%	0	0.2	43	0
9	Apr_21_2008	31.8	31.48	31.38	31.52			32.07(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	10	-22	3.43	62%	-0.09	26	1.76%	0	1	48	0
10	Apr_18_2008	31.83	31.5	31.35	31.24			32.07(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	8	-28	4.86	62%	-0.06	29.9	1.77%	0	1	64	0

11	Apr_17_2008	31.85	31.46	31.33	31.24			31.47(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-10000	0	-31	4.23	59%	-0.09	25.8	1.76%	0	0	62	0
12	Apr_16_2008	31.88	31.41	31.4	31.01			31.33(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	1	-21	6.37	59%	-0.06	23.7	1.77%	0	-0.1	53	0
13	Apr_15_2008	31.9	31.39	31.47	30.98			30.65(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-9	-21	2.88	56%	-0.06	23.7	1.75%	0	-1.2	44	0
14	Apr_14_2008	31.92	31.35	31.62	31.22			30.69(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-9	-6	3.3	56%	-0.09	29.6	1.77%	0	-0.9	39	0
15	Apr_11_2008	31.95	31.33	31.64	31.47			30.91(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-8	-6	3.88	54%	-0.03	36.2	1.77%	0	-0.6	38	0

16	Apr_10_2008	31.96	31.31	31.62	31.7			31.49(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-5	2	6.43	56%	-0.06	45.1	1.78%	0	0.2	53	0
17	Apr_9_2008	31.98	31.26	31.6	31.84			31.16(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-7	17	6.72	56%	-0.06	45.1	1.78%	0	-0.1	59	0
18	Apr_8_2008	32	31.24	31.63	32.03			31.86(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-2	38	4.58	57%	-0.03	48.4	1.76%	0	0.8	59	0
19	Apr_7_2008	32.01	31.14	31.64	32.08			31.93(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	9	69	3.15	57%	-0.09	40.4	1.78%	0	0.9	67	0
20	Apr_4_2008	32.04	31.05	31.66	31.83			32.05(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	11	79	3.24	54%	-0.06	26.2	1.78%	0	1.2	64	0

21	Apr_3_2008	32.06	30.97	31.58	31.53			32.2(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	7	66	6.36	54%	-0.06	7.5	1.82%	0	1.5	61	0
22	Apr_2_2008	32.08	30.91	31.41	31.32			32.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	17	-10000	5	53	7.51	53%	-0.09	-9.6	1.83%	0	1.5	61	0
23	Apr_1_2008	32.11	30.86	31.28	31.18			32.1(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	0	47	9.96	53%	-0.06	-26.2	1.84%	0	1.7	59	0
24	Mar_31_2008	32.13	30.81	31.04	31.17			30.72(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-11	43	5.19	49%	-0.09	-38.7	1.76%	0	-0.1	58	0
25	Mar_28_2008	32.16	30.83	30.98	31.48			30.53(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	13	-10000	-5	66	4.23	49%		-31.7	1.76%	0	-0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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