Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 1, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $32.1000 (4.49%) ($31.1400 - $32.2000) on Tue. Apr. 1, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $32.1000(4.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(85%)    XLK(85%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.18(2.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.28(2.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.86(4.02%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2008	32.11	30.86	31.28	31.18			32.1(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	0	47	9.96	53%	-0.06	-26.2	1.84%	0	1.7	59	0
2	Mar_31_2008	32.13	30.81	31.04	31.17			30.72(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-11	43	5.19	49%	-0.09	-38.7	1.76%	0	-0.1	58	0
3	Mar_28_2008	32.16	30.83	30.98	31.48			30.53(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	13	-10000	-5	66	4.23	49%	-0.16	-31.7	1.76%	0	-0.4	54	0
4	Mar_27_2008	32.21	30.91	30.99	31.63			31.13(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	25	-10000	6	82	4.74	50%	-0.09	-20.8	1.74%	0	0.3	55	0
5	Mar_26_2008	32.24	30.98	30.92	31.48			31.43(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	4	65	7.75	50%	-0.15	-19.7	1.75%	0	0.5	51	0

6	Mar_25_2008	32.29	31.05	30.84	31.36			32.03(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	18	59	7.48	51%	-0.09	-16.3	1.73%	0	1	54	0
7	Mar_24_2008	32.32	31.07	30.61	30.88			32.29(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	17	14	10.34	53%	-0.22	-27.3	1.75%	0	1.2	55	0
8	Mar_20_2008	32.39	31.05	30.38	30.43			31.25(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	6	-31	6.35	50%	-0.18	-40.1	1.7%	0	0.2	48	0
9	Mar_19_2008	32.45	31.06	30.29	30.27			30.4(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-0	-63	7.76	47%	-0.18	-47.2	1.66%	0	-0.7	34	0
10	Mar_18_2008	32.51	31.15	30.36	30.28			30.81(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	1	-81	5.6	47%	-0.18	-46.2	1.65%	0	-0.3	31	0

11	Mar_17_2008	32.57	31.2	30.38	30.25			29.64(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-10000	-1	-110	8.91	43%	-0.21	-47.2	1.57%	0	-1.5	17	0
12	Mar_14_2008	32.64	31.34	30.55	30.28			30.04(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-10000	-1	-124	8.92	43%	-0.21	-46.4	1.57%	0	-1.4	24	0
13	Mar_13_2008	32.71	31.44	30.67	30.28			30.48(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	0	-134	9.01	43%	-0.18	-46.4	1.57%	0	-1	33	0
14	Mar_12_2008	32.77	31.54	30.82	30.3			30.45(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-6	-133	4.11	43%	-0.18	-41.9	1.57%	0	-1.2	42	0
15	Mar_11_2008	32.83	31.62	31.05	30.45			30.62(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-10000	-5	-118	7.48	40%	-0.18	-37.1	1.57%	0	-1.1	37	0

16	Mar_10_2008	32.89	31.69	31.28	30.57			29.81(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-12	-103	6.99	37%	-0.21	-37.7	1.57%	0	-2.2	35	0
17	Mar_7_2008	32.96	31.79	31.57	30.85			30.16(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-10	-80	7.84	37%	-0.18	-41.2	1.57%	0	-2.3	34	0
18	Mar_6_2008	33.02	31.88	31.78	31.09			30.45(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-13	-66	6.47	37%	-0.21	-45	1.57%	0	-2.3	38	0
19	Mar_5_2008	33.09	31.92	31.91	31.42			31.21(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-14	-55	5.02	39%	-0.21	-34.9	1.55%	0	-1.3	40	0
20	Mar_4_2008	33.16	31.95	32.03	31.76			31.2(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-10000	-14	-30	7.48	39%	-0.18	-18.1	1.55%	0	-1.4	45	0

21	Mar_3_2008	33.22	32.01	32.1	32.11			31.25(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-10	-10000	-11	-6	4.89	39%	-0.21	9.4	1.55%	0	-1.5	46	0
22	Feb_29_2008	33.29	32.09	32.21	32.39			31.32(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	0	-10000	-7	22	9.13	41%	-0.18	42.8	1.55%	0	-1.5	50	0
23	Feb_28_2008	33.35	32.15	32.3	32.57			32.12(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	-10000	5	44	6.61	47%	-0.18	65.1	1.52%	0	-0.1	55	0
24	Feb_27_2008	33.41	32.11	32.32	32.45			32.9(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	5	49	4.45	51%	-0.15	55.2	1.58%	0	1.5	68	0
25	Feb_26_2008	33.46	32.04	32.23	32.33			32.97(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	9	48	6.77	49%		63.5	1.59%	0	1.8	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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