Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 8, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.5700 (-0.57%) ($31.2000 - $31.7900) on Fri. Feb. 8, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $31.5700(-0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(85%)    XLK(85%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.67(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.79(-0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.13(1.41%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2008	34.07	31.13	31.79	31.67			31.57(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-10	50	5.49	48%	-0.15	26.7	1.64%	0	0.5	66	0
2	Feb_7_2008	34.12	31.1	31.73	31.93			31.75(1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-6	84	6.43	46%	-0.2	31.4	1.64%	0	0.7	66	0
3	Feb_6_2008	34.19	31.04	31.71	32.1			31.15(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	28	-10000	-1	114	4.94	44%	-0.2	28.7	1.64%	0	0.1	59	0
4	Feb_5_2008	34.26	31	31.73	32.1			31.49(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	33	-10000	0	132	7	43%	-0.15	17.8	1.64%	0	0.5	62	0
5	Feb_4_2008	34.31	30.97	31.61	32.12			32.4(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	136	6.48	46%	-0.12	8.8	1.61%	0	1.6	63	0

6	Feb_1_2008	34.35	30.89	31.33	31.91			32.87(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	-10000	16	121	8.21	44%	-0.12	-8.8	1.6%	0	2.4	68	0
7	Jan_31_2008	34.39	30.82	31	31.51			32.58(4.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	-10000	8	76	7.92	44%	-0.12	-34.6	1.63%	0	2.4	59	0
8	Jan_30_2008	34.43	30.78	30.75	31.3			31.27(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	1	60	12.92	39%	-0.15	-54.2	1.53%	0	0.7	55	0
9	Jan_29_2008	34.48	30.84	30.62	31.28			31.47(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	11	60	4.76	39%	-0.12	-56.1	1.53%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Jan_28_2008	34.52	30.89	30.52	31.01			31.37(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	16	38	7.47	39%	-0.14	-59.6	1.53%	0	0.6	52	0

11	Jan_25_2008	34.57	30.96	30.52	30.64			30.86(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	10	2	6.66	38%	-0.17	-64	1.52%	0	-0.1	50	0
12	Jan_24_2008	34.63	31.08	30.4	30.4			31.51(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	12	-24	7.2	39%	-0.14	-63	1.5%	0	0.4	45	0
13	Jan_23_2008	34.68	31.16	30.29	30.13			31.2(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	11	-64	12.41	39%	-0.2	-60.8	1.49%	0	0	40	0
14	Jan_22_2008	34.75	31.24	30.2	29.89			30.1(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-4	-123	28.4	34%	-0.2	-66.4	1.41%	0	-0.9	28	0
15	Jan_18_2008	34.82	31.39	30.28	29.98			29.52(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-10000	-7	-143	6.38	30%	-0.2	-61.4	1.4%	0	-1.4	21	0

16	Jan_17_2008	34.89	31.56	30.41	30.12			29.66(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-50	-10000	-13	-162	6.89	30%	-0.23	-63.1	1.4%	0	-1.5	21	0
17	Jan_16_2008	34.97	31.75	30.63	30.39			30.16(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-4	-161	6.62	31%	-0.14	-62.4	1.39%	0	-1.3	21	0
18	Jan_15_2008	35.02	31.89	30.82	30.47			29.99(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-10000	-4	-174	6.5	30%	-0.2	-69.5	1.39%	0	-1.6	18	0
19	Jan_14_2008	35.09	32.06	31.08	30.55			30.55(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-10000	-4	-175	3	32%	-0.2	-78.2	1.38%	0	-1.3	29	0
20	Jan_11_2008	35.16	32.22	31.3	30.63			30.26(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-10000	-5	-175	3.96	32%	-0.17	-82.6	1.38%	0	-1.7	25	0

21	Jan_10_2008	35.22	32.4	31.57	30.74			31(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-10000	-8	-174	6.12	33%	-0.17	-87	1.35%	0	-1.3	31	0
22	Jan_9_2008	35.28	32.54	31.8	30.91			30.57(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-16	-166	6.71	31%	-0.14	-86	1.34%	0	-1.8	24	0
23	Jan_8_2008	35.33	32.76	32.1	31.24			30.35(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-10000	-22	-140	4.3	31%	-0.17	-82.6	1.33%	0	-2.4	26	0
24	Jan_7_2008	35.39	32.99	32.37	31.71			30.95(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-10000	-17	-110	6.12	32%	-0.14	-73.3	1.32%	0	-2.1	27	0
25	Jan_4_2008	35.44	33.18	32.6	32.08			30.84(-3.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-37	-10000	-20	-89	5.99	36%		-63.5	1.35%	0	-2.5	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.