Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.2600 (-2.39%) ($30.1100 - $30.6800) on Fri. Jan. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $30.2600(-2.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(85%)    XLK(85%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.32(-19.63%)
Resistance Level   $32.22
5 Day Moving Average   $30.63(-1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.3(-3.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.22(-6.08%)
To recent high   -20%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2008	35.16	32.22	31.3	30.63			30.26(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-10000	-5	-175	3.96	32%	-0.17	-82.6	1.38%	0	-1.7	25	0
2	Jan_10_2008	35.22	32.4	31.57	30.74			31(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-10000	-8	-174	6.12	33%	-0.17	-87	1.35%	0	-1.3	31	0
3	Jan_9_2008	35.28	32.54	31.8	30.91			30.57(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-16	-166	6.71	31%	-0.14	-86	1.34%	0	-1.8	24	0
4	Jan_8_2008	35.33	32.76	32.1	31.24			30.35(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-10000	-22	-140	4.3	31%	-0.17	-82.6	1.33%	0	-2.4	26	0
5	Jan_7_2008	35.39	32.99	32.37	31.71			30.95(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-10000	-17	-110	6.12	32%	-0.14	-73.3	1.32%	0	-2.1	27	0

6	Jan_4_2008	35.44	33.18	32.6	32.08			30.84(-3.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-37	-10000	-20	-89	5.99	36%	-0.11	-63.5	1.35%	0	-2.5	23	0
7	Jan_3_2008	35.48	33.36	32.83	32.51			31.84(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-15	-71	9.59	39%	-0.11	-60.4	1.3%	0	-1.9	26	0
8	Jan_2_2008	35.52	33.49	32.98	32.83			32.2(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-13	-53	3.9	39%	-0.11	-47.5	1.3%	0	-1.7	31	0
9	Dec_31_2007	35.56	33.61	33.06	33.1			32.7(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-2	-54	3.21	40%	-0.11	-28.4	1.29%	0	-1.3	25	0
10	Dec_28_2007	35.6	33.7	33.12	33.14			32.82(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-3	-71	0.66	40%	-0.11	-19.9	1.3%	0	-1.2	26	0

11	Dec_27_2007	35.64	33.77	33.21	33.14			32.97(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	0	-78	2.66	40%	-0.11	-10.9	1.31%	0	-1.2	32	0
12	Dec_26_2007	35.68	33.77	33.3	33.2			33.44(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	2	-85	1.83	44%	-0.17	-3.6	1.3%	0	-0.6	40	0
13	Dec_24_2007	35.74	33.85	33.33	33.16			33.55(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	5	-94	1.2	44%	-0.06	-5.2	1.31%	0	-0.4	40	0
14	Dec_21_2007	35.76	33.81	33.44	33.04			32.94(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-3	-104	5.05	41%	-0.14	-18.1	1.29%	0	-1.2	31	0
15	Dec_20_2007	35.81	33.81	33.63	33.1			33.11(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-6	-99	2.35	39%	-0.11	-19.6	1.29%	0	-1.1	31	0

16	Dec_19_2007	35.85	33.85	33.78	33.22			32.95(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-9	-87	3.13	39%	-0.11	-23.7	1.3%	0	-1.3	38	0
17	Dec_18_2007	35.89	33.87	33.92	33.41			33.25(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-5	-75	3.89	45%	-0.11	-26.9	1.3%	0	-0.9	37	0
18	Dec_17_2007	35.93	33.88	34.04	33.52			32.94(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10000	-17	-56	2.97	45%	-0.14	-27.4	1.39%	0	-1.4	52	0
19	Dec_14_2007	35.98	33.94	34.2	33.91			33.25(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-14	-7	1.91	45%	-0.11	-11.5	1.39%	0	-1.1	59	0
20	Dec_13_2007	36.02	33.98	34.35	34.24			33.69(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-8	31	3.46	46%	-0.14	-2.2	1.39%	0	-0.5	53	0

21	Dec_12_2007	36.07	34.01	34.4	34.43			33.91(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-3	61	3.58	46%	-0.14	2.7	1.4%	0	-0.2	60	0
22	Dec_11_2007	36.12	34.06	34.47	34.51			33.8(-3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	17	-10000	-5	81	4.42	46%	-0.17	1.5	1.4%	0	-0.4	56	0
23	Dec_10_2007	36.18	34.07	34.43	34.62			34.92(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	97	1.76	50%	-0.14	-2.1	1.35%	0	1.3	65	0
24	Dec_7_2007	36.23	34.01	34.21	34.53			34.9(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	2	76	4.1	47%	-0.14	-18.9	1.35%	0	1.4	56	0
25	Dec_6_2007	36.28	34	34.08	34.48			34.61(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	4	68	2.62	47%		-29.1	1.38%	0	1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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