Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $38.1500 (2.22%) ($37.5500 - $38.1500) on Fri. Oct. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $38.1500(2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.52(1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.13(2.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.97(3.19%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2007	38.12	36.97	37.13	37.52			38.15(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	10	22	5.87	45%	-0.03	31.8	1.41%	0	1.8	65	0
2	Oct_4_2007	38.13	36.85	37.01	37.25			37.32(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	5	6	4.01	42%	-0.05	17.2	1.38%	0	0.8	54	0
3	Oct_3_2007	38.15	36.82	36.99	37.12			37.51(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	5	3	7.52	42%	-0.05	11	1.39%	0	1.2	58	0
4	Oct_2_2007	38.17	36.78	37.01	36.98			37.3(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	7	13	4.55	42%	-0.05	13.2	1.39%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Oct_1_2007	38.19	36.77	37.06	36.79			37.31(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	4	18	3.13	42%	-0.05	9.2	1.39%	0	1	62	0

6	Sep_28_2007	38.21	36.76	36.97	36.68			36.83(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-2	17	2.48	42%	-0.05	5.3	1.38%	0	0.1	62	0
7	Sep_27_2007	38.23	36.75	36.97	36.74			36.65(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-4	30	3.11	43%	-0.08	10.5	1.38%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Sep_26_2007	38.26	36.76	36.98	36.84			36.83(1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-10000	-8	35	6.65	43%	-0.08	18.4	1.38%	0	0.1	51	0
9	Sep_25_2007	38.29	36.71	36.98	37.05			36.31(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-12	43	8.39	41%	-0.08	24.7	1.37%	0	-0.7	48	0
10	Sep_24_2007	38.32	36.72	36.92	37.36			36.79(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	17	-10000	3	58	2.84	41%	-0.08	46	1.37%	0	0.1	46	0

11	Sep_21_2007	38.35	36.73	36.82	37.29			37.1(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	2	37	2.36	41%	-0.05	53.6	1.36%	0	0.6	48	0
12	Sep_20_2007	38.37	36.69	36.71	37.24			37.16(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	4	28	2.97	41%	-0.08	59.6	1.36%	0	0.8	54	0
13	Sep_19_2007	38.4	36.66	36.66	37.13			37.91(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	14	25	5.48	43%	-0.03	65.2	1.34%	0	2.1	59	0
14	Sep_18_2007	38.41	36.56	36.53	36.78			37.84(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	14	-10000	14	13	4.45	43%	-0.03	57.4	1.34%	0	2.4	66	0
15	Sep_17_2007	38.42	36.45	36.45	36.43			36.42(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	-10000	6	-7	1.55	38%	-0.08	37.1	1.25%	0	-0.1	50	0

16	Sep_14_2007	38.45	36.41	36.52	36.29			36.87(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	9	-14	3.99	38%	-0.08	20.3	1.24%	0	0.9	48	0
17	Sep_13_2007	38.48	36.33	36.49	36.1			36.63(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-1	-29	2.81	40%	-0.08	-0.6	1.24%	0	0.5	53	0
18	Sep_12_2007	38.51	36.27	36.5	36.13			36.13(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-5	-25	1.17	37%	-0.08	-16.4	1.24%	0	-0.2	48	0
19	Sep_11_2007	38.54	36.25	36.47	36.24			36.11(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-10	-23	3.24	37%	-0.1	-22.2	1.24%	0	-0.2	53	0
20	Sep_10_2007	38.58	36.27	36.51	36.47			35.71(-0.53%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-10	-10000	-14	2	5.97	37%	-0.1	-14.6	1.23%	0	-0.9	52	0

21	Sep_7_2007	38.62	36.31	36.65	36.78			35.9(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	7	-10000	-6	46	8.88	37%	-0.08	-1.2	1.24%	0	-0.7	55	0
22	Sep_6_2007	38.65	36.34	36.71	36.78			36.78(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	0	74	1.73	38%	-0.08	-1.8	1.23%	0	0.7	64	0
23	Sep_5_2007	38.68	36.37	36.68	36.92			36.69(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-10000	9	93	4.36	38%	-0.08	1.7	1.24%	0	0.5	64	0
24	Sep_4_2007	38.71	36.39	36.61	36.72			37.28(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	7	84	3.02	40%	-0.05	-5.9	1.23%	0	1.3	64	0
25	Aug_31_2007	38.73	36.36	36.46	36.57			37.23(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	2	63	3.23	40%		-17	1.22%	0	1.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.