Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $35.5500 (0.71%) ($35.2500 - $36.8100) on Fri. Aug. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $35.5500(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.89(-15.92%)
Resistance Level   $36.95
5 Day Moving Average   $35.66(-0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.24(-1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.95(-3.79%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2007	38.95	36.95	36.24	35.66			35.55(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-8	-118	5.92	33%	-0.05	-82.4	1.06%	0	-1.1	35	0
2	Aug_16_2007	38.97	37.14	36.33	35.82			35.3(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10000	-13	-119	7.22	33%	-0.08	-75.9	1.05%	0	-1.4	39	0
3	Aug_15_2007	39	37.37	36.56	36.06			35.25(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10000	-25	-107	4.62	33%	-0.08	-70.5	1.05%	0	-1.6	35	0
4	Aug_14_2007	39.03	37.6	36.75	36.53			35.63(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-16	-88	4.75	34%	-0.08	-61.3	1.05%	0	-1.5	31	0
5	Aug_13_2007	39.06	37.81	36.9	36.84			36.56(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-89	4.94	37%	-0.05	-54.7	1%	0	-1	34	0

6	Aug_10_2007	39.08	37.98	36.99	36.91			36.36(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-1	-110	5.51	36%	-0.05	-52.9	1%	0	-1.2	29	0
7	Aug_9_2007	39.1	38.16	37.07	36.92			36.52(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-11	-149	3.98	36%	-0.08	-54.5	1.01%	0	-1.3	30	0
8	Aug_8_2007	39.13	38.33	37.18	37.12			37.58(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-38	-10000	6	-170	6.08	39%	0	-52.1	0.95%	0	-0.6	32	0
9	Aug_7_2007	39.13	38.43	37.28	37.01			37.16(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-49	-10000	2	-202	5.93	37%	-0.03	-55.5	0.94%	0	-1	29	0
10	Aug_6_2007	39.14	38.54	37.44	36.98			36.95(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-10000	-7	-227	4.9	37%	0	-57.6	0.94%	0	-1.3	27	0

11	Aug_3_2007	39.14	38.69	37.68	37.1			36.37(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-64	-10000	-8	-233	4.77	33%	-0.05	-54.2	0.91%	0	-1.9	21	0
12	Aug_2_2007	39.16	38.89	37.99	37.24			37.52(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-63	-10000	-1	-248	5.36	40%	0.03	-53.6	0.84%	0	-1.2	24	0
13	Aug_1_2007	39.15	39.01	38.23	37.26			37.05(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-82	-10000	-22	-260	5.02	37%	-0.03	-53	0.83%	0	-1.8	21	0
14	Jul_31_2007	39.16	39.15	38.51	37.6			37(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-10000	-24	-222	3.34	37%	-0.03	-46.9	0.84%	0	-2.1	26	0
15	Jul_30_2007	39.17	39.28	38.81	37.98			37.57(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-64	-10000	-25	-182	3.5	37%	-0.03	-41.1	0.82%	0	-1.9	33	0

16	Jul_27_2007	39.18	39.38	39.04	38.37			37.04(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-61	-10000	-31	-152	5.86	33%	-0.03	-33.3	0.81%	0	-3	21	0
17	Jul_26_2007	39.19	39.51	39.36	38.86			37.63(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-50	-10000	-30	-108	6.84	36%	0	-25	0.79%	0	-3.3	23	0
18	Jul_25_2007	39.19	39.61	39.6	39.32			38.77(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-10000	-16	-59	4.61	44%	0.03	-8.6	0.71%	0	-2.3	38	0
19	Jul_24_2007	39.18	39.62	39.69	39.55			38.9(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-10000	-14	-33	4.7	44%	0.03	-2.3	0.72%	0	-2.1	43	0
20	Jul_23_2007	39.17	39.65	39.74	39.75			39.52(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-6	-11	1.67	48%	0.05	9.9	0.69%	0	-0.4	51	0

21	Jul_20_2007	39.15	39.64	39.79	39.83			39.46(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-8	11	3.51	51%	0.03	9.6	0.69%	0	-0.5	54	0
22	Jul_19_2007	39.14	39.65	39.86	39.94			39.97(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	46	1.33	54%	0.05	19.8	0.69%	0	1	63	0
23	Jul_18_2007	39.12	39.64	39.85	39.92			39.88(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	5	55	1.66	54%	0.05	22.2	0.69%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Jul_17_2007	39.1	39.63	39.82	39.85			39.93(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	9	62	1.77	54%	0	29.5	0.69%	0	1	67	0
25	Jul_16_2007	39.1	39.62	39.78	39.73			39.89(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-10000	-1	50	1.04	56%		23.1	0.7%	0	0.9	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.