Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $39.9300 (0.1%) ($39.8500 - $39.9800) on Tue. Jul. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $39.9300(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.85(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.82(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.63(0.76%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2007	39.1	39.63	39.82	39.85			39.93(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	9	62	1.77	54%	0	29.5	0.69%	0	1	67	0
2	Jul_16_2007	39.1	39.62	39.78	39.73			39.89(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-10000	-1	50	1.04	56%	0	23.1	0.7%	0	0.9	60	0
3	Jul_13_2007	39.1	39.61	39.73	39.75			40.05(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	12	-10000	-2	52	1.99	56%	0.03	32.9	0.7%	0	1.5	59	0
4	Jul_12_2007	39.09	39.59	39.65	39.78			39.85(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	1	51	1.92	56%	-0.03	49.3	0.7%	0	0.9	52	0
5	Jul_11_2007	39.1	39.57	39.6	39.77			39.54(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-1	43	2.51	55%	0	46.5	0.7%	0	-0.1	47	0

6	Jul_10_2007	39.1	39.57	39.6	39.78			39.31(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-4	28	4.51	55%	0	26.9	0.7%	0	-0.7	42	0
7	Jul_9_2007	39.1	39.54	39.55	39.83			40.02(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	10	33	1.46	60%	0	14.1	0.67%	0	1.5	55	0
8	Jul_6_2007	39.1	39.51	39.48	39.69			40.17(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-10000	14	8	2.15	60%	0	-12.3	0.67%	0	2.3	54	0
9	Jul_5_2007	39.1	39.45	39.42	39.51			39.81(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	7	-19	3.35	58%	0	-49.3	0.66%	0	1.3	51	0
10	Jul_3_2007	39.1	39.44	39.4	39.42			39.6(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	10	-23	1.82	61%	0	-59.2	0.66%	0	0.5	54	0

11	Jul_2_2007	39.1	39.46	39.42	39.29			39.54(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	4	-26	1.24	61%	0	-53.8	0.68%	0	0.2	62	0
12	Jun_29_2007	39.1	39.5	39.43	39.23			39.33(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	-1	-29	1.95	61%	0	-44.6	0.67%	0	-0.4	52	0
13	Jun_28_2007	39.1	39.55	39.47	39.24			39.28(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-6	-21	3.16	57%	-0.03	-34	0.67%	0	-0.6	48	0
14	Jun_27_2007	39.11	39.59	39.47	39.32			39.36(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10000	-5	4	1.87	57%	0	-26.4	0.69%	0	-0.5	58	0
15	Jun_26_2007	39.11	39.62	39.52	39.39			38.96(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-10000	-13	5	9.75	55%	-0.03	-20.8	0.68%	0	-1.6	42	0

16	Jun_25_2007	39.12	39.65	39.54	39.56			39.23(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-6	6	1.82	57%	-0.03	-12.9	0.68%	0	-1.1	38	0
17	Jun_22_2007	39.13	39.68	39.55	39.64			39.39(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-7	-7	2.29	57%	0	-7.1	0.68%	0	-0.7	37	0
18	Jun_21_2007	39.13	39.69	39.56	39.73			39.65(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-1	-12	2.92	61%	0	1	0.67%	0	-0.1	40	0
19	Jun_20_2007	39.13	39.69	39.49	39.74			39.72(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	4	-32	2.66	61%	0.03	7.3	0.7%	0	0.1	45	0
20	Jun_19_2007	39.12	39.7	39.48	39.68			39.79(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	11	-44	3.11	63%	0.03	11.5	0.7%	0	0.2	47	0

21	Jun_18_2007	39.11	39.7	39.5	39.52			39.66(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	6	-55	0.79	63%	0.03	6.3	0.72%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Jun_15_2007	39.1	39.71	39.57	39.44			39.83(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	6	-51	2.64	63%	0.03	6.3	0.72%	0	0.3	52	0
23	Jun_14_2007	39.09	39.69	39.61	39.36			39.7(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	11	-45	0.95	63%	0	2	0.72%	0	0	53	0
24	Jun_13_2007	39.09	39.67	39.64	39.2			39.42(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-4	-65	1.39	58%	0	-11.9	0.72%	0	-0.6	45	0
25	Jun_12_2007	39.09	39.66	39.7	39.25			38.97(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-16	-60	1.63	56%		-9.7	0.75%	0	-1.7	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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