Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 21, 2007

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $39.8700 (0.38%) ($39.7300 - $40.0000) on Mon. May. 21, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $39.8700(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.48(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.41(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.41(1.17%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.58% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2007	38.98	39.41	39.41	39.48			39.87(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	9	-10000	7	13	3.26	51%	0.05	10.3	0.85%	0	2	66	0
2	May_18_2007	38.96	39.39	39.37	39.37			39.72(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	6	-10000	5	10	1.89	52%	0.03	0	0.85%	0	1.6	66	0
3	May_17_2007	38.95	39.38	39.34	39.28			39.36(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	2	2	1.16	51%	0.03	2	0.85%	0	-0.1	48	0
4	May_16_2007	38.94	39.36	39.35	39.24			39.3(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0.98	51%	0.03	2	0.85%	0	-0.3	42	0
5	May_15_2007	38.93	39.37	39.35	39.29			39.16(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-2	-8	3.27	51%	0	27.5	0.85%	0	-1.1	39	0

6	May_14_2007	38.93	39.37	39.36	39.33			39.3(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10000	-2	-10	0.9	51%	0.03	45.1	0.85%	0	-0.5	50	0
7	May_11_2007	38.92	39.39	39.33	39.37			39.3(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-15	1.34	52%	0.03	57.1	0.85%	0	-0.4	47	0
8	May_10_2007	38.91	39.37	39.34	39.41			39.14(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-10000	-3	-14	1.77	52%	0.03	56.3	0.85%	0	-0.9	43	0
9	May_9_2007	38.9	39.36	39.39	39.46			39.57(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1	-10000	1	2	2.31	53%	0.03	59.5	0.85%	0	0.7	58	0
10	May_8_2007	38.89	39.31	39.4	39.45			39.33(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-10000	4	7	1.06	53%	0.03	55.3	0.85%	0	0.1	49	0

11	May_7_2007	38.88	39.3	39.41	39.39			39.5(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	7	1	1	53%	0.03	58	0.85%	0	0.6	51	0
12	May_4_2007	38.87	39.26	39.4	39.27			39.5(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	1	-10	1.15	53%	0.03	59.8	0.84%	0	0.8	54	0
13	May_3_2007	38.86	39.23	39.41	39.26			39.41(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	-4	-2	2.29	53%	0.03	72	0.85%	0	0.6	59	0
14	May_2_2007	38.85	39.19	39.38	39.32			39.49(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-10000	-3	7	3.48	53%	0.03	80.9	0.86%	0	0.9	60	0
15	May_1_2007	38.84	39.15	39.37	39.37			39.04(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-4	26	2.85	50%	0.03	89.1	0.84%	0	-0.3	60	0

16	Apr_30_2007	38.83	39.11	39.42	39.43			38.93(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-7	41	1.63	53%	0.03	78.5	0.85%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Apr_27_2007	38.82	39.07	39.46	39.54			39.43(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-2	64	2.83	55%	0.03	69.9	0.83%	0	0.7	61	0
18	Apr_26_2007	38.81	39	39.41	39.57			39.69(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	73	1.88	55%	0.05	59.6	0.83%	0	1.3	65	0
19	Apr_25_2007	38.79	38.91	39.33	39.45			39.75(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	4	67	3.42	52%	0.03	43.1	0.83%	0	1.5	71	0
20	Apr_24_2007	38.78	38.83	39.22	39.39			39.35(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	1.75	50%	0.05	42.4	0.85%	0	1	64	0

21	Apr_23_2007	38.76	38.78	39.18	39.41			39.49(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	74	0.79	50%	0.05	49.6	0.85%	0	1.3	73	0
22	Apr_20_2007	38.74	38.74	39.11	39.37			39.57(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	8	88	0.68	48%	0.05	63.6	0.85%	0	1.7	76	0
23	Apr_19_2007	38.72	38.69	39.03	39.23			39.11(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	2	89	1.92	46%	0.03	72.3	0.84%	0	0.9	73	0
24	Apr_18_2007	38.71	38.67	38.98	39.19			39.42(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	11	104	0.83	46%	0.05	85.3	0.83%	0	1.7	82	0
25	Apr_17_2007	38.69	38.6	38.9	39.02			39.45(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	7	94	0.65	46%		88.1	0.84%	0	2	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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