Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 15, 2007

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $37.5200 (0.21%) ($37.4600 - $37.7000) on Thu. Mar. 15, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $37.5200(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.06(-11.89%)
Resistance Level   $38.53
5 Day Moving Average   $37.79(-0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.8(-0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.53(-2.62%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2007	38.45	38.53	37.8	37.79			37.52(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-9	-96	0.96	35%	0.03	-45	0.77%	0	-1	25	0
2	Mar_14_2007	38.44	38.65	37.85	37.92			37.44(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-34	-10000	-6	-116	2.66	39%	0	-42.5	0.77%	0	-1.2	23	0
3	Mar_13_2007	38.44	38.76	37.93	38.01			37.51(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-10000	-5	-139	0.86	39%	0.03	-42	0.78%	0	-1.3	23	0
4	Mar_12_2007	38.43	38.85	38	38.09			38.21(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	-10000	13	-168	0.41	42%	0.03	-42.9	0.75%	0	-0.7	25	0
5	Mar_9_2007	38.42	38.92	38.11	37.9			38.26(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-46	-10000	6	-202	1.26	42%	0.05	-50.4	0.75%	0	-0.7	31	0

6	Mar_8_2007	38.4	39	38.25	37.81			38.18(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-54	-10000	2	-220	0.82	42%	0.05	-52.7	0.75%	0	-0.9	29	0
7	Mar_7_2007	38.38	39.08	38.41	37.78			37.88(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-61	-10000	-5	-228	1.3	40%	0.05	-51.9	0.75%	0	-1.3	27	0
8	Mar_6_2007	38.36	39.18	38.62	37.85			37.92(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-56	-10000	-3	-215	1.31	40%	0.03	-49.1	0.75%	0	-1.4	31	0
9	Mar_5_2007	38.35	39.27	38.84	37.9			37.28(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-80	-10000	-33	-220	3.01	37%	0.03	-48.1	0.71%	0	-2.3	29	0
10	Mar_2_2007	38.34	39.4	39.11	38.35			37.78(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-63	-10000	-30	-162	1.92	43%	0.03	-35	0.71%	0	-2.3	31	0

11	Mar_1_2007	38.33	39.5	39.34	38.76			38.06(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-48	-10000	-27	-112	2.66	45%	0.05	-18.8	0.71%	0	-2.4	29	0
12	Feb_28_2007	38.31	39.58	39.52	39.14			38.23(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-37	-10000	-26	-71	5.44	48%	0.05	-3.1	0.7%	0	-2.6	30	0
13	Feb_27_2007	38.29	39.63	39.68	39.5			38.15(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-30	-10000	-29	-32	3.53	44%	0.05	14.7	0.7%	0	-3.4	33	0
14	Feb_26_2007	38.27	39.68	39.81	39.9			39.51(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-7	25	0.91	54%	0.1	51.3	0.57%	0	-0.5	50	0
15	Feb_23_2007	38.23	39.65	39.82	39.98			39.85(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-2	33	0.8	57%	0.1	40.7	0.57%	0	0.6	53	0

16	Feb_22_2007	38.19	39.61	39.82	40			39.94(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	2	44	1.17	57%	0.1	33.3	0.57%	0	0.9	57	0
17	Feb_21_2007	38.15	39.59	39.81	39.98			40.03(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	7	53	2.07	57%	0.13	36.6	0.57%	0	1.2	61	0
18	Feb_20_2007	38.1	39.56	39.77	39.9			40.19(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	17	63	0.92	57%	0.24	31.9	0.57%	0	1.7	71	0
19	Feb_16_2007	38.01	39.52	39.71	39.71			39.9(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	49	0.83	55%	0.13	22.2	0.56%	0	1.2	70	0
20	Feb_15_2007	37.96	39.5	39.69	39.62			39.95(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	2	57	1.42	55%	0.13	21.8	0.56%	0	1.5	72	0

21	Feb_14_2007	37.91	39.48	39.65	39.6			39.82(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	15	-10000	-2	67	0.99	58%	0.11	34.2	0.56%	0	1.1	65	0
22	Feb_13_2007	37.87	39.46	39.61	39.62			39.62(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10000	-2	64	0.94	58%	0.13	50.7	0.58%	0	0.6	49	0
23	Feb_12_2007	37.82	39.46	39.56	39.64			39.27(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	11	-10000	-5	58	0.87	56%	0.13	70.3	0.57%	0	-0.6	47	0
24	Feb_9_2007	37.77	39.45	39.54	39.7			39.46(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-5	59	1.13	56%	0.16	91.9	0.56%	0	0	52	0
25	Feb_8_2007	37.71	39.44	39.48	39.75			39.83(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	54	0.96	60%		105.3	0.55%	0	1.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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