Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 7, 2007

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $39.9100 (0.48%) ($39.6800 - $39.9600) on Wed. Feb. 7, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $39.9100(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.7(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.4(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.38(1.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2007	37.66	39.38	39.4	39.7			39.91(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	8	34	0.92	60%	0.16	98.8	0.55%	0	1.7	53	0
2	Feb_6_2007	37.6	39.31	39.37	39.61			39.72(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	12	29	1.37	63%	0.16	85.4	0.55%	0	1.2	55	0
3	Feb_5_2007	37.54	39.25	39.34	39.48			39.58(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	12	10	0.76	63%	0.13	65.7	0.57%	0	0.8	53	0
4	Feb_2_2007	37.49	39.18	39.31	39.35			39.71(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	-10000	16	-5	0.61	60%	0.13	46.4	0.57%	0	1.2	58	0
5	Feb_1_2007	37.44	39.12	39.3	39.17			39.6(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	10	-23	1.19	57%	0.16	37.5	0.57%	0	1.1	59	0

6	Jan_31_2007	37.38	39.07	39.29	39.06			39.46(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-9	-10000	-3	-25	1.15	57%	0.13	33	0.59%	0	0.9	64	0
7	Jan_30_2007	37.33	39.02	39.28	39.09			39.04(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-9	-1	1.27	54%	0.16	36.5	0.57%	0	0	63	0
8	Jan_29_2007	37.27	38.99	39.32	39.19			38.93(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-7	40	1.91	54%	0.16	43.2	0.58%	0	-0.1	65	0
9	Jan_26_2007	37.21	38.98	39.36	39.27			38.83(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-14	74	1.12	54%	0.16	48	0.59%	0	-0.3	65	0
10	Jan_25_2007	37.15	38.96	39.4	39.43			39.02(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	20	-10000	-10	111	0.92	54%	0.16	56.3	0.61%	0	0.1	62	0

11	Jan_24_2007	37.09	38.92	39.38	39.55			39.65(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	5	151	0.97	60%	0.19	60.9	0.57%	0	1.5	75	0
12	Jan_23_2007	37.02	38.85	39.27	39.5			39.5(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	39	-10000	2	150	1.5	63%	0.05	54.8	0.57%	0	1.3	76	0
13	Jan_22_2007	37	38.8	39.16	39.48			39.36(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	2	140	2.15	63%	0.19	55.6	0.59%	0	1.2	67	0
14	Jan_19_2007	36.93	38.75	39.05	39.46			39.61(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	134	0.98	66%	0.19	58.1	0.59%	0	1.8	72	0
15	Jan_18_2007	36.86	38.69	38.94	39.37			39.62(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	-10000	16	131	1.01	66%	0.19	57.8	0.59%	0	2.1	76	0

16	Jan_17_2007	36.79	38.62	38.83	39.19			39.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	41	-10000	16	116	0.84	66%	0.19	56.4	0.58%	0	2	75	0
17	Jan_16_2007	36.72	38.59	38.72	39.01			39.4(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	-10000	19	94	0.89	66%	0.33	57.1	0.59%	0	2.3	74	0
18	Jan_12_2007	36.6	38.53	38.63	38.79			39.26(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	-10000	18	67	0.86	68%	0.19	52.9	0.58%	0	2.7	66	0
19	Jan_11_2007	36.53	38.47	38.56	38.59			39.15(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	18	-10000	11	37	0.72	68%	0.19	36.8	0.6%	0	3.1	64	0
20	Jan_10_2007	36.46	38.43	38.47	38.46			38.72(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	6	-10000	3	15	1.02	66%	0.16	41	0.59%	0	1.9	57	0

21	Jan_9_2007	36.4	38.4	38.42	38.42			38.52(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	3	4	1.14	66%	0.19	51.3	0.59%	0	0.8	51	0
22	Jan_8_2007	36.33	38.4	38.4	38.39			38.31(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-4	-15	3.12	66%	0.14	63.9	0.59%	0	-0.6	36	0
23	Jan_5_2007	36.28	38.4	38.41	38.44			38.25(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-6	-6	1.01	66%	0.14	89.7	0.6%	0	-0.9	49	0
24	Jan_4_2007	36.23	38.39	38.43	38.51			38.51(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	3	14	1.34	72%	0.17	123.8	0.59%	0	0.7	60	0
25	Jan_3_2007	36.17	38.37	38.42	38.48			38.52(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	5	11	2	72%		148.7	0.61%	0	1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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