Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 26, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $38.3500 (0.31%) ($38.1000 - $38.3700) on Tue. Dec. 26, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $38.3500(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.34(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.38(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.19(0.42%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2006	35.82	38.19		38.34			38.35(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-2	6	0.5	71%	0.25	33.7	0.61%	0	0.5	50	0
2	Dec_22_2006	35.73	38.15	38.38	38.36			38.23(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-3	15	0.6	73%	0.17	22.7	0.63%	0	0.2	56	0
3	Dec_21_2006	35.67	38.14	38.39	38.4			38.26(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-8	32	2.81	73%	0.17	22.7	0.63%	0	0.3	65	0
4	Dec_20_2006	35.61	38.13	38.38	38.5			38.43(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	2	61	1.78	73%	0.2	34	0.64%	0	0.8	67	0
5	Dec_19_2006	35.54	38.11	38.37	38.48			38.44(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	5	76	1.07	73%	0.17	36.1	0.64%	0	0.9	68	0

6	Dec_18_2006	35.48	38.09	38.36	38.42			38.42(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	1	89	1.65	73%	0.17	40	0.64%	0	0.9	72	0
7	Dec_15_2006	35.42	38.07	38.32	38.41			38.45(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	3	105	0.97	73%	0.2	51.1	0.64%	0	1.1	72	0
8	Dec_14_2006	35.35	38.05	38.24	38.37			38.75(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	11	99	0.66	77%	0.2	61.8	0.63%	0	2.1	62	0
9	Dec_13_2006	35.28	38.01	38.13	38.37			38.35(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	0	69	1.72	75%	0.17	68.4	0.63%	0	1.1	52	0
10	Dec_12_2006	35.22	37.98	38.07	38.24			38.15(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-3	59	1.02	78%	0.17	81.6	0.63%	0	0.6	51	0

11	Dec_11_2006	35.16	37.94	37.99	38.28			38.36(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	52	0.62	78%	0.2	85.4	0.67%	0	1.4	57	0
12	Dec_8_2006	35.09	37.89	37.9	38.21			38.22(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	9	30	0.33	78%	0.2	88.1	0.68%	0	1	51	0
13	Dec_7_2006	35.02	37.84	37.87	38.09			38.14(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	7	10	0.6	78%	0.17	77.8	0.68%	0	0.9	48	0
14	Dec_6_2006	34.96	37.8	37.86	38			38.32(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	10	3	0.99	73%	0.2	74.2	0.68%	0	1.5	57	0
15	Dec_5_2006	34.89	37.74	37.83	37.87			38.35(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	10	-10000	15	-6	1.92	73%	0.2	62.1	0.7%	0	1.7	60	0

16	Dec_4_2006	34.82	37.68	37.83	37.67			38.03(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	9	-21	1.79	72%	0.17	44.8	0.7%	0	1	63	0
17	Dec_1_2006	34.76	37.61	37.78	37.55			37.63(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-5	-28	1.44	70%	0.17	25	0.69%	0	0	59	0
18	Nov_30_2006	34.7	37.58	37.84	37.61			37.68(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-7	-1	1.4	70%	0.17	23.1	0.69%	0	0.2	62	0
19	Nov_29_2006	34.64	37.54	37.86	37.7			37.64(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-7	23	0.99	70%	0.12	27.6	0.69%	0	0.2	58	0
20	Nov_28_2006	34.6	37.54	37.88	37.79			37.38(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-9	49	1.8	71%	0.14	34.4	0.69%	0	-0.3	58	0

21	Nov_27_2006	34.55	37.52	37.89	37.91			37.4(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-11	69	1.46	71%	0.12	45.6	0.7%	0	-0.3	61	0
22	Nov_24_2006	34.51	37.5	37.9	38.05			37.95(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10000	-3	115	0.4	77%	0.2	59.4	0.66%	0	0.9	80	0
23	Nov_22_2006	34.44	37.48	37.83	38.09			38.15(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	3	132	1.85	77%	0.09	73.6	0.67%	0	1.4	75	0
24	Nov_21_2006	34.41	37.41	37.75	38.05			38.07(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	5	137	0.96	72%	0.15	79.2	0.68%	0	1.5	73	0
25	Nov_20_2006	34.36	37.36	37.66	37.99			37.96(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	8	128	5.23	72%		86.1	0.7%	0	1.4	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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