Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $38.0300 (1.06%) ($37.6100 - $38.1500) on Mon. Dec. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $38.0300(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.67(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.78(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.68(0.93%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2006	34.82	37.68		37.67			38.03(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	9	-21	1.79	72%	0.17	44.8	0.7%	0	1	63	0
2	Dec_1_2006	34.76	37.61	37.78	37.55			37.63(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-5	-28	1.44	70%	0.17	25	0.69%	0	0	59	0
3	Nov_30_2006	34.7	37.58	37.84	37.61			37.68(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-7	-1	1.4	70%	0.17	23.1	0.69%	0	0.2	62	0
4	Nov_29_2006	34.64	37.54	37.86	37.7			37.64(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-7	23	0.99	70%	0.12	27.6	0.69%	0	0.2	58	0
5	Nov_28_2006	34.6	37.54	37.88	37.79			37.38(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-9	49	1.8	71%	0.14	34.4	0.69%	0	-0.3	58	0

6	Nov_27_2006	34.55	37.52	37.89	37.91			37.4(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-11	69	1.46	71%	0.12	45.6	0.7%	0	-0.3	61	0
7	Nov_24_2006	34.51	37.5	37.9	38.05			37.95(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10000	-3	115	0.4	77%	0.2	59.4	0.66%	0	0.9	80	0
8	Nov_22_2006	34.44	37.48	37.83	38.09			38.15(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	3	132	1.85	77%	0.09	73.6	0.67%	0	1.4	75	0
9	Nov_21_2006	34.41	37.41	37.75	38.05			38.07(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	5	137	0.96	72%	0.15	79.2	0.68%	0	1.5	73	0
10	Nov_20_2006	34.36	37.36	37.66	37.99			37.96(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	8	128	5.23	72%	0.15	86.1	0.7%	0	1.4	63	0

11	Nov_17_2006	34.31	37.31	37.57	37.88			38.11(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	12	114	4.63	72%	0.12	80.5	0.69%	0	1.8	63	0
12	Nov_16_2006	34.27	37.22	37.42	37.72			38.18(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	15	88	0.98	74%	0.18	70.7	0.69%	0	2.2	68	0
13	Nov_15_2006	34.21	37.13	37.29	37.53			37.93(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	9	50	0.84	76%	0.15	61.9	0.7%	0	2.1	56	0
14	Nov_14_2006	34.16	37.06	37.18	37.41			37.79(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	10	34	1.6	76%	0.15	61.9	0.71%	0	2	62	0
15	Nov_13_2006	34.11	36.99	37.12	37.28			37.38(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	5	21	1.87	74%	0.15	59.8	0.7%	0	1.2	55	0

16	Nov_10_2006	34.06	36.95	37.1	37.21			37.33(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	11	22	0.79	76%	0.12	62.1	0.7%	0	1.2	57	0
17	Nov_9_2006	34.02	36.92	37.07	37.07			37.21(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	5	15	1.1	71%	0.12	63.1	0.72%	0	0.9	63	0
18	Nov_8_2006	33.98	36.89	37.09	37			37.33(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	6	25	0.85	68%	0.15	65.2	0.74%	0	1.3	63	0
19	Nov_7_2006	33.93	36.84	37.05	36.92			37.15(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	-1	21	2.12	68%	0.12	64.4	0.76%	0	0.9	61	0
20	Nov_6_2006	33.89	36.8	37.04	36.93			37.05(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	-4	33	1.78	68%	0.12	75.8	0.76%	0	0.7	61	0

21	Nov_3_2006	33.85	36.76	37.04	36.98			36.6(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-6	46	4.19	66%	0.09	84.9	0.75%	0	-0.4	52	0
22	Nov_2_2006	33.82	36.73	37.02	37.07			36.88(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-8	54	1.95	68%	0.15	95.6	0.74%	0	0.4	56	0
23	Nov_1_2006	33.77	36.68	36.98	37.07			36.92(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	0	67	2.16	68%	0.12	104.9	0.74%	0	0.5	54	0
24	Oct_31_2006	33.73	36.63	36.95	37.18			37.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	74	0.88	71%	0.15	98.6	0.75%	0	1.1	68	0
25	Oct_30_2006	33.68	36.54	36.87	37.15			37.29(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	76	1.46	71%		87.6	0.74%	0	1.3	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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