Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $38.0700 (0.29%) ($37.9300 - $38.0900) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $38.0700(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.05(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.75(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.41(1.76%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2006	34.41	37.41	37.75	38.05			38.07(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	5	137	0.96	72%	0.15	79.2	0.68%	0	1.5	73	0
2	Nov_20_2006	34.36	37.36	37.66	37.99			37.96(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	8	128	5.23	72%	0.15	86.1	0.7%	0	1.4	63	0
3	Nov_17_2006	34.31	37.31	37.57	37.88			38.11(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	12	114	4.63	72%	0.12	80.5	0.69%	0	1.8	63	0
4	Nov_16_2006	34.27	37.22	37.42	37.72			38.18(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	15	88	0.98	74%	0.18	70.7	0.69%	0	2.2	68	0
5	Nov_15_2006	34.21	37.13	37.29	37.53			37.93(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	9	50	0.84	76%	0.15	61.9	0.7%	0	2.1	56	0

6	Nov_14_2006	34.16	37.06	37.18	37.41			37.79(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	10	34	1.6	76%	0.15	61.9	0.71%	0	2	62	0
7	Nov_13_2006	34.11	36.99	37.12	37.28			37.38(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	5	21	1.87	74%	0.15	59.8	0.7%	0	1.2	55	0
8	Nov_10_2006	34.06	36.95	37.1	37.21			37.33(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	11	22	0.79	76%	0.12	62.1	0.7%	0	1.2	57	0
9	Nov_9_2006	34.02	36.92	37.07	37.07			37.21(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	5	15	1.1	71%	0.12	63.1	0.72%	0	0.9	63	0
10	Nov_8_2006	33.98	36.89	37.09	37			37.33(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	6	25	0.85	68%	0.15	65.2	0.74%	0	1.3	63	0

11	Nov_7_2006	33.93	36.84	37.05	36.92			37.15(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	-1	21	2.12	68%	0.12	64.4	0.76%	0	0.9	61	0
12	Nov_6_2006	33.89	36.8	37.04	36.93			37.05(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	-4	33	1.78	68%	0.12	75.8	0.76%	0	0.7	61	0
13	Nov_3_2006	33.85	36.76	37.04	36.98			36.6(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-6	46	4.19	66%	0.09	84.9	0.75%	0	-0.4	52	0
14	Nov_2_2006	33.82	36.73	37.02	37.07			36.88(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-8	54	1.95	68%	0.15	95.6	0.74%	0	0.4	56	0
15	Nov_1_2006	33.77	36.68	36.98	37.07			36.92(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	0	67	2.16	68%	0.12	104.9	0.74%	0	0.5	54	0

16	Oct_31_2006	33.73	36.63	36.95	37.18			37.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	74	0.88	71%	0.15	98.6	0.75%	0	1.1	68	0
17	Oct_30_2006	33.68	36.54	36.87	37.15			37.29(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	76	1.46	71%	0.12	87.6	0.74%	0	1.3	67	0
18	Oct_27_2006	33.64	36.43	36.8	37.07			37.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	9	79	2.37	73%	0.12	78.4	0.75%	0	1	68	0
19	Oct_26_2006	33.6	36.33	36.76	36.95			37.43(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	14	83	1.45	72%	0.12	74.5	0.74%	0	1.6	79	0
20	Oct_25_2006	33.56	36.21	36.68	36.76			36.92(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	74	0.73	70%	0.12	74.4	0.74%	0	1.1	73	0

21	Oct_24_2006	33.52	36.13	36.61	36.67			37.05(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	-10000	8	73	1.23	73%	0.09	75.6	0.75%	0	1.4	78	0
22	Oct_23_2006	33.49	36.03	36.54	36.56			36.91(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	22	-10000	4	76	1.54	73%	0.09	77.8	0.78%	0	1.4	82	0
23	Oct_20_2006	33.46	35.93	36.46	36.5			36.43(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-3	88	2.93	65%	0.09	74.4	0.79%	0	0.7	82	0
24	Oct_19_2006	33.43	35.84	36.41	36.54			36.48(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	-3	109	1.94	67%	0.09	72.3	0.81%	0	0.9	84	0
25	Oct_18_2006	33.4	35.74	36.36	36.59			36.5(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	3	131	2.58	67%		72.8	0.84%	0	1	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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