Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $37.0500 (1.23%) ($36.6300 - $37.1300) on Mon. Nov. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $37.0500(1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.93(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.04(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.8(0.68%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2006	33.89	36.8	37.04	36.93			37.05(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	-4	33	1.78	68%	0.12	75.8	0.76%	0	0.7	61	0
2	Nov_3_2006	33.85	36.76	37.04	36.98			36.6(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-6	46	4.19	66%	0.09	84.9	0.75%	0	-0.4	52	0
3	Nov_2_2006	33.82	36.73	37.02	37.07			36.88(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-8	54	1.95	68%	0.15	95.6	0.74%	0	0.4	56	0
4	Nov_1_2006	33.77	36.68	36.98	37.07			36.92(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	0	67	2.16	68%	0.12	104.9	0.74%	0	0.5	54	0
5	Oct_31_2006	33.73	36.63	36.95	37.18			37.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	74	0.88	71%	0.15	98.6	0.75%	0	1.1	68	0

6	Oct_30_2006	33.68	36.54	36.87	37.15			37.29(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	76	1.46	71%	0.12	87.6	0.74%	0	1.3	67	0
7	Oct_27_2006	33.64	36.43	36.8	37.07			37.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	9	79	2.37	73%	0.12	78.4	0.75%	0	1	68	0
8	Oct_26_2006	33.6	36.33	36.76	36.95			37.43(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	14	83	1.45	72%	0.12	74.5	0.74%	0	1.6	79	0
9	Oct_25_2006	33.56	36.21	36.68	36.76			36.92(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	74	0.73	70%	0.12	74.4	0.74%	0	1.1	73	0
10	Oct_24_2006	33.52	36.13	36.61	36.67			37.05(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	-10000	8	73	1.23	73%	0.09	75.6	0.75%	0	1.4	78	0

11	Oct_23_2006	33.49	36.03	36.54	36.56			36.91(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	22	-10000	4	76	1.54	73%	0.09	77.8	0.78%	0	1.4	82	0
12	Oct_20_2006	33.46	35.93	36.46	36.5			36.43(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-3	88	2.93	65%	0.09	74.4	0.79%	0	0.7	82	0
13	Oct_19_2006	33.43	35.84	36.41	36.54			36.48(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	-3	109	1.94	67%	0.09	72.3	0.81%	0	0.9	84	0
14	Oct_18_2006	33.4	35.74	36.36	36.59			36.5(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	3	131	2.58	67%	0.09	72.8	0.84%	0	1	77	0
15	Oct_17_2006	33.37	35.64	36.3	36.54			36.47(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	2	141	2.19	67%	0.09	70.8	0.84%	0	1.1	77	0

16	Oct_16_2006	33.34	35.54	36.19	36.51			36.6(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	6	145	0.63	67%	0.09	69.3	0.84%	0	1.3	78	0
17	Oct_13_2006	33.31	35.42	36.04	36.41			36.63(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	10	139	1.19	60%	0.09	72.7	0.86%	0	1.6	81	0
18	Oct_12_2006	33.28	35.31	35.87	36.26			36.73(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	-10000	10	131	1.9	57%	0.12	78.6	0.89%	0	1.9	87	0
19	Oct_11_2006	33.24	35.19	35.71	36.1			36.25(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	5	125	0.46	55%	0.09	89.1	0.91%	0	1.6	84	0
20	Oct_10_2006	33.21	35.1	35.6	36.02			36.34(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	12	131	2.9	55%	0.09	102.2	0.91%	0	1.9	79	0

21	Oct_9_2006	33.18	34.99	35.48	35.82			36.12(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	14	129	1.11	55%	0.06	101.6	0.91%	0	1.7	80	0
22	Oct_6_2006	33.16	34.86	35.36	35.6			35.87(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	11	118	1.6	55%	0.09	92.7	0.91%	0	1.5	79	0
23	Oct_5_2006	33.13	34.74	35.21	35.42			35.94(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	10	100	1.6	53%	0.06	81.4	0.91%	0	1.6	75	0
24	Oct_4_2006	33.11	34.59	35.06	35.26			35.84(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	9	84	2.98	53%	0.06	74.7	0.92%	0	1.7	75	0
25	Oct_3_2006	33.09	34.45	34.93	35.12			35.33(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	1	71	2.34	51%		73.1	0.91%	0	1.2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.