Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 27, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $35.1500 (-0.17%) ($35.0800 - $35.4100) on Wed. Sep. 27, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $35.1500(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.81(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.63(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.04(3.26%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2006	33.06	34.04	34.63	34.81			35.15(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	7	102	3.03	52%	0.03	77.9	0.94%	0	1.4	84	0
2	Sep_26_2006	33.05	33.92	34.56	34.7			35.21(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	38	-10000	10	120	1.95	52%	0	75.9	0.95%	0	1.7	86	0
3	Sep_25_2006	33.05	33.79	34.46	34.53			34.91(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	8	122	2.22	52%	0.03	70.3	0.95%	0	1.5	73	0
4	Sep_22_2006	33.04	33.66	34.33	34.4			34.38(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-10000	-1	117	2.9	48%	0	59.4	0.93%	0	0.9	70	0
5	Sep_21_2006	33.04	33.55	34.23	34.42			34.41(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10000	1	127	2.83	50%	0	53.4	0.94%	0	1.1	74	0

6	Sep_20_2006	33.04	33.45	34.1	34.41			34.6(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	1	133	1.6	50%	0.03	50.4	0.94%	0	1.4	78	0
7	Sep_19_2006	33.03	33.35	33.93	34.39			34.35(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	1	136	1.72	50%	0	53.2	0.94%	0	1.3	77	0
8	Sep_18_2006	33.03	33.27	33.83	34.38			34.28(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	9	155	1.94	50%	0.03	59.9	0.94%	0	1.4	79	0
9	Sep_15_2006	33.02	33.2	33.72	34.24			34.46(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10000	15	162	2.98	53%	0	64.5	0.94%	0	1.8	85	0
10	Sep_14_2006	33.02	33.13	33.56	34			34.38(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	-10000	16	147	1.11	53%	0	68.9	0.98%	0	2	84	0

11	Sep_13_2006	33.02	33.05	33.4	33.73			34.47(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	47	-10000	20	129	2.22	52%	0.03	74.4	0.98%	0	2.5	81	0
12	Sep_12_2006	33.01	32.95	33.23	33.41			34.33(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	-10000	13	98	2.27	50%	0.03	76.9	0.98%	0	2.9	72	0
13	Sep_11_2006	33	32.83	33.04	33.2			33.55(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	4	73	0.83	46%	0	79.6	0.96%	0	1.9	64	0
14	Sep_8_2006	33	32.76	32.91	33.13			33.29(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	53	0.35	46%	-0.03	69.9	0.95%	0	1.4	51	0
15	Sep_7_2006	33.01	32.7	32.81	33.05			32.99(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	2	30	1.15	46%	-0.03	58.6	0.95%	0	0.8	46	0

16	Sep_6_2006	33.02	32.63	32.75	33.02			32.88(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	1	17	1.29	46%	-0.03	42.2	0.95%	0	0.6	49	0
17	Sep_5_2006	33.03	32.59	32.73	33			33.29(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	9	21	0.85	46%	0	41.3	0.94%	0	1.6	63	0
18	Sep_1_2006	33.03	32.54	32.67	32.86			33.19(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	12	18	1.15	48%	0	37.3	0.95%	0	1.6	69	0
19	Aug_31_2006	33.03	32.5	32.65	32.67			32.92(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	9	15	0.45	50%	-0.03	29.1	0.96%	0	1.1	68	0
20	Aug_30_2006	33.04	32.47	32.66	32.53			32.82(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	5	17	0.78	48%	-0.03	26.3	0.97%	0	0.9	67	0

21	Aug_29_2006	33.05	32.44	32.67	32.45			32.8(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	1	28	1.19	48%	-0.03	23.9	0.99%	0	0.9	72	0
22	Aug_28_2006	33.06	32.4	32.64	32.43			32.56(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-2	35	2.51	48%	-0.03	19.3	0.99%	0	0.4	59	0
23	Aug_25_2006	33.07	32.4	32.6	32.46			32.24(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-10000	-11	32	0.64	48%	-0.06	24.6	0.98%	0	-0.4	49	0
24	Aug_24_2006	33.09	32.39	32.59	32.63			32.24(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-11	43	0.28	48%	-0.03	47.9	0.99%	0	-0.4	47	0
25	Aug_23_2006	33.1	32.38	32.58	32.81			32.41(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-5	58	1.41	47%		62.5	0.99%	0	0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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