Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $32.2400 (0.81%) ($32.0400 - $32.3000) on Wed. Aug. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $32.2400(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.13(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.11(0.4%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2006	33.31	32.11	32	32.13			32.24(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	4	48	0.62	43%	-0.06	-44.4	0.97%	0	0.2	54	0
2	Aug_1_2006	33.33	32.15	31.98	32.07			31.98(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-4	33	1.26	43%	-0.03	-42.4	0.96%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Jul_31_2006	33.34	32.21	31.93	32.13			32.28(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	3	18	0.42	43%	-0.03	-33.2	0.96%	0	0.1	42	0
4	Jul_28_2006	33.35	32.26	31.86	32.08			32.26(1.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	7	-10000	12	-7	2.66	43%	-0.03	-29.9	0.96%	0	0	42	0
5	Jul_27_2006	33.36	32.31	31.77	31.9			31.87(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	-10000	3	-59	0.76	43%	-0.03	-32.7	0.95%	0	-0.6	38	0

6	Jul_26_2006	33.37	32.35	31.76	31.85			31.94(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-90	2.2	44%	-0.06	-38.8	0.96%	0	-0.6	36	0
7	Jul_25_2006	33.39	32.39	31.8	31.87			32.31(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	12	-98	1.59	45%	-0.03	-39.7	0.95%	0	-0.1	39	0
8	Jul_24_2006	33.4	32.42	31.84	31.69			32.02(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-30	-10000	5	-133	1.37	45%	-0.03	-45.5	0.94%	0	-0.6	33	0
9	Jul_21_2006	33.41	32.47	31.92	31.61			31.34(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-10000	-1	-161	1.72	41%	-0.06	-50.9	0.9%	0	-1.6	24	0
10	Jul_20_2006	33.43	32.55	32.07	31.62			31.63(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-10000	-2	-171	0.82	42%	-0.06	-57.3	0.9%	0	-1.4	26	0

11	Jul_19_2006	33.45	32.63	32.22	31.65			32.05(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-45	-10000	-5	-164	1.38	44%	-0.06	-55.1	0.89%	0	-0.9	44	0
12	Jul_18_2006	33.47	32.67	32.32	31.72			31.42(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-58	-10000	-22	-165	1.49	43%	-0.06	-50.8	0.85%	0	-2	35	0
13	Jul_17_2006	33.49	32.76	32.53	32.02			31.61(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-19	-121	0.55	43%	-0.06	-40.9	0.87%	0	-2.1	32	0
14	Jul_14_2006	33.51	32.84	32.71	32.29			31.39(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-37	-10000	-21	-84	1.53	43%	-0.06	-32.2	0.86%	0	-3	32	0
15	Jul_13_2006	33.53	32.94	32.92	32.59			31.8(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-24	-10000	-19	-40	0.59	44%	-0.06	-19.6	0.86%	0	-3.1	35	0

16	Jul_12_2006	33.55	32.99	33.02	32.86			32.39(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-12	-10000	-11	-16	0.68	47%	-0.03	-10.6	0.83%	0	-2.1	38	0
17	Jul_11_2006	33.56	33	33.05	33.01			32.91(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-8	-1	0.43	48%	-0.03	-8.5	0.8%	0	-0.3	52	0
18	Jul_10_2006	33.57	32.99	33.05	33.11			32.94(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-7	14	0.28	48%	-0.03	-9.4	0.81%	0	-0.2	50	0
19	Jul_7_2006	33.58	33	33.05	33.2			32.9(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-0	-10000	-7	21	0.32	48%	-0.03	-14.1	0.81%	0	-0.4	46	0
20	Jul_6_2006	33.59	33.01	33.05	33.3			33.15(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	7	31	0.31	48%	0	-18.8	0.81%	0	0.5	47	0

21	Jul_5_2006	33.59	33.01	33.07	33.2			33.13(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	7	30	0.6	49%	0	-30.7	0.81%	0	0.4	59	0
22	Jul_3_2006	33.59	33.01	33.04	33.1			33.44(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	6	26	0.29	51%	0	-38.5	0.8%	0	1.4	65	0
23	Jun_30_2006	33.59	33.02	32.99	33.02			33.39(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	8	23	0.58	51%	0	-42.5	0.8%	0	1.1	59	0
24	Jun_29_2006	33.59	33.04	32.96	32.92			33.37(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	7	11	0.63	52%	0	-40.5	0.8%	0	0.8	52	0
25	Jun_28_2006	33.59	33.06	32.95	32.83			32.66(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-8	-5	0.38	49%		-37.1	0.76%	0	-1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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