Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.4700 (-1.38%) ($33.4400 - $33.8200) on Wed. May. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $33.4700(-1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $34.1
5 Day Moving Average   $34.02(-1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.3(-2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.1(-1.85%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2006	33.6	34.1	34.3	34.02			33.47(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-26	-20	0.69	56%	0	21.1	0.59%	0	-1.7	40	0
2	May_16_2006	33.6	34.12	34.36	34.28			33.94(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-17	34	0.64	60%	0.03	46.6	0.57%	0	-0.5	55	0
3	May_15_2006	33.59	34.13	34.37	34.45			34.18(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-9	76	1.21	63%	0.03	59.3	0.57%	0	0.1	65	0
4	May_12_2006	33.58	34.09	34.35	34.54			34.09(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	17	-10000	-11	99	0.91	65%	0.03	60.4	0.58%	0	0	62	0
5	May_11_2006	33.57	34.07	34.36	34.65			34.43(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	39	-10000	5	139	0.78	69%	0.03	59.8	0.57%	0	0.9	70	0

6	May_10_2006	33.56	34.02	34.32	34.6			34.78(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	16	149	0.31	73%	0.06	52.5	0.55%	0	1.9	70	0
7	May_9_2006	33.54	33.96	34.23	34.45			34.76(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	-10000	17	125	0.61	73%	0.06	44	0.56%	0	2.2	72	0
8	May_8_2006	33.52	33.91	34.11	34.29			34.66(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	17	90	0.98	74%	0.03	40.4	0.55%	0	2.3	66	0
9	May_5_2006	33.51	33.87	34.01	34.13			34.61(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	-10000	10	67	1.65	74%	0.03	36.3	0.56%	0	2.7	73	0
10	May_4_2006	33.5	33.83	33.91	34.03			34.21(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	2	51	1.13	73%	0.03	38.7	0.54%	0	1.8	63	0

11	May_3_2006	33.49	33.82	33.88	34.01			34.02(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	4	59	0.63	72%	0	41.1	0.55%	0	1.1	62	0
12	May_2_2006	33.49	33.8	33.88	33.97			33.93(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	7	63	1.83	72%	0.03	39.3	0.55%	0	0.7	59	0
13	May_1_2006	33.48	33.78	33.86	33.91			33.9(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	5	54	0.62	72%	0	25	0.55%	0	0.6	51	0
14	Apr_28_2006	33.48	33.77	33.81	33.86			34.08(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	9	37	0.74	72%	0.03	14.3	0.54%	0	1.6	53	0
15	Apr_27_2006	33.47	33.75	33.76	33.78			34.11(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	5	-10000	4	7	2.17	72%	0.03	0	0.54%	0	2	50	0

16	Apr_26_2006	33.46	33.74	33.7	33.74			33.84(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.82	70%	0	-4.3	0.54%	0	0.6	46	0
17	Apr_25_2006	33.46	33.74	33.67	33.73			33.61(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-8	-25	0.57	68%	0	-10.6	0.53%	0	-0.7	48	0
18	Apr_24_2006	33.46	33.73	33.69	33.8			33.66(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	5	-10000	6	1	0.23	71%	0.03	-4.3	0.54%	0	-0.4	54	0
19	Apr_21_2006	33.45	33.74	33.71	33.75			33.67(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	1	-3	1.26	71%	0	-19.1	0.55%	0	-0.4	51	0
20	Apr_20_2006	33.45	33.75	33.71	33.74			33.93(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	10	5	0.59	66%	0.03	-25.5	0.54%	0	1.1	53	0

21	Apr_19_2006	33.44	33.75	33.71	33.65			33.8(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	5	-9	1.4	66%	0	-40.4	0.58%	0	0.4	47	0
22	Apr_18_2006	33.44	33.75	33.74	33.6			33.92(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-2	-10000	2	-15	0.37	66%	0.03	-48.9	0.59%	0	1.1	57	0
23	Apr_17_2006	33.43	33.74	33.7	33.58			33.43(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-10	-32	0.53	63%	-0.03	-36.2	0.56%	0	-1.9	43	0
24	Apr_13_2006	33.44	33.77	33.72	33.67			33.6(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-10	-20	0.32	63%	0	-2.3	0.56%	0	-1.1	46	0
25	Apr_12_2006	33.44	33.79	33.74	33.76			33.52(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-9	-10000	-9	-8	0.6	59%		40.9	0.56%	0	-1.8	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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