Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.5000 (-0.65%) ($33.3600 - $33.5600) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $33.5000(-0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.58(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.59(-0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.44(0.18%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2006	32.97	33.44	33.59				33.5(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	0	28	0.97	56%	0.06	26.7	0.58%	0	0.2	58	0
2	Mar_1_2006	32.95	33.43	33.62	33.58			33.72(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	1	45	1.9	62%	0.09	30.7	0.58%	0	1.2	62	0
3	Feb_28_2006	32.92	33.43	33.6	33.58			33.47(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	0	61	0.7	60%	0.06	30.6	0.59%	0	0.3	63	0
4	Feb_27_2006	32.9	33.4	33.58	33.57			33.75(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	3	64	0.73	64%	0.06	38.9	0.59%	0	1.5	63	0
5	Feb_24_2006	32.88	33.38	33.53	33.54			33.45(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-8	62	0.4	61%	0.06	46.4	0.58%	0	0.3	58	0

6	Feb_23_2006	32.86	33.37	33.5	33.62			33.51(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-4	74	0.53	61%	0.06	52.2	0.58%	0	0.6	55	0
7	Feb_22_2006	32.84	33.35	33.47	33.66			33.69(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	3	78	0.29	61%	0.03	55.1	0.59%	0	1.5	57	0
8	Feb_21_2006	32.83	33.33	33.4	33.63			33.44(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	21	-10000	5	69	0.31	59%	0.06	54	0.58%	0	0.5	56	0
9	Feb_17_2006	32.81	33.31	33.37	33.58			33.62(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	7	57	0.74	63%	0.03	30.6	0.58%	0	1.3	56	0
10	Feb_16_2006	32.8	33.27	33.32	33.51			33.82(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	13	39	0.71	67%	0.06	11.6	0.6%	0	2.4	58	0

11	Feb_15_2006	32.78	33.25	33.26	33.38			33.71(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	12	-10000	11	16	0.6	59%	0.06	-12.3	0.6%	0	2.4	60	0
12	Feb_14_2006	32.76	33.23	33.22	33.27			33.56(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	13	4	0.43	59%	0.03	-43.1	0.62%	0	1.9	61	0
13	Feb_13_2006	32.75	33.22	33.18	33.14			33.19(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	1	-22	0.3	55%	0.03	-82.2	0.61%	0	-0.2	48	0
14	Feb_10_2006	32.74	33.23	33.2	33.13			33.27(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	3	-13	0.45	60%	0.03	-68.6	0.61%	0	0.2	60	0
15	Feb_9_2006	32.73	33.24	33.21	33.1			33.15(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-7	0.48	60%	0.06	-57.4	0.64%	0	-0.5	57	0

16	Feb_8_2006	32.71	33.28	33.21	33.13			33.16(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-4	-8	0.59	55%	0.03	-27.3	0.64%	0	-0.5	42	0
17	Feb_7_2006	32.7	33.3	33.22	33.17			32.93(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-6	-7	1.88	53%	0	-8.3	0.65%	0	-1.5	44	0
18	Feb_6_2006	32.7	33.34	33.26	33.23			33.13(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-4	0	0.8	53%	0	17.4	0.65%	0	-0.9	45	0
19	Feb_3_2006	32.7	33.34	33.24	33.27			33.14(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-6	-10	0.62	53%	0	33.3	0.65%	0	-0.9	41	0
20	Feb_2_2006	32.7	33.35	33.23	33.27			33.3(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.75	58%	0	44.9	0.65%	0	-0.2	44	0

21	Feb_1_2006	32.7	33.34	33.25	33.33			33.34(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	4	-20	0.84	58%	0	47.2	0.68%	0	0	38	0
22	Jan_31_2006	32.7	33.32	33.24	33.33			33.23(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	0	-38	0.92	63%	-0.03	40	0.68%	0	-0.4	41	0
23	Jan_30_2006	32.71	33.3	33.25	33.29			33.35(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	7	-39	0.58	63%	0	33.3	0.71%	0	0.2	43	0
24	Jan_27_2006	32.71	33.27	33.27	33.21			33.43(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	8	-45	0.29	60%	0	18.9	0.74%	0	0.5	52	0
25	Jan_26_2006	32.71	33.25	33.28	33.11			33.28(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.34	60%		7.5	0.78%	0	0.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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