Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.3300 (0.82%) ($33.0600 - $33.3700) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $33.3300(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.01(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.97(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.15(0.54%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2006	32.73		32.97	33.01			33.33(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	6	-16	0.32	62%	-0.03	-39.1	0.84%	0	0.6	38	0
2	Jan_5_2006	32.74	33.15	32.94	32.92			33.06(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	3	-44	0.64	58%	-0.03	-43.7	0.83%	0	-0.3	29	0
3	Jan_4_2006	32.75	33.17	32.94	32.88			33.03(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	3	-59	3.35	58%	-0.03	-43.3	0.86%	0	-0.5	35	0
4	Jan_3_2006	32.76	33.19	32.93	32.83			33(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-1	-74	1.7	58%	-0.12	-46.2	0.86%	0	-0.6	40	0
5	Dec_30_2005	32.8	33.22	32.96	32.85			32.65(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-5	-75	0.82	56%	-0.06	-47.3	0.85%	0	-1.8	31	0

6	Dec_29_2005	32.82	33.26	33.06	32.92			32.85(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-60	0.53	58%	-0.03	-48.8	0.86%	0	-1.5	37	0
7	Dec_28_2005	32.83	33.28	33.14	32.95			32.86(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.64	56%	-0.06	-53.1	0.86%	0	-1.6	34	0
8	Dec_27_2005	32.85	33.3	33.21	32.98			32.8(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-3	-49	0.63	56%	-0.06	-54.7	0.87%	0	-2	31	0
9	Dec_23_2005	32.87	33.33	33.28	33.03			33.08(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-4	-45	1.13	56%	-0.06	-49.3	0.86%	0	-1.1	41	0
10	Dec_22_2005	32.89	33.36	33.31	33.09			33.02(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-9	-44	0.73	58%	-0.03	-29	0.86%	0	-1.5	34	0

11	Dec_21_2005	32.9	33.4	33.34	33.22			33.01(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-10	-33	2.49	55%	-0.06	10.6	0.88%	0	-1.8	38	0
12	Dec_20_2005	32.92	33.42	33.39	33.37			32.98(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-8	-10000	-7	-9	0.95	52%	-0.06	51.7	0.9%	0	-2.2	50	0
13	Dec_19_2005	32.94	33.44	33.44	33.48			33.05(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-2	-10000	-5	8	0.4	50%	-0.03	81.5	0.93%	0	-2.2	46	0
14	Dec_16_2005	32.95	33.45	33.48	33.48			33.41(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	5	-10000	0	18	0.64	52%	-0.06	110.4	0.93%	0	-0.3	52	0
15	Dec_15_2005	32.97	33.43	33.5	33.55			33.66(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	5	18	0.47	52%	-0.03	90	0.93%	0	1.1	48	0

16	Dec_14_2005	32.98	33.38	33.48	33.48			33.73(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	4	7	1.05	50%	-0.03	61.7	0.93%	0	1.3	49	0
17	Dec_13_2005	32.99	33.32	33.42	33.42			33.56(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.81	48%	-0.03	51.6	0.93%	0	0.8	53	0
18	Dec_12_2005	33	33.29	33.42	33.42			33.41(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10000	0	-7	0.52	48%	-0.03	53.8	0.95%	0	0.4	54	0
19	Dec_9_2005	33.01	33.27	33.39	33.41			33.37(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.71	50%	-0.03	59.4	0.95%	0	0.3	56	0
20	Dec_8_2005	33.02	33.25	33.42	33.45			33.32(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-2	12	0.52	48%	-0.03	70.8	0.96%	0	0.2	60	0

21	Dec_7_2005	33.03	33.21	33.42	33.48			33.46(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	4	37	1.01	48%	-0.03	64.9	0.96%	0	0.7	71	0
22	Dec_6_2005	33.04	33.16	33.45	33.41			33.49(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	2	45	0.69	51%	-0.03	61.2	0.97%	0	0.8	71	0
23	Dec_5_2005	33.05	33.13	33.43	33.38			33.39(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	1	45	4.49	51%	0	71.1	0.99%	0	0.6	56	0
24	Dec_2_2005	33.05	33.08	33.41	33.37			33.59(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	11	-10000	-1	48	1.02	51%	-0.03	83.1	0.99%	0	1.2	60	0
25	Dec_1_2005	33.06	33.03	33.35	33.39			33.48(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-2	51	1.15	49%		104	0.99%	0	1.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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