Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 19, 2005

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.0500 (-1.08%) ($32.9800 - $33.4500) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $33.0500(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $33.44
5 Day Moving Average   $33.48(-1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.44(-1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.44(-1.17%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2005	32.94	33.44	33.44	33.48			33.05(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-2	-10000	-5	8	0.4	50%	-0.03	81.5	0.93%	0	-2.2	46	0
2	Dec_16_2005	32.95	33.45	33.48	33.48			33.41(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	5	-10000	0	18	0.64	52%	-0.06	110.4	0.93%	0	-0.3	52	0
3	Dec_15_2005	32.97	33.43	33.5	33.55			33.66(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	5	18	0.47	52%	-0.03	90	0.93%	0	1.1	48	0
4	Dec_14_2005	32.98	33.38	33.48	33.48			33.73(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	4	7	1.05	50%	-0.03	61.7	0.93%	0	1.3	49	0
5	Dec_13_2005	32.99	33.32	33.42	33.42			33.56(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.81	48%	-0.03	51.6	0.93%	0	0.8	53	0

6	Dec_12_2005	33	33.29	33.42	33.42			33.41(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10000	0	-7	0.52	48%	-0.03	53.8	0.95%	0	0.4	54	0
7	Dec_9_2005	33.01	33.27	33.39	33.41			33.37(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.71	50%	-0.03	59.4	0.95%	0	0.3	56	0
8	Dec_8_2005	33.02	33.25	33.42	33.45			33.32(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-2	12	0.52	48%	-0.03	70.8	0.96%	0	0.2	60	0
9	Dec_7_2005	33.03	33.21	33.42	33.48			33.46(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	4	37	1.01	48%	-0.03	64.9	0.96%	0	0.7	71	0
10	Dec_6_2005	33.04	33.16	33.45	33.41			33.49(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	2	45	0.69	51%	-0.03	61.2	0.97%	0	0.8	71	0

11	Dec_5_2005	33.05	33.13	33.43	33.38			33.39(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	1	45	4.49	51%	0	71.1	0.99%	0	0.6	56	0
12	Dec_2_2005	33.05	33.08	33.41	33.37			33.59(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	11	-10000	-1	48	1.02	51%	-0.03	83.1	0.99%	0	1.2	60	0
13	Dec_1_2005	33.06	33.03	33.35	33.39			33.48(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-2	51	1.15	49%	0	104	0.99%	0	1.1	60	0
14	Nov_30_2005	33.06	32.97	33.26	33.43			33.1(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-4	58	1.7	48%	-0.03	117.3	0.99%	0	0.3	64	0
15	Nov_29_2005	33.07	32.92	33.22	33.5			33.32(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	1	70	0.81	48%	0	109.6	0.99%	0	0.8	68	0

16	Nov_28_2005	33.07	32.84	33.19	33.49			33.37(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	2	75	0.49	48%	0	102.5	0.99%	0	1	59	0
17	Nov_25_2005	33.07	32.75	33.15	33.45			33.68(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	27	-10000	8	83	0.08	48%	0.03	88	0.99%	0	1.6	68	0
18	Nov_23_2005	33.06	32.6	33.07	33.31			33.68(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	15	81	0.81	47%	0	64.7	0.99%	0	1.5	70	0
19	Nov_22_2005	33.06	32.49	32.94	33.07			33.44(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	11	57	0.59	47%	0.03	56.6	0.98%	0	1.4	68	0
20	Nov_21_2005	33.05	32.4	32.84	32.89			33.29(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	3	46	0.78	47%	0	54.6	0.98%	0	1.3	73	0

21	Nov_18_2005	33.05	32.32	32.79	32.84			33.17(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	2	58	0.84	47%	0	55.6	0.98%	0	1.3	73	0
22	Nov_17_2005	33.05	32.23	32.72	32.81			32.95(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	1	77	0.94	47%	0	54.6	0.98%	0	1.1	76	0
23	Nov_16_2005	33.05	32.15	32.67	32.8			32.52(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	28	-10000	1	107	1.04	43%	0	58.3	0.97%	0	0.6	78	0
24	Nov_15_2005	33.05	32.1	32.66	32.78			32.54(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	31	-10000	1	122	1.43	44%	0	61.2	1%	0	0.7	65	0
25	Nov_14_2005	33.05	32.04	32.6	32.76			33.03(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	3	129	1.16	45%		59.7	0.99%	0	1.5	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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