Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 3, 2005

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $32.4000 (-0.28%) ($32.3700 - $32.6500) on Mon. Oct. 3, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $32.4000(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $32.77
5 Day Moving Average   $32.27(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.2(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.77(-1.13%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2005	33.45	32.77	32.2	32.27			32.4(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	2	-86	0.47	40%	0.03	-37.9	0.82%	0	-0.5	34	0
2	Sep_30_2005	33.44	32.81	32.22	32.24			32.49(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	3	-114	1.74	40%	0.06	-42.4	0.82%	0	-0.5	30	0
3	Sep_29_2005	33.42	32.84	32.28	32.2			32.27(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-10000	1	-136	1.99	40%	0	-46.7	0.82%	0	-0.8	28	0
4	Sep_28_2005	33.42	32.9	32.36	32.18			31.95(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-33	-10000	5	-148	2.1	41%	0.03	-48.8	0.81%	0	-1.4	29	0
5	Sep_27_2005	33.41	32.97	32.47	32.12			32.24(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	-10000	1	-173	0.75	43%	0	-57.9	0.82%	0	-1.1	28	0

6	Sep_26_2005	33.41	33.04	32.58	32.11			32.25(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-52	-10000	-8	-185	0.7	43%	0	-62.8	0.82%	0	-1.3	33	0
7	Sep_23_2005	33.41	33.1	32.74	32.21			32.29(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-10000	-13	-160	0.44	40%	0.03	-64.1	0.83%	0	-1.3	43	0
8	Sep_22_2005	33.4	33.17	32.89	32.38			32.17(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-14	-128	3.85	40%	0	-63.4	0.85%	0	-1.7	41	0
9	Sep_21_2005	33.4	33.24	33.03	32.58			31.66(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-43	-10000	-21	-110	4.28	37%	0	-64.8	0.83%	0	-2.9	31	0
10	Sep_20_2005	33.4	33.35	33.26	32.87			32.17(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-31	-10000	-19	-65	3.52	39%	0.03	-70.8	0.81%	0	-3	40	0

11	Sep_19_2005	33.39	33.44	33.41	33.12			32.74(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-18	-35	1.31	42%	0.06	-81.7	0.78%	0	-2.3	41	0
12	Sep_16_2005	33.37	33.5	33.46	33.35			33.14(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-11	-11	0.97	44%	0.06	-77.4	0.77%	0	-1.3	47	0
13	Sep_15_2005	33.35	33.54	33.47	33.49			33.17(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-5	0	0.96	44%	0.06	-70.9	0.77%	0	-1.3	45	0
14	Sep_14_2005	33.33	33.59	33.5	33.56			33.11(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-6	-10000	-11	8	1.83	46%	0.06	-66.3	0.77%	0	-1.6	46	0
15	Sep_13_2005	33.31	33.63	33.52	33.71			33.42(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-3	20	0.93	47%	0.06	-61.6	0.77%	0	-0.7	45	0

16	Sep_12_2005	33.29	33.69	33.53	33.75			33.91(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	14	26	1.32	50%	0.06	-37.3	0.75%	0	0.6	49	0
17	Sep_9_2005	33.27	33.72	33.48	33.58			33.82(0.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	7	-10000	11	-7	1.83	50%	0.06	-42.9	0.74%	0	0.3	48	0
18	Sep_8_2005	33.25	33.75	33.46	33.45			33.54(-0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	1	-39	3.84	49%	0.09	-46.2	0.74%	0	-0.5	40	0
19	Sep_7_2005	33.22	33.79	33.45	33.44			33.86(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	11	-51	2.21	51%	0.06	-48.9	0.73%	0	0.2	42	0
20	Sep_6_2005	33.2	33.81	33.43	33.31			33.62(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	1	-80	1.35	51%	0.12	-58.3	0.73%	0	-0.4	43	0

21	Sep_2_2005	33.16	33.83	33.45	33.3			33.05(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-33	-10000	-7	-110	1.63	47%	0.03	-66.9	0.7%	0	-1.7	22	0
22	Sep_1_2005	33.15	33.89	33.53	33.38			33.17(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-7	-113	2.02	47%	0	-71.5	0.7%	0	-1.6	30	0
23	Aug_31_2005	33.15	33.95	33.62	33.38			33.5(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	0	-114	1.44	49%	0.03	-74.8	0.69%	0	-1	32	0
24	Aug_30_2005	33.14	34.01	33.68	33.46			33.21(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-10	-127	1.66	46%	0	-72.7	0.68%	0	-1.8	30	0
25	Aug_29_2005	33.14	34.09	33.76	33.57			33.55(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-10000	-5	-124	0.64	49%		-69.1	0.67%	0	-1.3	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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