Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 25, 2005

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $34.3000 (-0.78%) ($34.3000 - $34.7300) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $34.3000(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    PEJ(80%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.42(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.21(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.67(1.87%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2005	32.91	33.67	34.21	34.42			34.3(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10000	3	145	0.3	65%	0	43.9	0.72%	0	1	72	0
2	Jul_22_2005	32.91	33.59	34.15	34.39			34.57(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	7	164	0.15	62%	0.03	36.1	0.72%	0	1.5	82	0
3	Jul_21_2005	32.9	33.52	34.05	34.3			34.4(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	7	165	0.24	67%	0	30.7	0.75%	0	1.5	81	0
4	Jul_20_2005	32.9	33.48	33.91	34.21			34.48(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	10	150	0.77	62%	0.03	30.5	0.8%	0	1.8	77	0
5	Jul_19_2005	32.89	33.43	33.75	34.07			34.35(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	6	124	1.1	62%	0	28.1	0.83%	0	1.8	70	0

6	Jul_18_2005	32.89	33.39	33.63	33.98			34.14(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	7	125	0.33	62%	0.03	29.8	0.83%	0	1.6	74	0
7	Jul_15_2005	32.88	33.37	33.5	33.88			34.11(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	9	117	0.2	57%	0	31.1	0.83%	0	1.6	69	0
8	Jul_14_2005	32.88	33.33	33.37	33.76			33.97(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	14	95	0.24	53%	0.03	31	0.87%	0	1.5	61	0
9	Jul_13_2005	32.87	33.31	33.26	33.56			33.79(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	13	57	0.18	50%	0	24.8	0.89%	0	1.2	48	0
10	Jul_12_2005	32.87	33.29	33.19	33.37			33.88(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	9	25	0.56	52%	0.03	16.7	0.91%	0	1.6	49	0

11	Jul_11_2005	32.86	33.25	33.07	33.23			33.66(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	11	-9	0.32	52%	0	8.3	0.91%	0	1.1	47	0
12	Jul_8_2005	32.86	33.22	32.98	33.07			33.48(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	9	-42	1.02	51%	-0.03	-2.9	0.92%	0	0.7	45	0
13	Jul_7_2005	32.87	33.22	32.94	33.07			32.97(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	0	-72	0.41	48%	-0.03	-16.7	0.9%	0	-0.7	38	0
14	Jul_6_2005	32.88	33.21	33.01	32.93			32.87(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-3	-72	0.22	48%	-0.06	-18.6	0.9%	0	-1	38	0
15	Jul_5_2005	32.9	33.23	33.09	32.98			33.17(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	6	-60	0.26	50%	-0.06	-12.1	0.9%	0	-0.2	42	0

16	Jul_1_2005	32.92	33.22	33.14	32.89			32.86(0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	1	-66	0.67	46%	-0.03	-20.2	0.88%	0	-1.1	45	0
17	Jun_30_2005	32.93	33.24	33.22	32.88			32.78(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-5	-60	0.31	49%	-0.03	-21.9	0.88%	0	-1.4	45	0
18	Jun_29_2005	32.94	33.26	33.3	32.95			32.95(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-10000	-11	-46	0.46	47%	-0.03	-12.2	0.9%	0	-1	48	0
19	Jun_28_2005	32.95	33.26	33.36	33.11			33.15(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-7	-18	0.17	49%	-0.03	3.3	0.91%	0	-0.4	56	0
20	Jun_27_2005	32.96	33.27	33.4	33.22			32.69(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11	-10000	-14	-1	0.67	46%	-0.06	11.8	0.9%	0	-1.9	42	0

21	Jun_24_2005	32.98	33.29	33.46	33.43			32.84(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-2	-10000	-11	25	0.62	46%	-0.03	38.1	0.91%	0	-1.6	47	0
22	Jun_23_2005	32.99	33.31	33.5	33.6			33.13(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	8	-10000	-6	48	0.21	46%	0	59.3	0.9%	0	-0.7	56	0
23	Jun_22_2005	32.99	33.3	33.51	33.69			33.72(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	3	63	0.48	47%	-0.03	71.4	0.87%	0	1.5	65	0
24	Jun_21_2005	33	33.26	33.44	33.65			33.73(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	57	0.39	47%	0	86.4	0.88%	0	1.7	71	0
25	Jun_20_2005	33	33.23	33.38	33.61			33.71(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	7	59	0.2	47%		118.1	0.88%	0	2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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