Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 14, 2005

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.5300 (1.05%) ($33.1200 - $33.6100) on Tue. Jun. 14, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $33.5300(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.19(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.17(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.03(1.51%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2005	32.99	33.03	33.17	33.19			33.53(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	5	20	0.31	46%	0	142.7	0.89%	0	1.9	63	0
2	Jun_13_2005	32.99	32.95	33.11	33.12			33.18(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	1	8	0.36	44%	-0.03	100.9	0.88%	0	0.6	53	0
3	Jun_10_2005	33	32.87	33.1	33.1			33.13(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	1	10	0.45	44%	0	71.2	0.88%	0	0.5	59	0
4	Jun_9_2005	33	32.79	33.09	33.08			33.13(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-2	9	0.43	42%	-0.06	56.9	0.88%	0	0.6	55	0
5	Jun_8_2005	33.02	32.71	33.07	33.11			33(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-1	18	0.4	42%	-0.03	52.2	0.89%	0	0.5	60	0

6	Jun_7_2005	33.03	32.65	33.08	33.13			33.14(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	2	39	0.2	42%	0	52.3	0.89%	0	0.8	75	0
7	Jun_6_2005	33.03	32.59	33.07	33.13			33.09(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	15	-10000	0	59	0.37	42%	-0.06	56.8	0.89%	0	0.8	78	0
8	Jun_3_2005	33.05	32.53	33.05	33.1			33.04(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-1	87	0.24	44%	-0.03	62.1	0.9%	0	0.8	81	0
9	Jun_2_2005	33.06	32.47	33.04	33.11			33.28(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	5	123	0.18	44%	-0.03	69	0.89%	0	1.2	86	0
10	Jun_1_2005	33.07	32.4	32.99	33.04			33.11(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	1	137	0.67	46%	-0.03	72.2	0.89%	0	1.1	80	0

11	May_31_2005	33.08	32.31	32.89	33.02			32.97(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	-1	143	1.08	44%	-0.09	71.1	0.91%	0	1	78	0
12	May_27_2005	33.11	32.23	32.78	33.04			33.09(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	40	-10000	3	149	0.49	46%	-0.03	65	0.9%	0	1.2	69	0
13	May_26_2005	33.12	32.12	32.62	33			33.09(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	2	139	0.34	46%	-0.06	61.1	0.91%	0	1.4	71	0
14	May_25_2005	33.14	32.02	32.46	32.97			32.92(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	3	132	0.69	46%	-0.06	57.5	0.91%	0	1.3	69	0
15	May_24_2005	33.16	31.94	32.33	32.93			33.02(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	13	127	0.51	46%	-0.06	61.3	0.91%	0	1.7	66	0

16	May_23_2005	33.18	31.86	32.19	32.74			33.08(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	18	114	0.31	46%	-0.06	57.4	0.91%	0	2	74	0
17	May_20_2005	33.2	31.78	32.07	32.48			32.87(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	19	99	0.18	43%	-0.09	51.2	0.94%	0	2	74	0
18	May_19_2005	33.23	31.7	31.96	32.19			32.96(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	36	-10000	21	82	1	43%	-0.06	41.2	0.94%	0	2.7	77	0
19	May_18_2005	33.25	31.63	31.83	31.88			32.7(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	27	-10000	15	62	0.18	43%	-0.09	23.8	0.95%	0	2.7	76	0
20	May_17_2005	33.28	31.55	31.75	31.66			32.07(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	6	46	0.42	40%	-0.06	-11.2	0.91%	0	1.7	59	0

21	May_16_2005	33.3	31.52	31.67	31.57			31.8(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	7	-10000	-2	32	0.26	40%	-0.06	-44.6	0.9%	0	1	57	0
22	May_13_2005	33.32	31.5	31.62	31.6			31.41(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	29	0.6	39%	-0.12	-61.8	0.88%	0	-0.3	47	0
23	May_12_2005	33.36	31.51	31.59	31.68			31.43(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-6	33	0.41	39%	-0.09	-71.4	0.89%	0	-0.3	53	0
24	May_11_2005	33.39	31.54	31.55	31.76			31.59(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-6	27	0.63	39%	-0.09	-65.8	0.89%	0	0.1	46	0
25	May_10_2005	33.42	31.58	31.54	31.84			31.6(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	4	48	0.21	39%		-51	0.9%	0	0	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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