Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 26, 2005

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.0900 (0.52%) ($32.9400 - $33.1400) on Thu. May. 26, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $33.0900(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $33(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.62(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.12(3.02%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2005	33.12	32.12	32.62	33			33.09(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	2	139	0.34	46%	-0.06	61.1	0.91%	0	1.4	71	0
2	May_25_2005	33.14	32.02	32.46	32.97			32.92(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	3	132	0.69	46%	-0.06	57.5	0.91%	0	1.3	69	0
3	May_24_2005	33.16	31.94	32.33	32.93			33.02(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	13	127	0.51	46%	-0.06	61.3	0.91%	0	1.7	66	0
4	May_23_2005	33.18	31.86	32.19	32.74			33.08(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	18	114	0.31	46%	-0.06	57.4	0.91%	0	2	74	0
5	May_20_2005	33.2	31.78	32.07	32.48			32.87(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	19	99	0.18	43%	-0.09	51.2	0.94%	0	2	74	0

6	May_19_2005	33.23	31.7	31.96	32.19			32.96(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	36	-10000	21	82	1	43%	-0.06	41.2	0.94%	0	2.7	77	0
7	May_18_2005	33.25	31.63	31.83	31.88			32.7(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	27	-10000	15	62	0.18	43%	-0.09	23.8	0.95%	0	2.7	76	0
8	May_17_2005	33.28	31.55	31.75	31.66			32.07(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	6	46	0.42	40%	-0.06	-11.2	0.91%	0	1.7	59	0
9	May_16_2005	33.3	31.52	31.67	31.57			31.8(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	7	-10000	-2	32	0.26	40%	-0.06	-44.6	0.9%	0	1	57	0
10	May_13_2005	33.32	31.5	31.62	31.6			31.41(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	29	0.6	39%	-0.12	-61.8	0.88%	0	-0.3	47	0

11	May_12_2005	33.36	31.51	31.59	31.68			31.43(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-6	33	0.41	39%	-0.09	-71.4	0.89%	0	-0.3	53	0
12	May_11_2005	33.39	31.54	31.55	31.76			31.59(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-6	27	0.63	39%	-0.09	-65.8	0.89%	0	0.1	46	0
13	May_10_2005	33.42	31.58	31.54	31.84			31.6(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	4	48	0.21	39%	-0.09	-51	0.9%	0	0	58	0
14	May_9_2005	33.45	31.65	31.52	31.79			31.99(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	11	43	0.2	39%	-0.09	-49.4	0.89%	0	0.6	54	0
15	May_6_2005	33.48	31.68	31.47	31.63			31.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	11	27	0.28	39%	-0.09	-55	0.88%	0	0.2	53	0

16	May_5_2005	33.51	31.73	31.47	31.48			31.81(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	12	6	0.39	39%	-0.09	-55.1	0.89%	0	0.1	54	0
17	May_4_2005	33.54	31.79	31.42	31.31			32(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	8	-21	1.2	41%	-0.09	-57.4	0.89%	0	0.3	47	0
18	May_3_2005	33.57	31.83	31.32	31.2			31.33(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-1	-70	0.57	37%	-0.09	-59.6	0.86%	0	-0.6	35	0
19	May_2_2005	33.6	31.92	31.34	31.22			31.21(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10000	-6	-102	0.26	37%	-0.12	-55.8	0.85%	0	-0.9	29	0
20	Apr_29_2005	33.64	32.01	31.37	31.3			31.05(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-4	-117	0.79	39%	-0.09	-54.4	0.85%	0	-1.2	32	0

21	Apr_28_2005	33.67	32.11	31.42	31.36			30.98(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-10000	-12	-144	0.32	39%	-0.09	-54.1	0.86%	0	-1.4	30	0
22	Apr_27_2005	33.7	32.22	31.53	31.52			31.44(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	-10000	5	-143	1.1	41%	-0.09	-48.5	0.84%	0	-1	31	0
23	Apr_26_2005	33.73	32.31	31.63	31.45			31.4(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-2	-168	0.47	41%	-0.09	-51.3	0.84%	0	-1.2	33	0
24	Apr_25_2005	33.76	32.38	31.79	31.48			31.62(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-41	-10000	1	-167	0.5	41%	-0.09	-54.1	0.84%	0	-1	33	0
25	Apr_22_2005	33.79	32.45	31.9	31.46			31.34(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-2	-181	0.35	38%		-58.2	0.83%	0	-1.5	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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