Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 6, 2005

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.8100 (0%) ($31.7500 - $32.1500) on Fri. May. 6, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $31.8100(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.63(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.47(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.68(0.41%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2005	33.48	31.68	31.47	31.63			31.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	11	27	0.28	39%	-0.09	-55	0.88%	0	0.2	53	0
2	May_5_2005	33.51	31.73	31.47	31.48			31.81(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	12	6	0.39	39%	-0.09	-55.1	0.89%	0	0.1	54	0
3	May_4_2005	33.54	31.79	31.42	31.31			32(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	8	-21	1.2	41%	-0.09	-57.4	0.89%	0	0.3	47	0
4	May_3_2005	33.57	31.83	31.32	31.2			31.33(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-1	-70	0.57	37%	-0.09	-59.6	0.86%	0	-0.6	35	0
5	May_2_2005	33.6	31.92	31.34	31.22			31.21(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10000	-6	-102	0.26	37%	-0.12	-55.8	0.85%	0	-0.9	29	0

6	Apr_29_2005	33.64	32.01	31.37	31.3			31.05(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-4	-117	0.79	39%	-0.09	-54.4	0.85%	0	-1.2	32	0
7	Apr_28_2005	33.67	32.11	31.42	31.36			30.98(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-10000	-12	-144	0.32	39%	-0.09	-54.1	0.86%	0	-1.4	30	0
8	Apr_27_2005	33.7	32.22	31.53	31.52			31.44(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	-10000	5	-143	1.1	41%	-0.09	-48.5	0.84%	0	-1	31	0
9	Apr_26_2005	33.73	32.31	31.63	31.45			31.4(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-2	-168	0.47	41%	-0.09	-51.3	0.84%	0	-1.2	33	0
10	Apr_25_2005	33.76	32.38	31.79	31.48			31.62(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-41	-10000	1	-167	0.5	41%	-0.09	-54.1	0.84%	0	-1	33	0

11	Apr_22_2005	33.79	32.45	31.9	31.46			31.34(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-2	-181	0.35	38%	-0.09	-58.2	0.83%	0	-1.5	33	0
12	Apr_21_2005	33.82	32.54	32.05	31.49			31.82(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-50	-10000	-5	-183	0.28	40%	-0.06	-65.6	0.82%	0	-1	38	0
13	Apr_20_2005	33.84	32.59	32.18	31.55			31.05(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-69	-10000	-25	-202	0.18	31%	-0.09	-70.9	0.75%	0	-2.3	24	0
14	Apr_19_2005	33.87	32.7	32.39	31.85			31.57(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-10000	-24	-167	0.62	32%	-0.09	-77.8	0.76%	0	-2	26	0
15	Apr_18_2005	33.9	32.78	32.55	32.15			31.53(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-44	-10000	-20	-117	1.66	34%	-0.09	-74.4	0.77%	0	-2.5	37	0

16	Apr_15_2005	33.93	32.88	32.71	32.4			31.47(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-40	-10000	-23	-91	1.75	34%	-0.06	-77.1	0.77%	0	-3.3	32	0
17	Apr_14_2005	33.95	33	32.87	32.69			32.12(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-27	-10000	-18	-54	0.29	40%	-0.09	-81.4	0.74%	0	-2.8	42	0
18	Apr_13_2005	33.98	33.07	32.98	32.91			32.57(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-7	-15	0.29	41%	-0.03	-76.8	0.74%	0	-1.9	47	0
19	Apr_12_2005	33.99	33.14	33.05	33			33.07(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-3	6	1.38	43%	-0.03	-67	0.72%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Apr_11_2005	34	33.17	33.02	33.03			32.76(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	-3	-2	0.22	41%	-0.03	-66.7	0.71%	0	-1.3	42	0

21	Apr_8_2005	34.01	33.22	33.02	33.03			32.94(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-0	-10000	0	-1	0.46	41%	-0.06	-68.7	0.71%	0	-0.8	42	0
22	Apr_7_2005	34.03	33.26	33.06	33.07			33.2(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	1	-18	0.21	42%	-0.03	-69.6	0.71%	0	-0.2	41	0
23	Apr_6_2005	34.04	33.28	33.03	33.06			33.05(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10000	-3	-39	0.57	42%	-0.03	-73.3	0.71%	0	-0.7	39	0
24	Apr_5_2005	34.05	33.33	33.03	33.1			33.19(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	8	-49	0.27	42%	-0.03	-61.5	0.71%	0	-0.4	37	0
25	Apr_4_2005	34.06	33.38	33.02	33.01			32.99(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-3	-81	0.35	40%		-54.5	0.7%	0	-0.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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