Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 2, 2005

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $34.0000 (0.06%) ($33.8300 - $34.1800) on Wed. Mar. 2, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $34.0000(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.78(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.81(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.92(0.24%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.77% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2005	33.81	33.92	33.81	33.78			34(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	8	-29	0.33	45%	0.09	9.1	0.67%	0	0.3	55	0
2	Mar_1_2005	33.78	33.91	33.83	33.69			33.98(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	-10000	12	-37	0.36	50%	0.06	5.2	0.67%	0	0.3	46	0
3	Feb_28_2005	33.76	33.91	33.84	33.56			33.6(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-7	-67	0.46	44%	0.06	-1.3	0.69%	0	-1.2	38	0
4	Feb_25_2005	33.74	33.9	33.88	33.64			33.74(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-6	-58	0.27	44%	0.06	2.5	0.69%	0	-0.6	42	0
5	Feb_24_2005	33.72	33.89	33.9	33.71			33.58(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-12	-49	0.37	44%	0.06	4.8	0.7%	0	-1.1	48	0

6	Feb_23_2005	33.7	33.89	33.93	33.85			33.55(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-10000	-13	-33	0.36	44%	0.06	6	0.7%	0	-1.3	45	0
7	Feb_22_2005	33.68	33.9	33.99	34			33.34(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-10	-10000	-12	-5	0.51	44%	0.09	0	0.7%	0	-2	44	0
8	Feb_18_2005	33.65	33.91	34.09	34.14			34.01(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-1	32	0.19	45%	0.09	-5	0.67%	0	0.4	57	0
9	Feb_17_2005	33.62	33.89	34.1	34.15			34.08(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	3	54	0.31	45%	0.09	-11.3	0.67%	0	0.7	66	0
10	Feb_16_2005	33.59	33.89	34.08	34.12			34.25(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	8	57	0.16	43%	0.12	-22.5	0.67%	0	1.2	65	0

11	Feb_15_2005	33.55	33.88	34.04	34.03			34.31(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	3	48	0.1	43%	0.09	-24.3	0.68%	0	1.2	64	0
12	Feb_14_2005	33.52	33.9	33.99	34			34.04(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-4	50	0.16	41%	0.09	-23	0.68%	0	0.4	63	0
13	Feb_11_2005	33.49	33.9	33.97	34.04			34.09(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-1	68	0.46	44%	0.09	-16.5	0.68%	0	0.5	66	0
14	Feb_10_2005	33.46	33.92	33.9	34.05			33.92(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	3	66	0.76	44%	0.09	-17.4	0.69%	0	0	54	0
15	Feb_9_2005	33.43	33.94	33.87	34.02			33.78(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-3	55	0.14	44%	0.06	-20	0.68%	0	-0.4	49	0

16	Feb_8_2005	33.41	33.97	33.86	34.05			34.16(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	6	45	0.06	46%	0.09	-22.6	0.67%	0	0.5	42	0
17	Feb_7_2005	33.38	33.97	33.79	33.98			34.24(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	8	5	0.2	46%	0.09	-33.9	0.67%	0	0.7	37	0
18	Feb_4_2005	33.35	33.98	33.71	33.89			34.15(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	13	-33	0.16	52%	0.09	-49.6	0.67%	0	0.4	42	0
19	Feb_3_2005	33.32	33.99	33.71	33.74			33.79(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	3	-67	0.48	49%	0.09	-71.9	0.71%	0	-0.5	44	0
20	Feb_2_2005	33.29	34.02	33.66	33.7			33.91(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	4	-88	0.3	49%	0.06	-82.9	0.71%	0	-0.3	41	0

21	Feb_1_2005	33.27	34.06	33.7	33.65			33.81(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	6	-92	0.36	49%	0.09	-89.1	0.71%	0	-0.6	44	0
22	Jan_31_2005	33.24	34.11	33.79	33.58			33.78(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	7	-95	0.38	49%	0.09	-82.6	0.71%	0	-0.7	40	0
23	Jan_28_2005	33.21	34.19	33.85	33.5			33.42(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-5	-111	0.26	46%	0.06	-76.6	0.7%	0	-1.4	37	0
24	Jan_27_2005	33.19	34.28	33.93	33.56			33.58(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-4	-107	0.05	51%	0.09	-66.9	0.7%	0	-1.2	39	0
25	Jan_26_2005	33.16	34.37	34.02	33.61			33.65(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-13	-104	0.27	55%		-59.2	0.73%	0	-1.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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