Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 29, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $35.3200 (0.09%) ($35.2100 - $35.3300) on Wed. Dec. 29, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $35.3200(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.05(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.87(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.62(2.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2004	32.37	34.62	34.87	35.05			35.32(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	28	-10000	10	80	0.12	70%	0.19	66.3	0.7%	0	2.1	77	0
2	Dec_28_2004	32.31	34.55	34.81	34.93			35.29(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	30	-10000	13	81	0.26	70%	0.19	55.1	0.7%	0	2.2	80	0
3	Dec_27_2004	32.25	34.49	34.73	34.77			34.88(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	6	66	0.03	67%	0.28	54	0.69%	0	1.3	66	0
4	Dec_23_2004	32.16	34.46	34.68	34.7			34.86(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	2	58	0.11	67%	0.12	53.6	0.7%	0	1.4	63	0
5	Dec_22_2004	32.12	34.44	34.64	34.68			34.92(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	1	58	1.2	63%	0.16	62.8	0.7%	0	1.8	61	0

6	Dec_21_2004	32.07	34.4	34.57	34.68			34.68(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	0	52	1.18	63%	0.12	69.9	0.72%	0	1.1	58	0
7	Dec_20_2004	32.03	34.36	34.5	34.67			34.49(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-1	56	0.19	63%	0.13	61.8	0.72%	0	0.5	66	0
8	Dec_17_2004	31.99	34.33	34.48	34.68			34.53(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	2	60	0.73	63%	0.13	50	0.73%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Dec_16_2004	31.95	34.31	34.45	34.65			34.79(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	6	57	0.16	65%	0.16	50.6	0.72%	0	1.7	55	0
10	Dec_15_2004	31.9	34.27	34.41	34.58			34.85(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	11	50	0.56	65%	0.16	53.2	0.72%	0	2.1	57	0

11	Dec_14_2004	31.85	34.23	34.35	34.45			34.7(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	12	38	0.58	65%	0.13	51.4	0.73%	0	2	59	0
12	Dec_13_2004	31.81	34.2	34.27	34.3			34.52(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	5	13	0.25	65%	0.16	54.1	0.73%	0	1.5	61	0
13	Dec_10_2004	31.76	34.19	34.27	34.24			34.4(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	2	14	0.19	67%	0.13	62.1	0.73%	0	1.1	63	0
14	Dec_9_2004	31.72	34.16	34.23	34.22			34.44(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	-10000	1	15	0.38	67%	0.13	69.5	0.73%	0	1.4	54	0
15	Dec_8_2004	31.68	34.13	34.23	34.21			34.18(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-2	21	0.09	66%	0.13	83.9	0.73%	0	0.2	53	0

16	Dec_7_2004	31.64	34.1	34.23	34.24			33.98(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	9	-10000	2	31	0.22	66%	0.13	103	0.73%	0	-0.5	51	0
17	Dec_6_2004	31.6	34.09	34.22	34.24			34.22(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	0	19	0.26	66%	0.13	111	0.73%	0	0.5	48	0
18	Dec_3_2004	31.56	34.06	34.18	34.21			34.28(-0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-2	8	0.48	66%	0.1	122.8	0.73%	0	0.8	51	0
19	Dec_2_2004	31.53	34.03	34.17	34.21			34.39(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	0	17	0.47	68%	0.13	134.1	0.73%	0	1.2	56	0
20	Dec_1_2004	31.49	33.95	34.13	34.23			34.35(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	3	25	0.83	68%	0.1	108.9	0.75%	0	1.1	61	0

21	Nov_30_2004	31.46	33.87	34.09	34.19			33.82(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-2	26	0.69	66%	0.1	100	0.73%	0	-0.1	55	0
22	Nov_29_2004	31.43	33.82	34.09	34.22			34.19(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	7	49	0.9	70%	0.13	98.7	0.72%	0	0.7	62	0
23	Nov_26_2004	31.39	33.74	34.14	34.13			34.42(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	4	50	0.1	70%	0.13	94.9	0.71%	0	1.2	68	0
24	Nov_24_2004	31.35	33.64	34.09	34.08			34.38(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	6	56	2.22	70%	0.13	88.9	0.71%	0	1.1	69	0
25	Nov_23_2004	31.31	33.54	34.03	34.01			34.15(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10000	3	66	0.11	70%		85.1	0.71%	0	0.8	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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