Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $34.4200 (0.12%) ($34.2000 - $34.5100) on Fri. Nov. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $34.4200(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.13(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.14(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.74(2.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_26_2004	31.39	33.74	34.14	34.13			34.42(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	4	50	0.1	70%	0.13	94.9	0.71%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Nov_24_2004	31.35	33.64	34.09	34.08			34.38(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	6	56	2.22	70%	0.13	88.9	0.71%	0	1.1	69	0
3	Nov_23_2004	31.31	33.54	34.03	34.01			34.15(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10000	3	66	0.11	70%	0.06	85.1	0.71%	0	0.8	76	0
4	Nov_22_2004	31.29	33.43	33.98	33.98			33.96(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10000	-6	82	1.54	70%	0.1	76	0.71%	0	0.6	76	0
5	Nov_19_2004	31.26	33.3	33.98	34.05			33.75(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10000	-7	118	0.66	71%	0.06	69.5	0.71%	0	0.5	76	0

6	Nov_18_2004	31.24	33.19	33.95	34.14			34.18(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	44	-10000	3	167	0.44	78%	0.1	69.5	0.7%	0	1	88	0
7	Nov_17_2004	31.21	33.06	33.88	34.1			34.02(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	52	-10000	5	191	0.73	79%	0.06	68	0.7%	0	0.9	86	0
8	Nov_16_2004	31.19	32.92	33.77	34.04			33.99(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	-10000	6	194	0.53	81%	0.1	65.2	0.71%	0	1	87	0
9	Nov_15_2004	31.16	32.8	33.65	33.97			34.31(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	-10000	10	203	0.36	85%	0.06	64.3	0.75%	0	1.5	98	0
10	Nov_12_2004	31.14	32.66	33.48	33.84			34.21(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	-10000	9	220	0.12	80%	0.06	63	0.75%	0	1.6	99	0

11	Nov_11_2004	31.12	32.52	33.3	33.73			33.99(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	-10000	8	230	1.21	80%	0.1	62.3	0.77%	0	1.5	97	0
12	Nov_10_2004	31.09	32.38	33.15	33.63			33.68(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	71	-10000	14	243	0.36	80%	0.06	60.4	0.78%	0	1.4	86	0
13	Nov_9_2004	31.07	32.26	33.02	33.45			33.68(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	72	-10000	14	245	0.21	80%	0.06	55.1	0.79%	0	1.7	88	0
14	Nov_8_2004	31.05	32.15	32.83	33.26			33.65(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	-10000	16	233	0.1	80%	0.03	51.4	0.79%	0	1.9	82	0
15	Nov_5_2004	31.04	32.05	32.6	33.05			33.63(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	-10000	18	195	0.36	70%	0.06	48	0.82%	0	2.2	77	0

16	Nov_4_2004	31.02	31.93	32.36	32.81			33.51(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	50	-10000	14	159	0.31	70%	0.06	44.8	0.85%	0	2.5	78	0
17	Nov_3_2004	31	31.84	32.16	32.61			32.79(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	7	148	0.33	65%	0.03	49.4	0.82%	0	1.9	75	0
18	Nov_2_2004	30.99	31.8	32.01	32.52			32.71(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	14	136	0.68	65%	0.03	58.6	0.83%	0	2	67	0
19	Nov_1_2004	30.98	31.75	31.88	32.33			32.59(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	20	114	0.4	65%	0.03	63.6	0.83%	0	2	64	0
20	Oct_29_2004	30.97	31.71	31.78	32.06			32.46(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	17	81	1.29	65%	0.03	62.4	0.83%	0	2	61	0

21	Oct_28_2004	30.96	31.66	31.67	31.83			32.5(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	23	-10000	14	49	0.45	65%	0	54.2	0.83%	0	2.5	63	0
22	Oct_27_2004	30.96	31.59	31.53	31.64			32.32(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	16	14	0.4	67%	0.03	45.3	0.83%	0	2.4	56	0
23	Oct_26_2004	30.95	31.53	31.44	31.43			31.78(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	5	-28	0.45	63%	-0.03	30.2	0.83%	0	0.9	44	0
24	Oct_25_2004	30.96	31.49	31.42	31.37			31.26(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-6	-48	0.14	60%	0	15.2	0.82%	0	-0.8	39	0
25	Oct_22_2004	30.96	31.48	31.46	31.45			31.29(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-1	-41	0.21	60%		20.7	0.82%	0	-0.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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