Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 19, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.2200 (-0.46%) ($30.1200 - $30.3800) on Thu. Aug. 19, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $30.2200(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.89(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.59(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.88(1.14%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2004	31.07		29.59	29.89			30.22(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	-10000	21	-18	0.59	55%	-0.06	-19.3	0.84%	0	0.7	46	0
2	Aug_18_2004	31.09	29.88	29.52	29.63			30.36(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-6	-10000	16	-71	0.63	57%	-0.03	-35.7	0.84%	0	0.9	47	0
3	Aug_17_2004	31.1	29.87	29.52	29.43			30.1(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-20	-10000	8	-103	0.54	53%	-0.03	-51.1	0.86%	0	0.4	47	0
4	Aug_16_2004	31.11	29.88	29.48	29.33			29.72(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-23	-10000	10	-120	0.35	50%	-0.06	-60.3	0.86%	0	-0.3	40	0
5	Aug_13_2004	31.13	29.91	29.56	29.21			29.03(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-2	-135	0.21	45%	-0.06	-72.4	0.81%	0	-1.7	40	0

6	Aug_12_2004	31.15	29.97	29.7	29.24			28.96(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-11	-130	0.24	45%	-0.06	-77.8	0.81%	0	-2	36	0
7	Aug_11_2004	31.17	30.06	29.84	29.37			29.36(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-14	-116	0.19	51%	-0.06	-75.6	0.79%	0	-1.5	38	0
8	Aug_10_2004	31.19	30.13	29.94	29.53			29.57(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-12	-94	0.05	49%	-0.03	-69.2	0.81%	0	-1.2	41	0
9	Aug_9_2004	31.2	30.2	30.02	29.67			29.14(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-40	-10000	-25	-85	0.12	45%	-0.06	-63.8	0.8%	0	-2.3	30	0
10	Aug_6_2004	31.22	30.29	30.1	29.97			29.18(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-27	-10000	-20	-48	0.36	39%	-0.06	-59.1	0.85%	0	-2.8	38	0

11	Aug_5_2004	31.24	30.37	30.21	30.22			29.61(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-13	-10000	-12	-17	0.65	41%	-0.06	-64.7	0.85%	0	-2.5	41	0
12	Aug_4_2004	31.26	30.42	30.29	30.38			30.14(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-2	-0	0.2	44%	-0.03	-73.9	0.83%	0	-1	42	0
13	Aug_3_2004	31.27	30.46	30.3	30.4			30.3(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-8	0.07	44%	0	-77.6	0.83%	0	-0.5	41	0
14	Aug_2_2004	31.27	30.5	30.32	30.41			30.61(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	11	-10	0.22	46%	-0.03	-84.3	0.82%	0	0.4	42	0
15	Jul_30_2004	31.28	30.53	30.28	30.27			30.43(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	5	-46	0.13	46%	0	-93.9	0.82%	0	-0.3	42	0

16	Jul_29_2004	31.28	30.57	30.26	30.21			30.4(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	2	-65	0.26	46%	-0.03	-92.4	0.83%	0	-0.4	44	0
17	Jul_28_2004	31.29	30.63	30.28	30.21			30.25(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	0	-67	0.09	44%	-0.06	-87.1	0.83%	0	-0.8	45	0
18	Jul_27_2004	31.31	30.69	30.33	30.19			30.38(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-2	-72	0.18	44%	-0.06	-83.3	0.84%	0	-0.6	40	0
19	Jul_26_2004	31.33	30.76	30.38	30.22			29.87(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-5	-77	0.22	39%	-0.06	-74.4	0.81%	0	-1.7	29	0
20	Jul_23_2004	31.35	30.86	30.48	30.28			30.13(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-3	-78	0.13	41%	-0.1	-70.9	0.81%	0	-1.4	28	0

21	Jul_22_2004	31.38	30.95	30.54	30.32			30.31(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	-6	-91	0.09	46%	-0.06	-68.5	0.81%	0	-1.2	28	0
22	Jul_21_2004	31.4	31.03	30.57	30.39			30.26(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-103	0.21	46%	-0.03	-65	0.85%	0	-1.4	25	0
23	Jul_20_2004	31.41	31.1	30.64	30.5			30.53(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-6	-103	0.99	48%	-0.06	-63.8	0.85%	0	-1.1	29	0
24	Jul_19_2004	31.43	31.16	30.69	30.58			30.19(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-35	-10000	-9	-112	0.16	45%	-0.06	-59.5	0.84%	0	-1.8	17	0
25	Jul_16_2004	31.45	31.25	30.8	30.7			30.31(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-32	-10000	-6	-110	0.22	47%		-58.3	0.84%	0	-1.8	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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