Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.8000 (-0.42%) ($30.7200 - $31.1100) on Wed. Jul. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $30.8000(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.14(-8.64%)
Resistance Level   $31.39
5 Day Moving Average   $30.77(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.01(-0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.39(-1.88%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2004	31.48	31.39	31.01	30.77			30.8(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	-2	-119	0.11	50%	-0.03	-64.6	0.83%	0	-1.3	21	0
2	Jul_13_2004	31.49	31.44	31.08	30.8			30.93(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-2	-119	0.06	46%	0	-66.4	0.83%	0	-1.1	33	0
3	Jul_12_2004	31.49	31.48	31.16	30.83			30.81(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-7	-114	0.21	46%	-0.03	-67.9	0.86%	0	-1.6	28	0
4	Jul_9_2004	31.5	31.55	31.27	30.92			30.73(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-10	-106	0.58	46%	-0.03	-60	0.87%	0	-2	24	0
5	Jul_8_2004	31.51	31.61	31.38	31.06			30.56(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-36	-10000	-16	-94	0.15	46%	-0.06	-52.5	0.87%	0	-2.8	17	0

6	Jul_7_2004	31.53	31.69	31.52	31.28			30.98(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-9	-67	0.16	49%	-0.03	-40.2	0.86%	0	-2.4	26	0
7	Jul_6_2004	31.54	31.75	31.6	31.4			31.07(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-10	-58	0.56	49%	-0.03	-24.4	0.86%	0	-2.6	29	0
8	Jul_2_2004	31.55	31.78	31.67	31.54			31.27(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-9	-38	0.19	53%	-0.03	-10.6	0.86%	0	-2.4	42	0
9	Jul_1_2004	31.56	31.79	31.74	31.66			31.44(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-7	-26	0.61	53%	0	6.7	0.87%	0	-1.8	34	0
10	Jun_30_2004	31.56	31.79	31.79	31.76			31.63(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.44	53%	-0.03	30.2	0.86%	0	-1.1	43	0

11	Jun_29_2004	31.57	31.79	31.81	31.81			31.57(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.17	55%	0	54.4	0.87%	0	-1.3	35	0
12	Jun_28_2004	31.57	31.81	31.84	31.81			31.81(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.73	55%	0.03	90.6	0.87%	0	0	43	0
13	Jun_25_2004	31.56	31.8	31.83	31.81			31.87(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	0	-15	0.3	58%	0	115.8	0.87%	0	0.4	57	0
14	Jun_24_2004	31.56	31.78	31.83	31.82			31.9(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-10000	-1	-4	0.09	58%	0.03	140	0.89%	0	0.6	60	0
15	Jun_23_2004	31.55	31.76	31.84	31.83			31.89(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	1	2	0.07	58%	0.03	160.3	0.9%	0	0.6	55	0

16	Jun_22_2004	31.54	31.71	31.86	31.82			31.64(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-3	12	0.09	55%	0	172.7	0.89%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	Jun_21_2004	31.54	31.66	31.91	31.86			31.78(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	2	27	0.1	55%	0.03	126.3	0.91%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Jun_18_2004	31.53	31.59	31.89	31.83			31.89(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	23	0.05	55%	0	93.7	0.91%	0	0.8	58	0
19	Jun_17_2004	31.53	31.52	31.86	31.83			31.94(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	0	28	0.04	57%	0.03	77.4	0.92%	0	0.9	62	0
20	Jun_16_2004	31.52	31.44	31.83	31.86			31.86(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-4	31	0.07	58%	0	68	0.93%	0	0.7	61	0

21	Jun_15_2004	31.52	31.35	31.8	31.92			31.83(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	52	0.26	54%	0	67	0.94%	0	0.8	71	0
22	Jun_14_2004	31.52	31.28	31.8	31.92			31.64(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	0	78	1.38	54%	-0.03	63.1	0.97%	0	0.5	73	0
23	Jun_10_2004	31.53	31.22	31.78	31.96			32.05(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	8	103	0.15	54%	0	56.3	0.99%	0	1.2	84	0
24	Jun_9_2004	31.53	31.14	31.72	31.84			31.92(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	3	109	0.12	54%	0	46.3	1.01%	0	1.1	84	0
25	Jun_8_2004	31.53	31.07	31.67	31.8			32.16(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	8	128	0.46	52%		38	1%	0	1.6	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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