Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.6400 (-1.28%) ($31.5600 - $32.0500) on Mon. Jun. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $31.6400(-1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.96(-1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.78(-0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.28(1.15%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2004	31.52	31.28					31.64(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	0	78	1.38	54%	-0.03	63.1	0.97%	0	0.5	73	0
2	Jun_10_2004	31.53	31.22	31.78	31.96			32.05(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	8	103	0.15	54%	0	56.3	0.99%	0	1.2	84	0
3	Jun_9_2004	31.53	31.14	31.72	31.84			31.92(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	3	109	0.12	54%	0	46.3	1.01%	0	1.1	84	0
4	Jun_8_2004	31.53	31.07	31.67	31.8			32.16(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	8	128	0.46	52%	0.03	38	1%	0	1.6	85	0
5	Jun_7_2004	31.52	30.96	31.54	31.68			32.05(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	-10000	6	131	0.24	52%	0	23	1.02%	0	1.7	88	0

6	Jun_4_2004	31.52	30.87	31.39	31.68			31.61(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	0	124	0.46	51%	0	13.1	1.01%	0	1.2	70	0
7	Jun_3_2004	31.52	30.87	31.27	31.58			31.48(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	1	127	0.29	51%	0	9.4	1.01%	0	1.1	69	0
8	Jun_2_2004	31.52	30.83	31.15	31.57			31.68(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	3	127	0.2	51%	0	6.8	1%	0	1.4	70	0
9	Jun_1_2004	31.52	30.81	31.03	31.52			31.56(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	10	128	0.24	51%	0.03	-1.1	1%	0	1.3	70	0
10	May_28_2004	31.51	30.8	30.87	31.37			31.59(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	39	-10000	14	114	0.32	51%	-0.03	-11.7	1.01%	0	1.4	76	0

11	May_27_2004	31.52	30.79	30.74	31.15			31.59(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	16	94	0.06	51%	0	-29.3	1.01%	0	1.4	66	0
12	May_26_2004	31.52	30.78	30.62	30.9			31.45(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	15	56	0.34	51%	0	-45.6	1.01%	0	1.1	51	0
13	May_25_2004	31.52	30.79	30.51	30.67			31.43(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	14	11	0.11	51%	0	-50.9	1.02%	0	1	45	0
14	May_24_2004	31.52	30.82	30.4	30.46			30.81(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	11	-32	0.16	48%	0	-54.5	0.99%	0	-0	39	0
15	May_21_2004	31.52	30.87	30.31	30.29			30.49(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	1	-86	0.11	46%	-0.03	-56.4	0.97%	0	-0.5	34	0

16	May_20_2004	31.53	30.96	30.3	30.27			30.34(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-108	0.08	46%	-0.06	-51.9	0.98%	0	-0.8	35	0
17	May_19_2004	31.55	31.05	30.36	30.28			30.27(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-3	-119	0.23	46%	-0.03	-48.4	0.98%	0	-1	32	0
18	May_18_2004	31.56	31.13	30.48	30.28			30.4(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	0	-120	1.17	46%	-0.03	-47	0.98%	0	-0.9	31	0
19	May_17_2004	31.57	31.2	30.58	30.28			29.93(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-35	-10000	0	-138	0.45	46%	-0.03	-48.2	0.96%	0	-1.6	20	0
20	May_14_2004	31.58	31.3	30.74	30.33			30.41(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-10000	1	-147	0.38	48%	-0.03	-53.9	0.96%	0	-1.2	28	0

21	May_13_2004	31.59	31.38	30.84	30.32			30.4(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-10000	-10	-171	0.49	47%	-0.03	-58.2	0.96%	0	-1.4	26	0
22	May_12_2004	31.6	31.44	30.96	30.46			30.5(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	-10000	-14	-172	0.95	47%	0	-60.4	0.97%	0	-1.4	25	0
23	May_11_2004	31.6	31.5	31.09	30.67			30.4(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-15	-151	0.57	48%	-0.03	-61.3	0.97%	0	-1.8	36	0
24	May_10_2004	31.61	31.57	31.27	30.89			29.96(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-47	-10000	-21	-125	0.41	47%	-0.03	-62.4	0.96%	0	-2.8	31	0
25	May_7_2004	31.62	31.69	31.48	31.21			30.34(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-33	-10000	-14	-89	0.42	49%		-59.9	0.95%	0	-3	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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