Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.5900 (0.45%) ($31.4000 - $31.7700) on Thu. May. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $31.5900(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.15(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.74(2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.79(2.6%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2004	31.52	30.79	30.74	31.15			31.59(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	16	94	0.06	51%	0	-29.3	1.01%	0	1.4	66	0
2	May_26_2004	31.52	30.78	30.62	30.9			31.45(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	15	56	0.34	51%	0	-45.6	1.01%	0	1.1	51	0
3	May_25_2004	31.52	30.79	30.51	30.67			31.43(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	14	11	0.11	51%	0	-50.9	1.02%	0	1	45	0
4	May_24_2004	31.52	30.82	30.4	30.46			30.81(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	11	-32	0.16	48%	0	-54.5	0.99%	0	-0	39	0
5	May_21_2004	31.52	30.87	30.31	30.29			30.49(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	1	-86	0.11	46%	-0.03	-56.4	0.97%	0	-0.5	34	0

6	May_20_2004	31.53	30.96	30.3	30.27			30.34(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-108	0.08	46%	-0.06	-51.9	0.98%	0	-0.8	35	0
7	May_19_2004	31.55	31.05	30.36	30.28			30.27(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-3	-119	0.23	46%	-0.03	-48.4	0.98%	0	-1	32	0
8	May_18_2004	31.56	31.13	30.48	30.28			30.4(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	0	-120	1.17	46%	-0.03	-47	0.98%	0	-0.9	31	0
9	May_17_2004	31.57	31.2	30.58	30.28			29.93(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-35	-10000	0	-138	0.45	46%	-0.03	-48.2	0.96%	0	-1.6	20	0
10	May_14_2004	31.58	31.3	30.74	30.33			30.41(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-10000	1	-147	0.38	48%	-0.03	-53.9	0.96%	0	-1.2	28	0

11	May_13_2004	31.59	31.38	30.84	30.32			30.4(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-10000	-10	-171	0.49	47%	-0.03	-58.2	0.96%	0	-1.4	26	0
12	May_12_2004	31.6	31.44	30.96	30.46			30.5(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	-10000	-14	-172	0.95	47%	0	-60.4	0.97%	0	-1.4	25	0
13	May_11_2004	31.6	31.5	31.09	30.67			30.4(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-15	-151	0.57	48%	-0.03	-61.3	0.97%	0	-1.8	36	0
14	May_10_2004	31.61	31.57	31.27	30.89			29.96(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-47	-10000	-21	-125	0.41	47%	-0.03	-62.4	0.96%	0	-2.8	31	0
15	May_7_2004	31.62	31.69	31.48	31.21			30.34(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-33	-10000	-14	-89	0.42	49%	0	-59.9	0.95%	0	-3	32	0

16	May_6_2004	31.62	31.78	31.68	31.42			31.09(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-7	-60	0.68	55%	0	-65.3	0.91%	0	-2.2	39	0
17	May_5_2004	31.62	31.84	31.81	31.52			31.56(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-4	-33	0.22	59%	0.06	-56	0.9%	0	-1	51	0
18	May_4_2004	31.6	31.88	31.84	31.58			31.49(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-10	-27	0.47	59%	0.03	-39.2	0.9%	0	-1.3	50	0
19	May_3_2004	31.59	31.93	31.86	31.73			31.55(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-6	-8	1.31	59%	0.03	-12	0.9%	0	-1.2	50	0
20	Apr_30_2004	31.58	31.96	31.9	31.82			31.39(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-11	-10000	-12	-7	0.12	59%	0.06	9.3	0.9%	0	-1.8	37	0

21	Apr_29_2004	31.56	31.99	31.9	31.99			31.63(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-11	12	0.14	59%	0.06	36.3	0.89%	0	-1.2	45	0
22	Apr_28_2004	31.54	31.99	31.96	32.14			31.84(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	7	-10000	1	24	1.16	54%	0.06	68.2	0.89%	0	-0.6	45	0
23	Apr_27_2004	31.52	32	31.95	32.12			32.22(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	7	9	0.37	56%	0.06	86.4	0.93%	0	0.8	45	0
24	Apr_26_2004	31.5	31.97	31.89	32.02			32(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	1	-20	0.09	56%	0.06	89	0.93%	0	0.1	40	0
25	Apr_23_2004	31.48	31.94	31.91	32			32.26(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	5	-20	0.06	56%		79.6	0.92%	0	1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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