Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $32.4900 (0.71%) ($32.1200 - $32.5800) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $32.4900(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.23(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.01(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.95(1.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2004	30.87	31.95	32.01	32.23			32.49(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	9	53	0.13	73%	0.1	101.2	0.69%	0	2.1	65	0
2	Mar_4_2004	30.84	31.89	31.93	32.13			32.26(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	5	29	0.14	72%	0.06	87.1	0.7%	0	1.4	53	0
3	Mar_3_2004	30.82	31.83	31.9	32.07			32.13(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	7	16	0.12	72%	0.1	69.1	0.7%	0	1	47	0
4	Mar_2_2004	30.79	31.78	31.9	31.99			32.1(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	9	6	0.15	72%	0.06	44.5	0.71%	0	0.9	53	0
5	Mar_1_2004	30.77	31.73	31.88	31.89			32.19(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	12	4	0.12	73%	0.1	24.8	0.71%	0	1.3	60	0

6	Feb_27_2004	30.74	31.69	31.88	31.75			31.99(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.07	73%	0.1	4.5	0.71%	0	0.9	58	0
7	Feb_26_2004	30.71	31.65	31.83	31.7			31.94(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	-1	-6	0.15	73%	0.1	-9.9	0.72%	0	0.8	63	0
8	Feb_25_2004	30.68	31.65	31.85	31.71			31.74(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-4	22	0.06	74%	0.1	-18.4	0.72%	0	0.3	64	0
9	Feb_24_2004	30.65	31.62	31.87	31.75			31.57(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-10	46	0.08	77%	0.07	-10.5	0.72%	0	-0.1	62	0
10	Feb_23_2004	30.63	31.64	31.88	31.86			31.51(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	15	-10000	-4	73	0.29	77%	0.1	2.5	0.76%	0	-0.3	57	0

11	Feb_20_2004	30.6	31.67	31.89	31.91			31.74(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-5	86	0.22	77%	0.13	8.9	0.76%	0	0.2	59	0
12	Feb_19_2004	30.56	31.69	31.85	31.97			31.98(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10000	-4	97	0.1	77%	0.1	19	0.75%	0	0.7	63	0
13	Feb_18_2004	30.53	31.68	31.76	32.02			31.95(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	2	106	0.06	72%	0.16	27.8	0.75%	0	0.7	65	0
14	Feb_17_2004	30.48	31.66	31.68	32			32.14(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	87	0.3	72%	0.23	28.6	0.77%	0	1.2	52	0
15	Feb_13_2004	30.41	31.64	31.58	31.9			31.73(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	2	52	0.34	68%	0.13	25	0.77%	0	0.2	42	0

16	Feb_12_2004	30.37	31.63	31.54	31.87			32.05(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	13	37	0.07	72%	0.13	24.2	0.76%	0	1.1	47	0
17	Feb_11_2004	30.33	31.61	31.46	31.71			32.21(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	15	-10000	20	-1	0.23	72%	0.13	11.1	0.77%	0	1.6	48	0
18	Feb_10_2004	30.29	31.57	31.35	31.47			31.89(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	14	-54	0.05	67%	0.1	-9.9	0.76%	0	0.9	48	0
19	Feb_9_2004	30.26	31.55	31.34	31.3			31.62(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	7	-73	0.12	66%	0.1	-24.1	0.77%	0	0.2	52	0
20	Feb_6_2004	30.23	31.55	31.38	31.22			31.58(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	4	-79	0.09	66%	0.1	-26.9	0.77%	0	0.1	47	0

21	Feb_5_2004	30.2	31.54	31.41	31.17			31.25(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-1	-83	0.16	64%	0.07	-29.6	0.76%	0	-0.9	42	0
22	Feb_4_2004	30.18	31.57	31.5	31.18			31.01(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-3	-72	0.06	63%	0.07	-22.2	0.76%	0	-1.6	40	0
23	Feb_3_2004	30.16	31.6	31.59	31.21			31.05(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-14	-64	0.06	63%	0.1	-18.4	0.76%	0	-1.8	47	0
24	Feb_2_2004	30.13	31.6	31.64	31.38			31.22(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-14	-40	0.24	63%	0.1	2.2	0.76%	0	-1.5	48	0
25	Jan_30_2004	30.1	31.63	31.7	31.55			31.31(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-12	-10	0.19	63%		24.7	0.76%	0	-1.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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