Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.0100 (-0.13%) ($30.8700 - $31.2000) on Wed. Feb. 4, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $31.0100(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $31.57
5 Day Moving Average   $31.18(-0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.5(-1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.57(-1.77%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2004	30.18	31.57	31.5	31.18			31.01(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-3	-72	0.06	63%	0.07	-22.2	0.76%	0	-1.6	40	0
2	Feb_3_2004	30.16	31.6	31.59	31.21			31.05(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-14	-64	0.06	63%	0.1	-18.4	0.76%	0	-1.8	47	0
3	Feb_2_2004	30.13	31.6	31.64	31.38			31.22(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-14	-40	0.24	63%	0.1	2.2	0.76%	0	-1.5	48	0
4	Jan_30_2004	30.1	31.63	31.7	31.55			31.31(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-12	-10	0.19	63%	0.1	24.7	0.76%	0	-1.1	48	0
5	Jan_29_2004	30.07	31.63	31.75	31.7			31.33(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-10000	-14	12	0.26	63%	0.1	46.6	0.76%	0	-1.1	46	0

6	Jan_28_2004	30.04	31.64	31.79	31.87			31.13(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-1	-10000	-12	33	0.13	66%	0.1	71.8	0.76%	0	-1.9	40	0
7	Jan_27_2004	30.01	31.66	31.83	32.02			31.89(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	7	60	0.06	75%	0.07	100	0.74%	0	0.9	57	0
8	Jan_26_2004	29.99	31.62	31.78	31.94			32.11(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	6	49	0.06	75%	0.1	97.6	0.75%	0	1.9	65	0
9	Jan_23_2004	29.96	31.56	31.72	31.87			32.05(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	5	45	0.06	75%	0.1	94.2	0.75%	0	1.8	70	0
10	Jan_22_2004	29.93	31.51	31.68	31.81			32.15(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	9	43	0.14	71%	0.1	112.7	0.74%	0	2.6	63	0

11	Jan_21_2004	29.9	31.45	31.63	31.71			31.9(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	8	39	0.14	70%	0.07	121.1	0.77%	0	1.9	64	0
12	Jan_20_2004	29.88	31.4	31.63	31.61			31.51(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	1	30	0.18	68%	0.1	119.7	0.75%	0	0.5	55	0
13	Jan_16_2004	29.85	31.37	31.6	31.6			31.74(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	13	-10000	4	39	0.05	64%	0.1	112.4	0.76%	0	1.3	66	0
14	Jan_15_2004	29.82	31.31	31.55	31.55			31.74(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	2	39	0.09	64%	0.1	116.1	0.77%	0	1.5	68	0
15	Jan_14_2004	29.79	31.23	31.53	31.53			31.65(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	-10000	-2	45	0.28	64%	0.13	102.8	0.77%	0	1.2	63	0

16	Jan_13_2004	29.75	31.17	31.53	31.55			31.4(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-4	56	0.1	64%	0.1	92.2	0.76%	0	0.6	62	0
17	Jan_12_2004	29.72	31.12	31.49	31.55			31.45(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	0	76	0.06	64%	0.1	89.7	0.77%	0	0.7	65	0
18	Jan_9_2004	29.69	31.06	31.45	31.6			31.52(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	5	85	0.19	66%	0.1	88.1	0.77%	0	1	67	0
19	Jan_8_2004	29.66	30.98	31.4	31.54			31.65(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	3	88	0.17	66%	0.1	75.2	0.78%	0	1.3	76	0
20	Jan_7_2004	29.63	30.89	31.34	31.51			31.75(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	8	106	0.07	66%	0.1	64	0.79%	0	1.6	82	0

21	Jan_6_2004	29.6	30.8	31.26	31.41			31.61(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	4	109	0.08	66%	0.14	53.6	0.79%	0	1.5	78	0
22	Jan_5_2004	29.56	30.72	31.18	31.36			31.49(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	7	117	0.18	66%	0.1	48.9	0.79%	0	1.4	73	0
23	Jan_2_2004	29.53	30.65	31.12	31.28			31.22(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	4	122	0.06	66%	0.17	43.8	0.79%	0	1.1	72	0
24	Dec_31_2003	29.48	30.61	31.05	31.23			31.49(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	-10000	7	134	0.14	72%	0.14	42.4	0.79%	0	1.7	84	0
25	Dec_30_2003	29.44	30.55	30.92	31.14			31.26(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	4	122	0.04	72%		44.8	0.85%	0	1.5	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.