Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $32.1500 (0.78%) ($32.0000 - $32.2100) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $32.1500(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.81(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.68(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.51(2.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2004	29.93	31.51	31.68	31.81			32.15(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	9	43	0.14	71%	0.1	112.7	0.74%	0	2.6	63	0
2	Jan_21_2004	29.9	31.45	31.63	31.71			31.9(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	8	39	0.14	70%	0.07	121.1	0.77%	0	1.9	64	0
3	Jan_20_2004	29.88	31.4	31.63	31.61			31.51(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	1	30	0.18	68%	0.1	119.7	0.75%	0	0.5	55	0
4	Jan_16_2004	29.85	31.37	31.6	31.6			31.74(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	13	-10000	4	39	0.05	64%	0.1	112.4	0.76%	0	1.3	66	0
5	Jan_15_2004	29.82	31.31	31.55	31.55			31.74(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	2	39	0.09	64%	0.1	116.1	0.77%	0	1.5	68	0

6	Jan_14_2004	29.79	31.23	31.53	31.53			31.65(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	-10000	-2	45	0.28	64%	0.13	102.8	0.77%	0	1.2	63	0
7	Jan_13_2004	29.75	31.17	31.53	31.55			31.4(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-4	56	0.1	64%	0.1	92.2	0.76%	0	0.6	62	0
8	Jan_12_2004	29.72	31.12	31.49	31.55			31.45(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	0	76	0.06	64%	0.1	89.7	0.77%	0	0.7	65	0
9	Jan_9_2004	29.69	31.06	31.45	31.6			31.52(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	5	85	0.19	66%	0.1	88.1	0.77%	0	1	67	0
10	Jan_8_2004	29.66	30.98	31.4	31.54			31.65(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	3	88	0.17	66%	0.1	75.2	0.78%	0	1.3	76	0

11	Jan_7_2004	29.63	30.89	31.34	31.51			31.75(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	8	106	0.07	66%	0.1	64	0.79%	0	1.6	82	0
12	Jan_6_2004	29.6	30.8	31.26	31.41			31.61(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	4	109	0.08	66%	0.14	53.6	0.79%	0	1.5	78	0
13	Jan_5_2004	29.56	30.72	31.18	31.36			31.49(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	7	117	0.18	66%	0.1	48.9	0.79%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Jan_2_2004	29.53	30.65	31.12	31.28			31.22(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	4	122	0.06	66%	0.17	43.8	0.79%	0	1.1	72	0
15	Dec_31_2003	29.48	30.61	31.05	31.23			31.49(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	-10000	7	134	0.14	72%	0.14	42.4	0.79%	0	1.7	84	0

16	Dec_30_2003	29.44	30.55	30.92	31.14			31.26(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	4	122	0.04	72%	0.14	44.8	0.85%	0	1.5	77	0
17	Dec_29_2003	29.4	30.51	30.82	31.08			31.36(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	8	122	0.12	72%	0.14	56.9	0.85%	0	1.9	74	0
18	Dec_26_2003	29.36	30.46	30.72	30.98			31.08(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	4	122	0.01	68%	0.2	68.8	0.84%	0	1.6	74	0
19	Dec_24_2003	29.3	30.42	30.63	30.93			30.94(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	7	118	0.04	64%	0.14	82	0.85%	0	1.4	62	0
20	Dec_23_2003	29.26	30.39	30.52	30.84			31.06(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	13	95	0.16	65%	0.14	97.3	0.89%	0	2	63	0

21	Dec_22_2003	29.22	30.34	30.4	30.66			30.96(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	10	62	0.29	62%	0.1	100	0.9%	0	2	58	0
22	Dec_19_2003	29.19	30.26	30.31	30.52			30.86(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	7	32	0.08	62%	0.1	77.1	0.92%	0	1.8	51	0
23	Dec_18_2003	29.16	30.19	30.21	30.42			30.85(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	9	13	0.06	62%	0.14	55.2	0.92%	0	1.9	56	0
24	Dec_17_2003	29.12	30.12	30.14	30.3			30.46(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10000	10	-4	0.05	60%	0.1	34.5	0.92%	0	1	51	0
25	Dec_16_2003	29.09	30.06	30.12	30.16			30.18(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	4	-26	0.25	61%		11.5	0.91%	0	0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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