Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 1, 2003

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.6500 (0.96%) ($30.3600 - $30.6600) on Mon. Dec. 1, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $30.6500(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)    OIH(52%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.37(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.92(2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.03(2.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2003	28.82	30.03	29.92	30.37			30.65(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	16	47	0.06	55%	0.1	29.3	0.96%	0	1.5	58	0
2	Nov_28_2003	28.79	30	29.83	30.14			30.36(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	14	9	0.03	55%	0.14	26.8	0.96%	0	1	47	0
3	Nov_26_2003	28.75	29.98	29.81	29.94			30.37(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	13	-18	0.25	55%	0.07	25.8	0.95%	0	1.1	49	0
4	Nov_25_2003	28.73	29.96	29.79	29.75			30.38(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	4	-10000	17	-35	0.09	55%	0.1	23.1	0.96%	0	1.2	53	0
5	Nov_24_2003	28.7	29.94	29.74	29.51			30.09(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-12	-10000	7	-70	0.16	53%	0.03	12.8	0.95%	0	0.4	48	0

6	Nov_21_2003	28.69	29.91	29.73	29.41			29.5(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-6	-95	0.03	48%	0.07	4.6	0.94%	0	-1.1	35	0
7	Nov_20_2003	28.67	29.9	29.82	29.49			29.37(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-11	-84	0.12	48%	0.1	5.6	0.94%	0	-1.2	38	0
8	Nov_19_2003	28.64	29.89	29.91	29.65			29.4(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-13	-63	0.18	48%	0.07	7.9	0.94%	0	-1.1	39	0
9	Nov_18_2003	28.62	29.88	29.99	29.83			29.21(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-11	-40	0.17	48%	0.07	13.6	0.94%	0	-1.5	37	0
10	Nov_17_2003	28.6	29.9	30.09	29.99			29.59(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-6	-19	0.26	50%	0.11	20.8	0.93%	0	-0.7	42	0

11	Nov_14_2003	28.57	29.89	30.17	30.08			29.86(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-8	8	0.45	52%	0.11	23.1	0.93%	0	-0.1	62	0
12	Nov_13_2003	28.54	29.87	30.17	30.19			30.19(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-2	44	0.08	54%	0.11	31.3	0.92%	0	0.7	73	0
13	Nov_12_2003	28.51	29.85	30.19	30.22			30.3(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	3	72	0.3	56%	0.11	39.6	0.92%	0	1	76	0
14	Nov_11_2003	28.48	29.82	30.16	30.18			30(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-2	85	0.12	54%	0.11	46.8	0.92%	0	0.4	73	0
15	Nov_10_2003	28.45	29.81	30.17	30.21			30.05(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-4	102	0.1	54%	0.11	56.7	0.92%	0	0.6	61	0

16	Nov_7_2003	28.42	29.79	30.11	30.26			30.41(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	4	117	0.07	56%	0.11	66	0.91%	0	1.4	70	0
17	Nov_6_2003	28.39	29.74	29.99	30.2			30.33(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	4	104	0.03	56%	0.07	71.7	0.92%	0	1.4	68	0
18	Nov_5_2003	28.37	29.68	29.86	30.15			30.11(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	2	86	0.15	53%	0.07	76.1	0.91%	0	1	54	0
19	Nov_4_2003	28.35	29.63	29.76	30.13			30.14(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	1	69	0.06	53%	0.11	84.8	0.94%	0	1.2	57	0
20	Nov_3_2003	28.32	29.58	29.69	30.12			30.32(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	13	67	0.06	53%	0.07	102.2	0.94%	0	1.8	57	0

21	Oct_31_2003	28.3	29.51	29.6	29.94			30.09(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	14	41	0.17	53%	0.11	108.1	0.94%	0	1.5	57	0
22	Oct_30_2003	28.27	29.45	29.52	29.74			30.11(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	15	19	0.1	53%	0.07	100	0.94%	0	1.5	62	0
23	Oct_29_2003	28.25	29.37	29.48	29.53			30.01(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	14	4	0.07	53%	0.11	88.2	0.94%	0	1.4	62	0
24	Oct_28_2003	28.22	29.28	29.45	29.34			30.07(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	9	-7	0.08	53%	0.11	64.4	0.95%	0	1.4	69	0
25	Oct_27_2003	28.19	29.16	29.41	29.22			29.41(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	1	-11	0.35	50%		45.1	0.91%	0	0.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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