Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 13, 2003

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $27.8700 (-0.36%) ($27.7600 - $28.1000) on Wed. Aug. 13, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $27.8700(-0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(12%)    OIH(52%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.63(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.46(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.51(1.31%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2003	26.41	27.51	27.46	27.63			27.87(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	13	7	0.14	60%	0.08	-13.3	1.05%	0	1.3	58	0
2	Aug_12_2003	26.39	27.5	27.42	27.45			27.97(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	9	-10000	15	-10	0.08	60%	0.08	-32.7	1.06%	0	1.7	59	0
3	Aug_11_2003	26.37	27.49	27.39	27.24			27.6(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	3	-37	0.05	58%	0.04	-60.2	1.05%	0	0.4	51	0
4	Aug_8_2003	26.36	27.51	27.41	27.19			27.48(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0.08	58%	0.04	-59.8	1.06%	0	-0.1	53	0
5	Aug_7_2003	26.35	27.53	27.43	27.2			27.22(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-5	-33	0.07	58%	0.04	-48	1.06%	0	-1.1	42	0

6	Aug_6_2003	26.34	27.55	27.45	27.28			26.99(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-8	-28	0.12	58%	0.04	-38.2	1.06%	0	-2	42	0
7	Aug_5_2003	26.33	27.59	27.5	27.39			26.9(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-10000	-11	-24	0.44	58%	0.04	-14.9	1.06%	0	-2.5	35	0
8	Aug_4_2003	26.32	27.66	27.57	27.55			27.35(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-8	-11	0.05	61%	0.04	22.9	1.04%	0	-1.3	39	0
9	Aug_1_2003	26.31	27.68	27.57	27.66			27.56(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.18	61%	0.04	55.7	1.04%	0	-0.5	39	0
10	Jul_31_2003	26.3	27.67	27.58	27.69			27.59(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	1	-10000	3	-7	0.22	61%	0.08	58.6	1.04%	0	-0.3	44	0

11	Jul_30_2003	26.28	27.65	27.57	27.65			27.53(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.02	61%	0.04	60	1.05%	0	-0.5	52	0
12	Jul_29_2003	26.27	27.63	27.6	27.63			27.71(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	2	-17	0.19	61%	0.08	50.5	1.05%	0	0.3	47	0
13	Jul_28_2003	26.25	27.61	27.61	27.6			27.89(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	8	-25	0.08	64%	0.08	45.5	1.05%	0	0.9	44	0
14	Jul_25_2003	26.23	27.56	27.62	27.49			27.75(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.3	61%	0.08	26.8	1.08%	0	0.6	49	0
15	Jul_24_2003	26.21	27.53	27.63	27.47			27.39(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-1	-27	0.05	57%	0.08	20.5	1.09%	0	-0.4	54	0

16	Jul_23_2003	26.19	27.51	27.64	27.48			27.42(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.08	57%	0.04	9.7	1.11%	0	-0.2	54	0
17	Jul_22_2003	26.18	27.49	27.68	27.56			27.54(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.05	59%	0.08	2.1	1.12%	0	0.1	59	0
18	Jul_21_2003	26.16	27.49	27.75	27.62			27.34(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-9	23	0.02	59%	0.08	-5.5	1.14%	0	-0.3	56	0
19	Jul_18_2003	26.14	27.47	27.8	27.76			27.65(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-3	57	0.02	59%	0.08	3.4	1.13%	0	0.4	62	0
20	Jul_17_2003	26.12	27.45	27.76	27.76			27.47(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	17	-10000	0	67	0.03	61%	0.04	2.8	1.13%	0	0.1	57	0

21	Jul_16_2003	26.11	27.47	27.75	27.81			27.79(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-10000	-1	75	0.03	61%	0.12	5.5	1.14%	0	0.8	65	0
22	Jul_15_2003	26.08	27.48	27.68	27.82			27.87(-0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-4	75	0.82	61%	0.08	14.4	1.16%	0	0.9	63	0
23	Jul_14_2003	26.06	27.49	27.61	27.89			28.04(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	3	89	0.07	64%	0.12	29.4	1.15%	0	1.3	65	0
24	Jul_11_2003	26.03	27.45	27.5	27.84			27.89(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	8	77	0.07	64%	0.12	28.8	1.19%	0	1	56	0
25	Jul_10_2003	26	27.44	27.42	27.71			27.48(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	2	58	0.05	63%		23.5	1.19%	0	0.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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