Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 13, 2003

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $26.0300 (1.4%) ($25.9200 - $26.2400) on Tue. May. 13, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $26.0300(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(12%)    OIH(52%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.67(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.52(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.26(3.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2003	24.78	25.26	25.52	25.67			26.03(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	8	49	0.32	72%	0.16	96.4	1.21%	0	1.8	56	0
2	May_12_2003	24.74	25.18	25.46	25.55			25.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	4	39	0	70%	0.16	92.2	1.22%	0	1.2	56	0
3	May_9_2003	24.7	25.09	25.43	25.49			25.67(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	3	42	0.05	70%	0.12	76.4	1.24%	0	1.2	63	0
4	May_8_2003	24.67	25.02	25.33	25.44			25.38(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	3	37	0.04	70%	0.12	72.6	1.25%	0	0.7	61	0
5	May_7_2003	24.64	24.94	25.31	25.4			25.62(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	3	48	0.11	70%	0.16	66.4	1.25%	0	1.2	70	0

6	May_6_2003	24.6	24.87	25.29	25.35			25.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	0	70%	0.12	73.8	1.27%	0	0.9	61	0
7	May_5_2003	24.57	24.8	25.27	25.37			25.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10000	1	74	0	70%	0.16	0	1.29%	0	1.1	63	0
8	May_2_2003	24.53	24.73	25.21	25.35			25.4(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	8	90	0.13	70%	0.16	0	1.32%	0	1.1	69	0
9	May_1_2003	24.49	24.64	25.15	25.21			25.16(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	1	84	0.04	70%	0.12	0	1.35%	0	0.9	63	0
10	Apr_30_2003	24.46	24.57	25.07	25.2			25.39(-0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	-10000	-1	93	0.07	70%	0.2	0	1.34%	0	1.3	68	0

11	Apr_29_2003	24.41	24.45	24.99	25.22			25.5(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	3	106	0.04	70%	0.21	0	1.36%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Apr_28_2003	24.36	24.45	24.88	25.17			25.29(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	6	2	0.02	70%	0.25	0	1.4%	0	39.5	63	0
13	Apr_25_2003	24.3	24.45	24.74	25.17			24.72(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	0	0	0.34	66%	0.08	0	1.37%	0	39.9	61	0
14	Apr_24_2003	24.28	24.45	24.68	25.06			25.1(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	10	4	0.18	72%	0.21	0	1.32%	0	39.8	68	0
15	Apr_23_2003	24.23	24.45	24.55	24.9			25.5(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	12	5	0.48	80%	0.37	0	1.24%	0	41.8	75	0

16	Apr_22_2003	24.14	24.45	24.41	24.72			25.24(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	9	-10000	10	4	0.07	80%	0.33	0	1.28%	0	46.7	78	0
17	Apr_21_2003	24.06	24.45	24.29	24.56			24.74(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	12	5	0.04	77%	0.21	0	1.27%	0	53.8	50	0
18	Apr_17_2003	24.01	24.45	24.2	24.37			24.73(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	8	3	0.08	77%	0.25	0	1.31%	0	56.2	50	0
19	Apr_16_2003	23.95	24.45	24.1	24.24			24.27(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	6	2	0.16	73%	0.13	0	1.31%	0	60.7	50	0
20	Apr_15_2003	23.92	24.45	24.03	24.15			24.61(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	7	3	0.43	84%	0.25	0	1.22%	0	60	50	0

21	Apr_14_2003	23.86	24.45	23.87	24.05			24.43(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	4	2	0.15	84%	0.29	0	1.29%	0	67.9	50	0
22	Apr_11_2003	23.79	24.45	23.87	23.98			23.82(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.33	78%	0	0	1.17%	0	72.2	50	0
23	Apr_10_2003	23.79	24.45	23.87	24			24.07(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	5	2	0.04	78%	0.17	0	1.1%	0	68.8	50	0
24	Apr_9_2003	23.75	24.45	23.87	23.93			23.8(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	3	1	0.28	72%	0.04	0	1.16%	0	68	50	0
25	Apr_8_2003	23.74	24.45	23.87	23.89			24.12(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	22	9	0.07	100%		0	0.87%	0	63.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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