Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 21, 2003

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $24.7400 (0.04%) ($24.5000 - $24.8100) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $24.7400(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(84%)    IWM(83%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(12%)    OIH(52%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.56(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.29(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2003	24.06		24.29	24.56			24.74(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	12	5	0.04	77%	0.21	0	1.27%	0	53.8	50	0
2	Apr_17_2003	24.01		24.2	24.37			24.73(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	8	3	0.08	77%	0.25	0	1.31%	0	56.2	50	0
3	Apr_16_2003	23.95		24.1	24.24			24.27(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	6	2	0.16	73%	0.13	0	1.31%	0	60.7	50	0
4	Apr_15_2003	23.92		24.03	24.15			24.61(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	7	3	0.43	84%	0.25	0	1.22%	0	60	50	0
5	Apr_14_2003	23.86		23.87	24.05			24.43(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	4	2	0.15	84%	0.29	0	1.29%	0	67.9	50	0

6	Apr_11_2003	23.79		23.87	23.98			23.82(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.33	78%	0	0	1.17%	0	72.2	50	0
7	Apr_10_2003	23.79		23.87	24			24.07(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	5	2	0.04	78%	0.17	0	1.1%	0	68.8	50	0
8	Apr_9_2003	23.75		23.87	23.93			23.8(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	3	1	0.28	72%	0.04	0	1.16%	0	68	50	0
9	Apr_8_2003	23.74		23.87	23.89			24.12(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	22	9	0.07	100%	0.34	0	0.87%	0	63.5	50	0
10	Apr_7_2003	23.66		23.87	23.66			24.1(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	518	-10000	609	244	0.07	100%	0.47	0	0.84%	0	65.1	50	0

11	Apr_4_2003	23.55		23.87	18.84			23.89(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	14.9	615	-10000	723	289	0.13	100%	0.47	0	0.94%	0	70.3	50	0
12	Apr_3_2003	23.44		23.87	14.06			23.72(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	31.2	824	-10000	969	388	1.35	100%	0.6	0	1.05%	0	76.5	50	0
13	Apr_2_2003	23.3		23.87	9.32			23.6(2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	47.6	0	-10000	0	0	0.67	100%	1.3	0	0%	0	78.7	50	0
14	Apr_1_2003	23		23.87	4.6			23(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	1.01	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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